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Just by the numbers...Evaluating this Year's Power Forward Crop
by: Mike Schmidt - D-League, NCAA Scout
June 20, 2007
Just by the numbers (Part One)...Evaluating this Year's Point Guard Crop

Just by the numbers (Part Two)...Evaluating this Year's Shooting Guard Crop

Just by the numbers (Part Three)...Evaluating this Year's Small Forward Crop

Statistics are an important measure used by NBA teams to assist in evaluating prospects. When scouting players, it can be helpful to examine the stats to see if they back up your observations of a player on the court.

Power forwards compose the fourth look at the statistical breakdown of the five positions, and the top 20 at each position will be included. Unfortunately, it is impossible for us to include international stats in this breakdown, thus Yi Jianlian, Zoran Erceg, and Mirza Teletovic have been excluded from this comparison.

Before looking through the following piece, it may be helpful to first examine the DraftExpress Stat Legend composed by Noah Libby-Haines to gain a better understanding of the statistics used.

All the applicable stats have been changed to account for pace of play and adjusted to 40 minutes to provide an equal ground to compare players. Keep in mind that level of competition, a player’s role in his team’s system, and age differentials (ie: freshman vs. seniors) mean that these numbers always have to be taken with a grain of salt.

Interested in making your own statistical comparisons? You can do so here.

Points Per Game



Nick Fazekas (who will show up quite a bit in this article) and Carl Landry lead the way here as the top scoring power forwards. Al Horford and Joakim Noah rank in the middle, which makes sense considering there were so many scoring options on the Florida team. Josh McRoberts ranks a disappointing second to last despite his large role with Duke this season.

Points Per Possession



Nick Fazekas was the most adept at putting up points with his many touches, while freshman sensation Brandan Wright is a close second [getting far fewer looks] at 1.26 points per possession. Glen Davis, Josh McRoberts, and Jermareo Davidson all struggle here, which may highlight their tendency to shoot jumpers rather than looking for higher percentage scoring chances near the basket. That, unsurprisingly perhaps, coincided with their teams having extremely disappointing seasons this year with them as #1 options. Carl Landry and Justin Doellman again rank near the top.

Free Throws Attempted Per Field Goal Attempt



This stat can be effective in measuring which players decide to attack the basket frequently rather than settling for jumpers. Caleb Green (absolutely outstanding at establishing position and using his body intelligently) was the most adept power-forward at drawing fouls in college, while the always very active Carl Landry, Joakim Noah, and Al Horford also rank high on the list. Nick Fazekas and Jermareo Davidson especially, and Brandan Wright, Glen Davis and Josh McRoberts to a lesser extent have all been labeled ‘soft’ at one point in their career, and this stat would seem to back up that accusation.


Blocks Per Game



Stephane Lasme led all power forward in blocked shots per game this season by a ridiculous margin, followed by Ekene Ibekwe, Herbert Hill and Jermareo Davidson. Joakim Noah also ranks high on this list as well, while some of the lesser explosive big men (Chris Richard, Caleb Green, Ivan Radenovic and Glen Davis) struggle to average a full block despite the 40 minute adjustment to their numbers.

Blocks Per Foul



This stat was designed to measure the effectiveness of a shot-blocker who has the ability to block the ball cleanly against the player who picks up a lot of fouls trying to block everything. Lasme comes in at the top of this category as well, and Brandan Wright and Jermareo Davidson managed to block plenty of shots without playing in a lot of foul trouble.

True Shooting Percentage



Created by John Hollinger, True Shooting Percentage was designed to measure the all around efficiency of a scorer. It can be calculated by using the formula: TS% = Pts/(2*(FGA + (.47*FTA). Chris Richard and Carl Landry were the most efficient scorers using this as a measure. Fazekas and Wright show here well once again, while Jermareo Davidson comes in last by a large margin. Josh McRoberts and Glen Davis again show their inefficiency.

Turnovers Per Game



Caleb Green and Jason Smith turned the ball over more frequently than any other power forward, followed by Carl Landry. All three of these players received a good amount of touches on the offensive end and were forced to carry the offensive load for their teams. Brandan Wright and Jermareo Davidson both rank well at the bottom of the list. Joakim Noah averaged an unusually high number of turnovers considering the amount of touches he received.

Rebounds Per Game



Rashad Jones-Jennings led the country in rebounding this season, and dominated the Sun Belt Conference on the glass. He comes up first here by a huge margin. Nick Fazekas, sometimes called soft, other times called unathletic, still rebounded the ball at an extremely impressive rate. Al Horford and Joakim Noah both put up dominant rebounding numbers despite playing next to each other, while Brandan Wright’s rebounding numbers suffered from playing next to Tyler Hansbrough.

Team Rebound Percentage



This stat can be effective when judging if a player’s rebounding numbers may be inflated due to teammates who struggled to grab loose balls. Rashad Jones-Jennings pulled down a whopping 36.7% of his team’s rebounds this year. Brandan Wright only pulled down 15.2% playing on a North Carolina squad with many good rebounders.

Assists Per Game



Josh McRoberts was the most effective passing big man of this year’s power forward class, showing the tools to be an effective high post big man at the next level. Joakim Noah continued to show his versatility in possessing the ability to dish the ball to the open man from both the low block and off the dribble, with his frontcourt partner Al Horford not far behind. Glen Davis also displayed a good feel for finding the open man. At the end of the list we find a few players who their teammates might consider to be “black holes.”

Player Efficiency Rating



Player Efficiency Rating, also created by John Hollinger, was designed to measure the overall statistical effectiveness of each player. PER may not be the best stat to use to compare college players, however, as it does not distinguish between level of competition, as Noah Libby-Haines explains.

Nick Fazekas dominated this category by a huge margin thanks to his terrific all-around numbers and efficiency, and was followed by Carl Landry and Al Horford. The bottom of the list has many players who weren’t called upon or were unable to be main scoring options this season, including Josh McRoberts.

Efficiency




Efficiency is a calculation generated by the NBA to determine the statistical effectiveness of a player. They use the formula EFF = ((PTs + ORs + DRs + Stls + Asts + Blks): ((FGA: FG) + (FTA: FT) + Tos))/g to compute this statistic. Nick Fazekas is again at the top of this list by a nice margin. Herbert Hill ranks second here due to his strong contribution to Providence, while Caleb Green is third.

Efficiency Per 40 Minutes



The traditional EFF statistic measures what is produced by a player, while the EFF per 40 measures the same statistics while taking minutes into consideration. This allows for the evaluation of potential while looking at a players' all-around contribution. Al Horford and Joakim Noah both benefit from the 40 minute adjustment, as they had the luxury of long rest periods thanks to a deep big man rotation at Florida.

Win Score per 40 Minutes



Win Score is a stat recently added to our database at DraftExpress, and was created by David Berri. The statistic is calculated using the formula: PTS + TRB + STL + .5* BLK + .5*AST - FGA - .5*FTA - TO - .5*PF / Min * 40. Nick Fazekas’ terrific play obviously contributed strongly to the season Nevada had, while NCAA Champions Al Horford and Joakim Noah fill the second and third spots on the list.
 
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Feedback for this article may be sent to mike.schmidt@draftexpress.com .

 

Yi Jianlian
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 7' 0"
Weight: 246 lbs.
Birthday: 10/28/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Previous Team: Guangdong , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #6 in 2007 Draft
by the Bucks
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF/C,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
23.5 Pts, 12.8 Rebs, 1.5 Asts


Zoran Erceg
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 11"
Weight: 196 lbs.
Birthday: 01/12/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Previous Team: FMP Belgrade , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF/C,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
11.3 Pts, 4.8 Rebs, 1.3 Asts


Mirza Teletovic
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 9"
Weight: 242 lbs.
Birthday: 09/18/1985
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Previous Team: Vitoria , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: SF/PF
Quick Stats:
8.6 Pts, 3.7 Rebs, 0.8 Asts


Nick Fazekas
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 11"
Weight: 225 lbs.
Birthday: 06/18/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Ralston Valley
Previous Team: Nevada , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #4 in 2007 Draft
by the Mavericks
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
26.3 Pts, 13.5 Rebs, 2.1 Asts


Carl Landry
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 248 lbs.
Birthday: 09/19/1983
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Vincent
Previous Team: Purdue , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #1 in 2007 Draft
by the Supersonics
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
4.2 Pts, 3.2 Rebs, 0.3 Asts


Al Horford
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 10"
Weight: 246 lbs.
Birthday: 06/03/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Grand Ledge
Previous Team: Florida , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #3 in 2007 Draft
by the Hawks
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF/C,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
18.6 Pts, 8.4 Rebs, 2.6 Asts


Joakim Noah
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 7' 0"
Weight: 223 lbs.
Birthday: 02/25/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Lawrenceville Prep
Previous Team: Florida , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #9 in 2007 Draft
by the Bulls
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF/C,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
12.6 Pts, 11.3 Rebs, 5.4 Asts


Josh McRoberts
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 10"
Weight: 240 lbs.
Birthday: 03/01/1987
27 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Carmel
Previous Team: Duke , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #7 in 2007 Draft
by the Trailblazers
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
8.5 Pts, 4.8 Rebs, 4.3 Asts


Brandan Wright
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 10"
Weight: 200 lbs.
Birthday: 10/07/1987
26 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Brentwood Academy
Previous Team: North Carolina , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #8 in 2007 Draft
by the Bobcats
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
9.1 Pts, 4.2 Rebs, 0.5 Asts


Glen Davis
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 9"
Weight: 298 lbs.
Birthday: 01/03/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: University
Previous Team: LSU , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #5 in 2007 Draft
by the Supersonics
Positions:
Current: C,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
12.1 Pts, 6.3 Rebs, 1.6 Asts


Jermareo Davidson
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 11"
Weight: 230 lbs.
Birthday: 11/17/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Wheeler
Previous Team: Alabama , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #6 in 2007 Draft
by the Warriors
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
16.7 Pts, 7.3 Rebs, 1.5 Asts


Justin Doellman
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 9"
Weight: 205 lbs.
Birthday: 02/03/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Ryle
Previous Team: Valencia , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
14.8 Pts, 4.6 Rebs, 2.5 Asts


Caleb Green
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 238 lbs.
Birthday: 07/10/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Memorial
Previous Team: Oral Roberts , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
17.1 Pts, 4.8 Rebs, 1.3 Asts


Stephane Lasme
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 213 lbs.
Birthday: 12/17/1982
31 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Leon MBA
Previous Team: Panathinaikos , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #16 in 2007 Draft
by the Warriors
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
10.7 Pts, 5.0 Rebs, 0.8 Asts


Ekene Ibekwe
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 9"
Weight: 208 lbs.
Birthday: 07/20/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Carson
Previous Team: Maryland , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
7.2 Pts, 4.6 Rebs, 0.3 Asts


Herbert Hill
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 10"
Weight: 232 lbs.
Birthday: 10/01/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Kinston
Previous Team: Providence , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #25 in 2007 Draft
by the Jazz
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
10.1 Pts, 8.4 Rebs, 0.8 Asts


Chris Richard
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 9"
Weight: 252 lbs.
Birthday: 12/25/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Kathleen
Previous Team: Florida , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #11 in 2007 Draft
by the Timberwolves
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
4.7 Pts, 4.7 Rebs, 1.0 Asts


Ivan Radenovic
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 11"
Weight: 226 lbs.
Birthday: 06/10/1984
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School:
Previous Team: Arizona , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
5.1 Pts, 3.7 Rebs, 1.6 Asts


Jason Smith
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 11"
Weight: 233 lbs.
Birthday: 03/04/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Platte Valley
Previous Team: Colorado State , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #20 in 2007 Draft
by the Heat
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF/C,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
9.7 Pts, 5.8 Rebs, 0.9 Asts


Rashad Jones-Jennings
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 235 lbs.
Birthday: 08/31/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Howard
Previous Team: Arkansas LR , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
2.5 Pts, 1.5 Rebs, 0.0 Asts


Tyler Hansbrough
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 9"
Weight: 234 lbs.
Birthday: 11/03/1985
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Poplar Bluff
Previous Team: North Carolina , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #13 in 2009 Draft
by the Pacers
Positions:
Current: PF,
NBA: PF,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
9.4 Pts, 5.1 Rebs, 0.3 Asts


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