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5 to Watch in 05
by:
December 30, 2004
In our third analysis of basic statistics, we take a look at the top 25 small forwards eligible for the 2014 NBA draft.

A key component of the game of basketball, statistics are both exalted for their comprehensiveness and condemned for their ridiculousness. There are an unlimited number of ways to evaluate a player on paper, with each seemingly generating non-stop debate over its value. In recent seasons, Synergy Sports Technology and other companies have brought on a new generation of statistics in basketball, and along with the likes of John Hollinger and Dean Oliver, have changed the way NBA teams evaluate prospects.

Accounting for every jumper missed on a fast break, pick and roll from the top of key, and bad pass in crunch time, the data at the disposal of NBA decision-makers seems to get deeper almost daily. As statistics become more advanced, you can even start to predict what areas a college player may struggle in moving forward based on what their numbers in college or where they may still have upside.

As we get further and further away from the actual season that was played between November and April, we tend to forget at times how productive prospects actually were on their individual teams between all the talk about wingspans and upside and performance in private workouts and such.

With that in mind, we're running a simple analysis of how all the top prospects in this draft compare in all the different facets of the game statistically that matter at their individual position.

Points Per-40 Minutes Pace Adjusted
NAMETEAMLEAGUEPTS40PA
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA32.2316
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA28.8628
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA25.4325
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA24.4798
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA22.5091
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA21.4648
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA20.5679
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA20.1932
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA19.9045
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA19.1915
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA18.3251
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA18.2671
James YoungKentuckyNCAA17.871
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA17.5389
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA17.5027
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA17.2976
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA16.8706
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA16.7613
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL15.8101
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA15.7105
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE15.7101
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA13.8602
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA12.6243
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE12.1414
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY11.6214


This stat tells us plainly how often these small forwards put the ball in the basket, adjusting for minutes played and pace, which levels the playing field as best as we can without taking into account competition level, individual team roles, and teammates into consideration. This is a good place to start with this group of players, as it tells us about their versatility, the range of roles they played last season, and a little bit about each prospect's mentality as a playmaker or scorer.

The position stacked with some of the most intriguing and most productive players in all of college basketball a year ago, the small forward spot is an obvious strength of the 2014 draft. Doug McDermott's feats as a scorer became the stuff of legends last year, and he paces all players, regardless of position, likely to hear their names called on draft night, in scoring rate by a sizable margin.

This small forward group isn't a one man show however, as T.J. Warren, who would rank second all players regardless of position takes the second spot. Both McDermott and Warren showed an innate feel for scoring the ball. McDermott was a threat from every spot on the floor while Warren, just a 27% 3-point shooter, showed a remarkable ability to score with his floater and from awkward angles in the midrange.

Jabari Parker and Cleanthony Early comprise the 2nd tier of players here. Though Parker is the much more highly touted of the two players, both share a common ability to score effectively from the inside and outside and have faced questions about their true position at the next level at points in their careers. K.J. McDaniels edges LaQuinton Ross for the last spot in the top-5, and while McDaniels has plenty of room to improve as a shooter from beyond the arc, he was one of the most improved offensive players in the country and finished around the rim at an elite rate thanks to his terrific explosiveness.

Among top prospects, Andrew Wiggins finishes some 5 points behind Parker, but just 2 and some change away from finishing in the top-5. Jerami Grant and Kyle Anderson both finish below average here, as Grant was not a feature option offensively and Anderson was as much as facilitator as a scorer as we'll see later.

The bottom-two spots belong to physically mature roleplayers filling minor roles overseas. Damien Inglis and Viktor Gaddefors are two of the more well-built players in this group, but neither played a significant role for their teams offensively this season. The same can be said for Niels Giffey and Josh Huestis, who helped their teams to the tournament, but were not feature offensive players. Both showed well in Portsmouth playing a larger role outside of the systems they were in during the college season. Former Texas Longhorn Ionannis Papapetrou is the only Euroleague competitor among small forward prospects, and his minor role on one of the best teams outside of the NBA certainly limited his productivity.

Three Point Attempts Per-40 Minutes Pace Adjusted
NAMETEAMLEAGUE3A40PA
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA7.4223
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA7.385
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE7.3762
James YoungKentuckyNCAA7.3293
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA7.301
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA5.9855
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA5.6842
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA5.0591
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA4.9501
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA4.7923
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL4.6825
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA4.4335
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA4.3176
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA4.2619
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA4.0236
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY3.8738
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA3.8598
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA3.844
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA3.5366
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE3.06
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA2.9762
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA2.4181
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA1.8447
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA0.2185
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA0.2064


This stat tells us a lot about the roles these prospects played for their respective teams, the confidence they had in their perimeter shooting ability, and the freedom they were given by their former coaches.

There's a clear drop-off after the top-5 here, as Joe Harris, Doug McDerott, Ioannis Papapetrou, James Young, and Clanthony Early comprise an obvious top tier. Of the five, McDermott's 45% from deep is the top mark, but Harris's 40% isn't far behind. Virginia relied heavily on Harris's ability to spot-up and come off screens in their deliberate half court offense. Papapetrou's role in Olympiacos is mainly to space the floor and score in transition, while Young and Early were the main shooting wings on two of the nation's best college teams. Young was the least effective shooter of the college players in the top-5, connecting on a solid, but not spectacular 35% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year.

Rodney Hood sits just outside of the top-5, while Jabari Parker and Andrew Wiggins both rank right around average. Neither player was overly reliant on the three point shot during their fantastic freshman seasons.

Jerami Grant and Jakarr Sampson attempted the fewest three pointers, and both players are still developing their perimeter skills. While some would label them tweeners, both players have the physical tools to play the small forward position effectively at the next level. Kyle Anderson showed marked improvement as a shooter this year, but didn't force many looks from the outside, while Josh Huestis and C.J. Fair are upperclassmen looking to make the same transition to the wing full time as Grant and Sampson.

Three Point Attempts Per Field Goal Attempt
NAMETEAMLEAGUE3A_FGA
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE0.5805
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA0.5634
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA0.5325
James YoungKentuckyNCAA0.5222
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA0.4706
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA0.457
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY0.4359
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA0.4102
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL0.3904
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA0.3413
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE0.3407
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA0.3033
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA0.2993
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA0.2986
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA0.2913
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA0.2895
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA0.2888
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA0.2722
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA0.2225
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA0.212
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA0.1779
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA0.1719
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA0.1538
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA0.0187
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA0.0137


This stat examines how heavily these wings relied on the 3-ball to score, which is a good indicator of the roles each prospect played last season, but also an indirect gauge of how well each of them got to the rim as well. Players which attempted a large proportion of their shots from beyond the arc may have some deficiencies in terms of size, ball-handling ability, athleticism, aggressiveness, or shot-selection. Or they simply could be outstanding shooters. Every player should be judged individually in this regard.

Niels Giffey and Viktor Gaddefors both make considerable jumps to just outside the top-5 here, as the complementary offensive roles they played makes their proclivity to spot-up more clear.

Jabari Parker and T.J. Warren both fall into the top-5, as the sheer volume of shots they attempted from the post in Parker's case and from the midrange in Warren's case show how little time they spent looking for shots from the outside.

Free Throw Attempts Per-40 Minutes Pace Adjusted
NAMETEAMLEAGUEFTA40PA
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA8.1232
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA7.7797
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA7.6782
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA7.4891
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA7.344
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA7.1089
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA6.7657
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA6.7087
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA6.135
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA5.9158
James YoungKentuckyNCAA5.5204
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA5.4054
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA4.8577
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA4.7813
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA4.7008
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL4.6825
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA4.4582
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA4.1842
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA4.11
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA3.2882
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA3.2032
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE2.8626
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA2.7225
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE2.4214
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY2.1078


Free throws attempted per-40 minutes is a good statistic to measure the aggressiveness of a player getting to the rim, as well as his athleticism and ball-handling skills. In some ways, it provides an inverse look at the three-point stats we just looked at.

The cream rises to the top here as Jabari Parker and Andrew Wiggins both drew free throws at high rates a year ago. Jerami Grant and T.J. Warren give the top-4 a very ACC feel, despite being very different players offensively. Cleanthony Early rounds out the top-5, as he's more than just a 3-point shooter.

Among top small forwards, Doug McDermott and K.J. McDaniels both sit just outside the top-5 while James Young and Kyle Anderson rank slightly above average.

Our three roleplayers from Europe take 3 of the bottom 4 spots here, while Niels Giffey and Josh Huestis are both limited by their respective roles.

Free Throw Attempts Per Possession
NAMETEAMLEAGUEFTA_POSS
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA0.5388
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA0.4421
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA0.3675
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA0.3595
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA0.3533
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA0.3498
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA0.3425
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA0.3416
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA0.3293
James YoungKentuckyNCAA0.3288
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL0.3234
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA0.3078
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA0.2888
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA0.2868
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA0.2834
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA0.281
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA0.2766
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA0.2736
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA0.2706
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA0.2661
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA0.247
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE0.2278
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA0.1999
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY0.1766
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE0.1732


Even though Free Throws Per-40 Minutes Pace Adjusted tells us how much a player attacks in bulk, it doesn't show how much they attack relative to their usage rate. This stat tells that story, and shows that Jerami Grant drew fouls at a simply outstanding rate per-posssession.

A few other players shift around some here, again indicating the differences in usage among this group

The biggest riser appears to be Thanasis Antetokounmpo, whose athleticism helped him draw contact at a nice rate when he attacked the rim playing in the NBADL for the Delaware 86ers. Antetokounmpo settled for a fair amount of jump shots, and could become more adept as a slasher as his game matures.

Andrew Wiggins leapfrogs Jabari Parker, as Parker's larger role players against him while Kyle Anderson rises to just outside of the top-5. Doug McDermott falls a ways here due to his massive overall usage.

True Shooting Percentage
NAMETEAMLEAGUETSPCT
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA0.6941
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA0.65074
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA0.63724
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA0.59787
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA0.5961
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE0.59271
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY0.59206
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA0.57955
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA0.57427
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE0.5737
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA0.57327
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA0.57197
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA0.57129
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA0.57064
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA0.56431
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA0.56382
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA0.56343
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL0.5624
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA0.55888
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA0.55729
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA0.54844
James YoungKentuckyNCAA0.54274
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA0.51422
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA0.51267
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA0.49342


True Shooting Percentage is adjusted to account for what a player adds to their efficiency and team's point total with free throw attempts and 3-pointers. This stat attempts to adjust for all the ways a player can put points on the board.

This is one of the more interesting categories to look at, especially combined with scoring rate overall, to see those who is both using a large number of possessions and scoring at a very high efficiency. Niels Giffey wasn't a huge usage options for UConn, but he was tremendously efficient on the offensive end as a senior. On the other hand, Doug McDermott was incredibly high usage, and only slightly less efficient than Giffey scoring the ball. It is obviously rare for a player with McDermott's usage to score with the efficiency associated with much lower usage rolepalyers. Cleanthony Early takes the third spot before a considerable drop off due to his ability to his well above average percentages all-around (58% 2P, 38% 3P, 84% FT).

Melvin Ejim makes an appearance in the top-5 here and doesn't rank far below average in any particular category we'll look at. A much improved shooter and offensive player overall over his career at Iowa State, Ejim ranks just above Rodney Hood. Hood's shooting ability helped him make a splash playing next to Jabari Parker in his only season at Duke.

Andrew Wiggins ranks average here, while Jabari Parker ranks marginally behind him. College power forward transitioning to the small forward spot at the NBA level, C.J. Fair,Jakarr, Sampson, and Josh Huestis all possess impressive explosiveness, but were not overly efficient scoring the ball last year. LaQuinton Ross and James Young round out the bottom-5.


Neither Spencer Dinwiddie nor Nik Stauskas ranked all that well in overall scoring rate, but they were both tremendously efficient last season thanks to how frequently they drew free throws and made perimeter shots relative to their overall usage rates.

Assists Per-40 Minutes Pace Adjusted
NAMETEAMLEAGUEAST40PA
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA7.4106
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA4.3306
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA3.4637
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL2.7885
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE2.6652
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA2.6563
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA2.6053
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY2.3926
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA2.1078
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA2.0896
James YoungKentuckyNCAA2.0896
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA1.9231
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA1.898
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA1.8265
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE1.8221
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA1.6099
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA1.5725
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA1.5563
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA1.471
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA1.3504
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA1.3255
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA1.32
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA1.1679
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA1.0737
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA0.6281


Moving away from the scoring categories, some players who didn't stand out in any of the previous categories immediately jump to the top of the list, indicating the rather noticeable schism between pure scorers and pure distributors in this group.

Kyle Anderson had the highest assist rate of any player in this draft class regardless of position. One of the most unique players to come out of the college game in some time, Anderson may have outstanding size and questionable athleticism, but he's an extremely adept passer who showed marked improvement in a number of areas this year. Adin Vrabac takes the second spot, as the Bosnian wing plays a point forward role of sorts for Spars. He's a very good athlete at that level, and is very productive in transition.

Joe Harris is surprisingly the 2nd best passer among college players, as his unselfishness in Tony Bennett's system help him rank above more prolific shot creators and ball handlers here. Thanasis Antetokounmpo takes the fourth spot, just above Damien Inglis. Inglis played plenty of point-forward on the junior level.

Andrew Wiggins edges Jabari Parker here, though neither player ranks particularly high on this list. DeAndre Daniels ranks as the least prolific passer, dishing out just 1 assist during UConn's run in the NCAA Tournament. Niels Giffey ranks almost as poorly as the shot creating responsibilities in Connecticut's Iso heavy offense fell firmly on the team's backcourt pairing of Shabazz Napier and Ryan Boatright. Cleanthony Early, T.J. Warren, and LaQuinton Ross were responsible for a large portion of the scoring for their respective teams, and didn't often make plays for others.

Turnovers Per-40 Minutes Pace Adjusted
NAMETEAMLEAGUETOV40PA
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA4.0419
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA3.4986
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE3.1587
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA3.0747
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL3.0515
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA3.0061
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA2.9078
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA2.8775
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA2.7504
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA2.706
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY2.6775
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA2.6517
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA2.4474
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA2.4163
James YoungKentuckyNCAA2.3391
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA2.1466
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA2.1396
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA2.069
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA1.9793
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA1.9125
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE1.8949
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA1.644
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA1.6171
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA1.485
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA1.3504


Adin Vrabac and Kyle Anderson are the most turnover prone players in this group followed by two other fairly prolific passers in Damien Inglies and Thanasis Antetekounmpo. Jabari Parker jumps into the top-5 as his heavy usage plays against him here.

Andrew Wiggins ranks above the mean here, while Doug McDermott turned the ball over at a shockingly low rate relative to his prolific scoring numbers. Glenn Robinson, Jerami Grant, and Josh Huestis rank among the least turnover prone players in this group, as all three did little shot creating for themselves this season relative to their peers. Spot-up shooters Ioannis Papapetrou and Niels Giffey round out the bottom-5.

Pure Point Ratio
NAMETEAMLEAGUEPUREPOINT
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA3.6046
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA0.8247
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA-0.3542
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA-0.8377
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA-1.1253
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA-1.4891
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA-1.5125
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE-1.7004
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA-1.7763
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA-2.1856
James YoungKentuckyNCAA-2.3651
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA-2.6832
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY-2.706
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA-2.8871
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL-2.9814
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA-3.1163
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE-3.4549
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA-3.7207
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA-4.0326
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA-4.0943
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA-4.1256
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA-4.6669
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA-4.8178
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA-5.0928
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA-5.4042


Looking at the prior two categories combined and then adjusted for the significant negative value of the turnover, only two players in this group finish above 0, as this group on the whole, features players who weren't relied upon to create shots for their teammates. Kyle Anderson has a terrible pure point rating for a point guard, while Joe Harris's posts a solid number for a wing.

Rodney Hood, Jerami Grant and Josh Huestis rank above average. Though Huestis and Grant weren't prolific assist-men, their low turnover numbers put them in good shape relative to the rest of the group.

Cleanthony Early has the lowest PPR in this group, falled just below Jabari Parker. As much as Parker turned the ball over, he didn't compensate with many assists. Like T.J. Warren, and C.J. Fair, he falls in the bottom-5 due to how heavily his team relied on his scoring production. He was seldom looking to pass, but often in attack mode.

Among top prospects, James Young ranks slightly above average, right below Doug McDermott. Andrew Wiggins ranks slightly below average here.

Rebounds Per-40 Minutes Pace Adjusted
NAMETEAMLEAGUEREB40PA
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA11.6154
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA10.0186
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA9.689
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA9.4843
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE9.4762
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA9.3849
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA9.2641
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA9.0189
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA8.4236
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA8.4203
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA8.3765
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA8.3385
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA8.2844
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA7.4919
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA6.934
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE6.7377
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA6.3158
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA6.3113
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA5.8612
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY5.6398
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL5.6032
James YoungKentuckyNCAA5.3332
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA4.8876
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA4.4946
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA4.1862


Having spent time at the center position for Duke this year, Jabari Parker takes the top spot here by a sizeable margin. Parker may have been in better position to rebound the ball more frequently than some of his peers defending inside, but he has good instincts on the glass.

Kyle Anderson takes the 2nd spot, as in addition to his passing ability, his length and anticipation make him a solid rebounder as well. Melvin Ejim and Jerami Grant take the 3rd and 4th spot, both playing power forward for stretches. Ejim has a teriffic frame and motor on the glass while Grant's length and athleticism help him here. Damien Inglis rounds out the top-5 thanks to his tremendous physical maturity for a player his age.

Doug McDermott ranks slightly above average while Andrew Wiggins ranks slightly below average, showing how athleticism isn't everything when it comes to cleaning the glass in the college game.

Adin Vrabac ranks as the worst rebounder in this group, just below Joe Harris, James Young, and Rodney Hood. Vrabac's numbers show that he played a guard-like role in Bosnia while Hood, Young, and Harris aren't overwhelmingly strong and explosive athletes, though each is fairly fluid and skilled. Thanasis Antetokounmpo's bottom-5 finish is largely the result of his extensive minutes. Playing against quality competition outside of Greece for the 1st time, he seemed to get more active on the glass as he adjusted to the speed of NBADL basketball.

Steals Per-40 Minutes Pace Adjusted
NAMETEAMLEAGUESTL40PA
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA2.0877
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA2.0355
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY1.823
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE1.5794
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL1.5258
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA1.5031
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA1.471
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA1.4432
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA1.4045
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA1.3868
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA1.3599
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA1.3421
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA1.2992
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA1.2509
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA1.1596
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA1.155
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA1.1364
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA1.0068
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA0.9606
James YoungKentuckyNCAA0.9357
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE0.8942
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA0.8854
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA0.8669
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA0.6595
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA0.2761


A small forward's ability to apply ball pressure and get in the passing lanes often helps his team quicken the pace of the game without forcing the issue. Though there's a million ways to create a turnover, this stat paints a broad picture of what a prospect brings to the table both physically in terms of quickness and length and mentally in terms of intensity and anticipation.

T.J. Warren and Kyle Anderson are not the most athletic players, but they find themselves in a tier by themselves thanks to their anticipation and aggressiveness in the passing lanes. Three professional players round out the top-5, as Viktor Gaddefors and Damien Inglis have excellent physical tools for small forwards in the European game while Thansis Anteteokounmpo's length and athleticism helped him put together some terrific performances defensively.

Jabari Parker edges Andrew Wiggins here, as both players rank a bit above average.

Doug McDermott takes the bottom spot by a sizeable margin, as his lack of great quickness limits him defensively. Josh Huestis takes the 2nd to last spot as he spent much of his time protecting the rim instead of defending the perimeter. Jakarr Sampson has better tools on the defensive end to work with than Rodney Hood, but neither player forced many turnovers last season.

Blocks Per-40 Pace Adjusted
NAMETEAMLEAGUEBLK40PA
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA3.6293
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA2.1669
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA1.9951
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL1.7099
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA1.6322
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA1.321
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA1.2025
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA1.15
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA0.9474
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA0.9237
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA0.8587
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA0.8054
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA0.7867
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA0.7838
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA0.7819
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA0.6959
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY0.6266
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE0.5414
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE0.3948
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA0.3931
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA0.3299
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA0.3188
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA0.2887
James YoungKentuckyNCAA0.2495
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA0.1725


K.J. McDaniels is easily the best shot blocker in this group. While his vertical didn't top the charts at the NBA combine, the Clemson forward put his explosiveness to better use than many players on this list defensively, where he was unafraid to challenge finishers inside.

Josh Huestis blocked shots at a high level as well, playing primarily inside at the college level, which also propels Jabari Parker to a top-5 finish. The length of DeAndre Daniels land him the third spot, while Thanasis Antetokounmpo shares his brothers knack for making spectacular defensive players to some degree.

Andrew Wiggins ranks just outside of the top-5, although there is a significant drop off after Parker. He may not have blocked as many shots, but there's little question Wiggins showed more potential defending the perimeter one-on-one this season.

Doug McDermott takes the bottom spot once again, and at some points, he was conserving energy and looking to stay out of foul trouble. James Young and Rodney Hood both rank poorly here, and like McDermott, have questions to answer about their defensive ability at the next level as well.

Player Efficiency Rating
NAMETEAMLEAGUEPER
Doug McDermottCreightonNCAA33.1686
T.J. WarrenN.C. StateNCAA31.6885
Jabari ParkerDukeNCAA28.792
K.J. McDanielsClemsonNCAA28.7421
Cleanthony EarlyWichita StateNCAA26.7089
Kyle AndersonUCLANCAA25.1899
Melvin EjimIowa StateNCAA23.6141
LaQuinton RossOhio StateNCAA22.1441
Jerami GrantSyracuseNCAA21.9441
Andrew WigginsKansasNCAA21.7434
DeAndre DanielsConnecticutNCAA20.4482
Rodney HoodDukeNCAA20.3653
Glenn RobinsonMichiganNCAA19.1947
Joe HarrisVirginiaNCAA18.9575
Jakarr SampsonSt. John'sNCAA18.7276
Niels GiffeyConnecticutNCAA18.1948
C.J. FairSyracuseNCAA17.9724
Josh HuestisStanfordNCAA17.6735
James YoungKentuckyNCAA16.8404
Nedim BuzaSpars SarajevoBOSNIA16.4937
Adin VrabacSpars SarajevoBOSNIA16.0785
Ioannis PapapetrouOlympiakosEURO, GREECE15.1415
Damien InglisRoanneFRANCE14.2925
Thanasis Antetokounmpo DelawareNBADL13.1418
Viktor GaddeforsVirtus BolognaITALY12.3739


Created by John Hollinger, PER is a total measure of what a player does on the floor based on more than a dozen weighted calculations. It isn't always wise to compare players across different leagues given how different the style of play is internationally and at the college level. The NCAA is especially tricky considering the varying levels of competition we find in the different conferences. As maligned as the countless catch-all statistics out there are, PER specifically provides an interesting glimpse into how all of the statistics we've looked at thus far piece together.

Doug McDermott and T.J. Warren take the top spots thanks to their truly elite scoring ability. Jabari Parker and K.J. McDaniels finish neck and neck for the 3rd spot, getting a boost from their impressive rebounding and defensive numbers. Cleanthony Early rounds out the top 5, with Kyle Anderson just behind him. Anderson's placement near the top-5 is fairly impressive given his lack of scoring ability relative to the rest of the top-8. Jerami Grant is in a similar boat, finishing well here given his limited scoring ability, albeit a ways behind Anderson. Andrew Wiggins finishes just behind Grant and right above average.

The pro players in this group take the bottom 6 spots, with James Young ranking as the least productive collegiate prospect. Inglis, Antetokounmpo and Gaddefors all rank below the built-in average of 15. Gaddefors and Inglis simply don't play a bit enough role to finish above that bar, while Antetokounmpo is limited here by his extensive playing time, though it certainly didn't hurt its development.
 


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Dean Oliver
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 5' 11"
Weight: 180 lbs.
Birthday: 11/05/1978
35 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Mason City
Previous Team: Iowa , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: G,
NBA: G,
Possible: G
Quick Stats:
12.0 Pts, 4.1 Rebs, 6.2 Asts


Doug McDermott
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 218 lbs.
Birthday: 01/03/1992
22 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Ames
Current Team: Creighton , Senior
Positions:
Current: SF/PF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
18.0 Pts, 4.0 Rebs, 2.8 Asts


T.J. Warren
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 220 lbs.
Birthday: 09/05/1993
20 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Brewster Academy
Current Team: N.C. State , Sophomore
Positions:
Current: SF/PF,
NBA: SF/PF,
Possible: SF/PF
Quick Stats:
17.8 Pts, 4.8 Rebs, 0.2 Asts


Jabari Parker
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 241 lbs.
Birthday: 03/15/1995
19 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Simeon Vocational
Current Team: Duke , Freshman
Positions:
Current: SF/PF,
NBA: SF/PF,
Possible: SF/PF
Quick Stats:
15.6 Pts, 8.2 Rebs, 1.4 Asts


Cleanthony Early
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 209 lbs.
Birthday: 04/17/1991
23 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Pine Bush
Current Team: Wichita State , Senior
Positions:
Current: SF/PF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF/PF
Quick Stats:
11.5 Pts, 4.8 Rebs, 1.3 Asts


K.J. McDaniels
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 196 lbs.
Birthday: 02/09/1993
21 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Central Park Christian
Current Team: Clemson , Junior
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
10.0 Pts, 2.5 Rebs, 0.8 Asts


LaQuinton Ross
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 239 lbs.
Birthday: 11/18/1992
21 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Life Center Academy
Current Team: Ohio State , Junior
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
3.0 Pts, 2.0 Rebs, 0.7 Asts


Melvin Ejim
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 219 lbs.
Birthday: 03/04/1991
23 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Brewster Academy
Current Team: Iowa State , Senior
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
3.5 Pts, 1.5 Rebs, 0.2 Asts


Andrew Wiggins
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 197 lbs.
Birthday: 02/23/1995
19 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Huntington Prep
Current Team: Kansas , Freshman
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SG/SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
15.5 Pts, 3.5 Rebs, 0.3 Asts


Rodney Hood
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 208 lbs.
Birthday: 10/20/1992
21 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Meridian
Current Team: Duke , Sophomore
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
13.4 Pts, 4.2 Rebs, 2.2 Asts


C.J. Fair
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 218 lbs.
Birthday: 09/13/1991
22 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Brewster Academy
Current Team: Syracuse , Senior
Positions:
Current: SF/PF,
NBA: SF/PF,
Possible: SF/PF
Quick Stats:
4.0 Pts, 2.6 Rebs, 0.2 Asts


DeAndre Daniels
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 196 lbs.
Birthday: 04/15/1992
22 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Taft
Current Team: Connecticut , Junior
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
10.0 Pts, 6.2 Rebs, 0.2 Asts


Joe Harris
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 215 lbs.
Birthday: 09/07/1991
22 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Chelan
Current Team: Virginia , Senior
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
7.8 Pts, 1.5 Rebs, 1.5 Asts


James Young
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 213 lbs.
Birthday: 08/16/1995
18 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Rochester
Current Team: Kentucky , Freshman
Positions:
Current: SG/SF,
NBA: SG/SF,
Possible: SG/SF
Quick Stats:
Pts, Rebs, Asts


Adin Vrabac
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 194 lbs.
Birthday: 01/27/1994
20 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Current Team: Banvit , International
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
2.0 Pts, 1.0 Rebs, 1.0 Asts


Jakarr Sampson
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 207 lbs.
Birthday: 03/20/1993
21 Years Old
Teams:
High School: St. Vincent-St. Mary
Current Team: St. John's , Sophomore
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
8.2 Pts, 4.8 Rebs, 0.6 Asts


Glenn Robinson
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 211 lbs.
Birthday: 01/08/1994
20 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Lake Central
Current Team: Michigan , Sophomore
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
7.7 Pts, 3.0 Rebs, 0.7 Asts


Jerami Grant
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 214 lbs.
Birthday: 03/12/1994
20 Years Old
Teams:
High School: DeMatha Catholic
Current Team: Syracuse , Sophomore
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
7.2 Pts, 3.0 Rebs, 0.2 Asts


Kyle Anderson
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 230 lbs.
Birthday: 09/20/1993
20 Years Old
Teams:
High School: St. Anthony
Current Team: UCLA , Sophomore
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
8.0 Pts, 3.0 Rebs, 2.0 Asts


Thanasis Antetokounmpo
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 205 lbs.
Birthday: 07/17/1992
22 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Current Team: Delaware , International
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
3.0 Pts, 1.8 Rebs, 0.6 Asts


Nedim Buza
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 190 lbs.
Birthday: 05/10/1995
19 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Current Team: Fenerbahce , International
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
Pts, Rebs, Asts


Ioannis Papapetrou
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 233 lbs.
Birthday: 03/30/1994
20 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Florida Air Academy
Current Team: Olympiakos , International
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF/PF
Quick Stats:
12.0 Pts, 7.0 Rebs, 1.0 Asts


Niels Giffey
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 200 lbs.
Birthday: 06/08/1991
23 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Heinrich-Schliemann
Current Team: Connecticut , Senior
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
3.4 Pts, 1.8 Rebs, 0.6 Asts


Josh Huestis
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 213 lbs.
Birthday: 12/19/1991
22 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Charles M. Russell
Current Team: Stanford , Senior
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
5.3 Pts, 3.7 Rebs, 0.7 Asts


Damien Inglis
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 240 lbs.
Birthday: 05/20/1995
19 Years Old
Teams:
High School: INSEP
Current Team: Roanne , International
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
4.0 Pts, 4.0 Rebs, 2.0 Asts


Viktor Gaddefors
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 218 lbs.
Birthday: 10/08/1992
21 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Current Team: Virtus Bologna , International
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
2.0 Pts, 2.0 Rebs, 3.0 Asts


Spencer Dinwiddie
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 205 lbs.
Birthday: 04/06/1993
21 Years Old
Teams:
High School: William Howard Taft
Current Team: Colorado , Junior
Positions:
Current: SG,
NBA: SG,
Possible: SG
Quick Stats:
14.7 Pts, 3.1 Rebs, 3.8 Asts


Nik Stauskas
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 207 lbs.
Birthday: 10/07/1993
20 Years Old
Teams:
High School: St. Mark
Current Team: Michigan , Sophomore
Positions:
Current: SG,
NBA: SG,
Possible: SG
Quick Stats:
9.8 Pts, 2.0 Rebs, 2.2 Asts


Tony Bennett
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 0"
Weight: 175 lbs.
Birthday: 06/01/1969
45 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Preble
Previous Team: , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #8 in 1992 Draft
by the Hornets
Positions:
Current: G,
NBA: G,
Possible: G
Quick Stats:
4.7 Pts, 0.7 Rebs, 1.3 Asts


Shabazz Napier
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 1"
Weight: 175 lbs.
Birthday: 07/14/1991
23 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Charlestown
Current Team: Connecticut , Senior
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
9.2 Pts, 3.0 Rebs, 4.6 Asts


Ryan Boatright
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 0"
Weight: 152 lbs.
Birthday: 12/27/1992
21 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Aurora East
Current Team: Connecticut , Junior
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
12.1 Pts, 3.5 Rebs, 3.4 Asts


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