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Just by the numbers...Evaluating this Year's Point Guard Crop
by: Mike Schmidt - D-League, NCAA Scout
May 23, 2007
Statistics are an important measure used by NBA teams to assist in evaluating prospects. When scouting players, it can be helpful to examine the stats to see if they back up your observations of a player on the court.

The point guards and combo guards compose the first look at the statistical break down of the 5 positions, and the top 20 at each position will be included. Unfortunately, it is impossible for us to include international stats in this breakdown, thus Petteri Koponen has been excluded from this comparison.

Before looking through the following piece, it may be helpful to first examine the DraftExpress Stat Legend composed by Noah Libby-Haines to gain a better understanding of the statistics used.

All the applicable stats have been changed to account for pace of play and adjusted to 40 minutes to provide an equal ground to compare players. Keep in mind that level of competition, a player’s role in his team’s system, and age differentials (ie: freshman vs. seniors) mean that these numbers always have to be taken with a grain of salt.

Interested in making your own statistical comparisons? You can do so here.

Points Per Game



Rodney Stuckey leads the way in points per game by a substantial margin, and this can strongly be attributed to his role for Eastern Washington where he was expected to shoulder the majority of the scoring load this season. Many of the guards towards the top of this list can be called combo guards who were told by their coaches to look to score first. Stuckey is a classic case of this, and he also plays against very weak competition in the Big Sky conference. Regardless, his scoring prowess cannot be ignored, especially when scouting the way he puts the ball in the basket, exemplary of your modern day NBA combo guard, deadly mid-range game and all.




Assists Per Game



Marist guard Jared Jordan led the country in assists this season and is joined at the top by impressive freshman Mike Conley Jr. who we project as the first point guard taken in the draft this season. Acie Law was expected to score and distribute, and he ranks towards the top of the list in both points and assists per game. Jordan will have a chance to show that his playmaking ability can translate against bigger, stronger, more athletic competition in the Orlando pre-draft camp. If he can find similar success with the ball in his hands, his stock will rise considerably in this extremely weak draft for point guards. The same can be said to a lesser extent about Ramon Sessions.




Turnovers Per Game



Javaris Crittenton has been criticized for forcing the issue this season, and his decision making must improve with the ball in his hands. The turnover numbers are also alarmingly high for senior Mustafa Shakur, who struggled with bad decisions throughout his 4 years with the Wildcats. Gabe Pruitt turned the ball over less than any other guard on the list, and Mike Conley, Dominic James, and Acie Law have fairly low numbers considering the amount of time they spent with the ball in their hands.




Assist To Turnover Ratio



Assist to Turnover ratio has always been viewed as an important stat for any point guard, and Mike Conley Jr. ranks at the top of this year’s point guard class. Jared Jordan also comes off very well in this category. Ayinde Ubaka is a surprise towards the top of this list, as is Gabe Pruitt. Unfortunately, neither player will be participating at the Orlando pre-draft camp last time we checked. It will be important for the scoring guards to show that their role was restricting them in this area.




Points Per Possession



This ratio shows an overview of how efficiently a player uses each of his field goal attempts to put the ball in the hoop. Acie Law’s ability to score from nearly anywhere and create contact places him at the top of this list. Zabian Dowdell, Aaron Brooks, Taruean Green, and Rodney Stuckey also use their possessions wisely when creating their own offense. Dominic James’ poor decision making is exemplified at the bottom of this list, while Jared Jordan’s shortcomings as both a slasher and shooter (even playing in the MAAC) help begin to explain his absence on our mock draft.




Free Throws Attempted Per Field Goal Attempt



Free throws per field goal attempt is useful when separating slashers from shooters. It also gives a good indication of which players tend to settle for long-range shots--either because of small stature, lack of athleticism, or dislike of physical contact. NBA scouts love to see guards who can put the ball on the floor, get to the rim and create contact.

Mustafa Shakur may not be a great perimeter shooter, but he does compensate to a certain extent with the way he slashes to the basket—aided greatly by his size, strength and athletic ability. Taurean Green is an excellent long-range shooter, but he also takes the ball to the rim at a very solid rate, which is a very nice combination. The same can be said about Sean Singletary, who uses his blazing quickness extremely well to compensate for his lack of size.

On the other end of the spectrum, Brandon Heath scored over 19 points per game this season, but did so on high volume shooting rather than creating contact inside. Bobby Brown, Aaron Bruce, and Aaron Brooks also struggled to get to the line this season. 5 of the 6 players at the bottom of this list play on the West Coast, something that is indicative of the style of play we often find there.




Three Pointers Attempted Per Field Goal Attempt



The flipside of the argument that can be made from the stat just listed above. Despite possessing smooth athletic ability, Gabe Pruitt (often criticized for “playing soft”) ranks with the third highest number of three pointers attempted out of this year’s top 20 point guard prospects. Aaron Bruce and Taurean Green scored many points from behind the perimeter, while Acie Law and Ramon Sessions were the least likely to shoot from behind the three point line.




Assists Per Field Goal Attempt



This ratio helps when deciphering between the scoring and distributing lead guards, and also might give an indication of the amount of ball-handling a player was asked to do in his team’s offense. Shakur and Conley rank towards the top again here, and Acie Law took a good amount of field goals while passing out a good amount of assists. Players who spend time off the ball at the 2-guard spot-- like Brandon Heath, Rodney Stuckey and Zabian Dowdell-- rank towards the bottom of the list.




True Shooting Percentage



A statistic created by John Hollinger, true shooting percentage was created to evaluate overall scoring efficiency by accounting for free throw attempts and field goal attempts. The formula TS% = Pts/(2*(FGA + (.47*FTA)) is used to calculate this stat. In this year’s NBA at the PG position, Steve Nash dominated this category at 65%, followed by Leandro Barbosa (59.5%) and Chauncey Billups (59.1%).

At the college ranks, Taurean Green’s numbers look impressive due to his combination of excellent perimeter shooting ability and aggressive slashing mentality, combined with the terrific teammates he played alongside that freed him up for plenty of open looks. Acie Law continues to rank towards the top of most scoring efficiency categories. Bobby Brown’s deadly shooting eye is noticeable here. Javaris Crittenton and Dominic James are both potential first rounders who rank towards the bottom of this category, mainly due to their often poor shot-selection.




Effective Field Goal Percentage



Effective field goal percentage was designed to calculate field goal percentage while adjusting between the difference in value between the two point and three point shots. Bobby Brown, Tarurean Green, and Aaron Brooks top this list, and are all known for their shooting from behind the three point line.




Player Efficiency Rating



Player Efficiency Rating, also created by John Hollinger, was designed to measure the overall statistical effectiveness of each player. PER may not be the best stat to use to compare college players, however, as it does not distinguish between level of competition, as Noah Libby-Haines explains.

Versatile guards who do a little bit of everything, like Rodney Stuckey and Zabian Dowdell, top this list. Mike Conley Jr. and Acie Law continue to find themselves at or near the top of many different statistics.




Efficiency



Efficiency is a calculation generated by the NBA to determine the statistical effectiveness of a player. They use the formula EFF = ((PTs + ORs + DRs + Stls + Asts + Blks): ((FGA: FG) + (FTA: FT) + Tos))/g to compute this statistic. Rodney Stuckey and Jared Jordan, top the efficiency list, both versatile players who carried a large offensive load due to the level of competition they played with and against. Mike Conley Jr. ranks towards the bottom of this list, but he was rarely called upon to be anything more than a distributor on the offensive end.
 
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Feedback for this article may be sent to mike.schmidt@draftexpress.com .

 

Petteri Koponen
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 5"
Weight: 194 lbs.
Birthday: 04/13/1988
26 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Previous Team: Virtus Bologna , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #30 in 2007 Draft
by the 76ers
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG/SG
Quick Stats:
13.7 Pts, 3.0 Rebs, 3.0 Asts


Rodney Stuckey
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 207 lbs.
Birthday: 04/21/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Kentwood
Previous Team: Eastern Wash. , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #15 in 2007 Draft
by the Pistons
Positions:
Current: PG/SG,
NBA: PG/SG,
Possible: SG
Quick Stats:
13.9 Pts, 2.3 Rebs, 2.1 Asts


Jared Jordan
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 2"
Weight: 183 lbs.
Birthday: 10/14/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Kingswood-Oxford
Previous Team: Bonn , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #15 in 2007 Draft
by the Clippers
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
10.0 Pts, 3.6 Rebs, 7.8 Asts


Mike Conley Jr
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 1"
Weight: 175 lbs.
Birthday: 10/11/1987
26 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Lawrence North
Previous Team: Ohio State , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #4 in 2007 Draft
by the Grizzlies
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
17.2 Pts, 2.9 Rebs, 6.0 Asts


Acie Law
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 186 lbs.
Birthday: 01/25/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Kimball
Previous Team: Texas A&M , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #11 in 2007 Draft
by the Hawks
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG/SG
Quick Stats:
6.8 Pts, 1.7 Rebs, 2.8 Asts


Ramon Sessions
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 185 lbs.
Birthday: 04/11/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Myrtle Beach
Previous Team: Nevada , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #26 in 2007 Draft
by the Bucks
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible:
Quick Stats:
15.8 Pts, 3.1 Rebs, 4.8 Asts


Javaris Crittenton
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 5"
Weight: 194 lbs.
Birthday: 12/31/1987
26 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Southwest Atlanta Christian
Previous Team: Georgia Tech , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #19 in 2007 Draft
by the Lakers
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG/SG
Quick Stats:
14.5 Pts, 4.4 Rebs, 6.7 Asts


Mustafa Shakur
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 183 lbs.
Birthday: 08/19/1984
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Friends Central
Previous Team: Avellino , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
18.9 Pts, 5.0 Rebs, 6.8 Asts


Gabe Pruitt
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 170 lbs.
Birthday: 04/21/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Westchester
Previous Team: USC , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #2 in 2007 Draft
by the Celtics
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG/SG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
13.8 Pts, 2.8 Rebs, 2.4 Asts


Dominic James
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 0"
Weight: 175 lbs.
Birthday: 10/05/1986
27 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Richmond
Previous Team: Marquette , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible:
Quick Stats:
15.4 Pts, 2.5 Rebs, 3.5 Asts


Ayinde Ubaka
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 200 lbs.
Birthday: 02/09/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Oakland
Previous Team: California , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PG/SG,
NBA: PG/SG,
Possible: SG
Quick Stats:
5.3 Pts, 1.4 Rebs, 1.7 Asts


Zabian Dowdell
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 191 lbs.
Birthday: 09/10/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Pahokee
Previous Team: Enisey , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PG/SG,
NBA: PG/SG,
Possible: PG/SG
Quick Stats:
5.2 Pts, 1.9 Rebs, 3.6 Asts


Aaron Brooks
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 0"
Weight: 161 lbs.
Birthday: 01/17/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Franklin
Previous Team: Oregon , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #26 in 2007 Draft
by the Rockets
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible:
Quick Stats:
11.9 Pts, 2.7 Rebs, 5.2 Asts


Taurean Green
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 1"
Weight: 173 lbs.
Birthday: 11/28/1985
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Cardinal Gibbons
Previous Team: Florida , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #22 in 2007 Draft
by the Trailblazers
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
9.0 Pts, 2.1 Rebs, 3.2 Asts


Sean Singletary
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 0"
Weight: 184 lbs.
Birthday: 09/06/1985
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: William Penn Charter
Previous Team: Vitoria , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #12 in 2008 Draft
by the Kings
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
10.4 Pts, 3.3 Rebs, 4.1 Asts


Brandon Heath
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 181 lbs.
Birthday: 03/01/1984
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Westchester
Previous Team: San Diego State , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PG/SG,
NBA: PG/SG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
0.0 Pts, 1.0 Rebs, 2.0 Asts


Bobby Brown
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 1"
Weight: 165 lbs.
Birthday: 09/23/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Westchester
Previous Team: DongGuan , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
9.2 Pts, 2.4 Rebs, 3.2 Asts


Aaron Bruce
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 190 lbs.
Birthday: 12/21/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Horsham College
Previous Team: Baylor , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: SG,
NBA: PG/SG,
Possible:
Quick Stats:
1.7 Pts, 1.3 Rebs, 3.0 Asts


Steve Nash
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 187 lbs.
Birthday: 02/07/1974
40 Years Old
Teams:
High School: St. Michaels University
Previous Team: , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #15 in 1996 Draft
by the Suns
Positions:
Current: G,
NBA: PG,
Possible: G
Quick Stats:
6.8 Pts, 1.9 Rebs, 5.7 Asts


Chauncey Billups
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 207 lbs.
Birthday: 09/25/1976
37 Years Old
Teams:
High School: George Washington
Previous Team: Colorado , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #3 in 1997 Draft
by the Celtics
Positions:
Current: G,
NBA: PG,
Possible: G
Quick Stats:
3.8 Pts, 1.5 Rebs, 2.2 Asts


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