DraftExpress: NBA Coverage

Remember:

NBA Scouting Reports: Filling in the Blanks- Small Forwards (Part Two)

by: Matt Kamalsky - Director of Operations

November 17, 2009

In these reports, we take a look at the point guards moving into their fourth year in the NBA. As we found when we identified which players from the 2005 draft were still in the League, the trajectory of a player's career is often unpredictable, which is why we opted to wait until this group was transitioning out of their rookie contracts to gauge their progress.

Ronnie Brewer

Overview:A talented former lottery pick who has developed into a quality player. Has excellent size, strength, and length for a wing player. A gifted overall athlete who can impact the game on both ends of the floor. Strong, quick, and explosive. An effective offensive player who is just as capable defensively. Does a lot of things well, but doesn’t stand out in any one area. Not a very good shooter, notorious for his awkward mechanics. Was a highly effectively player during his three year career at Arkansas, improved his offensive output each season and proved to be an impact defender. Played a bit part for the Jazz as a rookie, but came on strong in his second year. Has become a key cog next to a number of more productive offensive talents. Blends in to a lot of different lineups and can guard multiple positions. Great teammate on and off the court. Extremely high character. May not be able to develop his shot to become a high level scorer, but remains a very valuable asset because of how well-rounded he is. Son of former NBA player Ron Brewer.

Offense: A very efficient, mistake-free offensive player whose value lies in his ability to get to the free throw line and finish around the basket. Rare wing player who shoots over 50% from the field year in and year out. Gets roughly a fifth of his offense from each of cuts, spot ups, and fast breaks. Extremely effective player in transition who uses his speed and length well. Creates many of his own fast break opportunities by getting in the passing lanes. A no-frills finisher who takes the ball strong to the rim and doesn’t shy away from contact. Moves well without the ball, allowing him to benefit from a quality point guard like Deron Williams. Sets his cuts up well and is extremely decisive with the ball. A solid passer who displays good vision and is very unselfish. Fills his roll well. Takes care of the ball, and isn’t flashy with the ball in his hands, using simple crossovers and spin moves to beat recovering defenders. Turns the ball over at a minuscule rate, which is impressive considering his proficiency as a slasher. Doesn’t have good shooting mechanics due to a childhood accident. Elevates well and is able to shoot off the dribble, but can’t get his elbow in to refine his mechanics. Takes about as many jumpers as shots at the rim. A solid option due to his ability to complement the talents of his teammates. Can make shots running off screens from short range in the Flex Offense, but is less effective the further away from the rim he goes. Shooting is clearly his weakness, but he proves very capable in almost all other areas.

Defense:A high quality defensive player who has always been able to force turnovers with his outstanding size, length and lateral quickness. Extremely good at getting in the passing lanes and creating coast-to-coast opportunities. Active, but not to the point that he plays himself out of position. Plays a smart brand of defense. Won’t go for the block when closing out shooters of over-commit in one direction when his man drives. Plays with nice discipline and fundamentals. Will get on the floor to secure the ball, and hasn’t been asked to be a high level rebounder. Not as aggressive as a defensive specialist, but does a good job considering he often has to guard the opposing teams’ top perimeter threat.

Rodney Carney

Overview: An athletic wing who has had a hard time translating his awesome physical tools into a niche in the NBA. One of the most impressive leapers in the NBA. Elite run-jump athlete. Has very good size and length. Mother was an elite sprinter and half brother, Ron Slay, is also a professional basketball player. Has always been lauded for his athleticism, but is prone to taking too many jump shots. Improved consistently throughout his four year career at Memphis. Was named the Conference USA Player of the Year as a senior. Garnered a selection in the middle of the first round. Saw a decent amount of playing time as a rookie in Philadelphia, but has been unable to take the next step in his career thus far. Returned to the 76ers and played one year with the Timberwolves. Has been able to make some plays with his athleticism, but still has yet to reach his potential, due to his underdeveloped basketball IQ.

Offense: An inefficient offensive player who has the tools to be far more effective. Gets about half of his offensive opportunities in spot up situations with another quarter coming in transition. Excels in open space. Has solid form on his shot, which features excellent elevation. A solid set shooter whose efficiency plummets when he puts the ball on the floor. Will fade away a bit when he has a hand in his face. Has never been much of a ball handler, and still struggles to put the ball on the floor. Weak handle, limited feel and poor pull up jumper make it tough for him to take advantage of his absolutely outstanding first step. Proves to be a very capable finisher at the rim when he can get there. Explosive leaping ability makes it easy for him to out jump his defender to finisher. Will get in a bit of a rush in traffic. Doesn’t get to the line at all for a player that has the athleticism to get to the rim consistently. Takes a lot of jump shots considering how effective he is at the rim. Doesn’t turn the ball over too much, but doesn’t make his teammates better either. Not a terribly versatile offensive player, but has some tools that could serve him extremely well if he improved some parts of his game.

Defense: A solid defender when he wants to be. Doesn’t rebound the ball at a good rate or force many turnovers. Displays excellent lateral quickness at times when defending the ball, but doesn’t always get in a good stance. Does a solid job denying penetration when he commits to it. Able to defend multiple positions due to his foot speed. Doesn’t play a terribly aggressive brand of defense, but is prone to selling out to block shots when closing out. Has average fundamentals at best, maneuvering himself out of position when playing off the ball. Has his moments, but has the physical tools to be a real stopper. Feel for the game must improve to reach his potential.

Shawne Williams

Overview:A young combo forward who has plenty of talent but lacks the discipline or work ethic to take advantage of it. Very tall (6-9) and long (7-3 wingspan) for the three spot. Has the size to play the 4 in some spurts as a face-up option. Doesn’t display very much explosiveness, but is a smooth athlete who shows some deceptive athleticism. Lacks a degree of physical strength but has improved in that area a bit over time. Able to make some impressive plays with the ball in his hands. Had a solid campaign in his only season at Memphis. Named Conference USA Freshman of the Year due to his solid scoring, rebounding, and defensive production. Drafted by the Pacers, but struggled to translate his shot selection and versatility to the NBA level. Has had numerous off the court issues, and has not shown much willingness to act like a professional. Conditioning often looks questionable. Extremely young for a player of his experience level, and still has plenty of room for improvement if he were to get serious about basketball. May have burned too many bridges at this point and could be out of the league shortly.

Offense: Gets about one third of his offensive from spot up opportunities and another quarter from fast breaks. Likes to play more uptempo, where he can play to his strengths. Not the greatest option in a structured environment. Displays a quick release on his jumper, but isn’t always consistent with his form or rhythm. Will take some shots from beyond the arc, but proves erratic at best. A mediocre catch and shoot option, especially since with a hand in his face. Doesn’t always show ideal perimeter footwork and will take off balance shots. Not a very good ball handler for a forward hurting his ability to create better looks for himself. Extremely questionable decision-making off the dribble and equally questionable results when pulling up. Lack of bulk and explosiveness have hurt his finishing ability. Struggles in traffic, but displays a solid left hand at the basket. Will get some chances to face up with the ball on the block and looks pretty smooth when he does. Hasn’t gotten to the line much in the NBA. Not an efficient player. Not too turnover prone, but not much of a passer either. Can make some tough plays look easy thanks to his terrific talent level, but has yet to polish his game to the point that he can consistently connect the dots.

Defense: Not a very good defender. Has good length and some athleticism, but struggles to create turnovers due to his lack of great quickness. Doesn’t show the best fundamentals or awareness. Has a hard time getting over screens. Lacks the speed to recover once he’s beat. Will try and get a hand up shooters, but won’t always get in a good stance, loses the ball on the weakside, and will get pushed around by bigger defenders. Not a terribly poor rebounder, but lacks the bulk to hold his own in the paint.

Yakhouba Diawara

Overview: A long and athletic defensive-minded wing. Possesses a great build for either wing position and very good athleticism. Has a strong frame and nice quickness. Born in France, but played junior college basketball at Southern Idaho and two additional seasons in the NCAA at Pepperdine. Had a tremendous junior year, but took a step back as a senior. Wasn’t drafted, and returned to France to begin his career. Moved to Italy in mid-season where he found a tremendous amount of success, particularly shooting the ball. Earned an NBA contract in summer league with Denver, and saw the most minutes of his NBA career as a rookie. Signed as a free agent with the Heat.

Offense: Inefficient offensive player who relies very heavily on his 3-point shooting, with limited success. Gets the vast majority of his offensive opportunities in spot up situations with another significant portion coming in transition. Displays a compact jumper that accounts for nearly all of his shots. Doesn’t have much fluidity in his perimeter shot. Can hit the open three on occasion, but struggles when he has a hand in his face. Will miss some looks extremely badly. Seldom puts the ball on the floor, as he is a limited ball-handler who cannot create his own shot. Doesn’t get to the line too often. Camps out on the perimeter, maintaining his spacing, and waiting for kick outs. An opportunistic finisher who can attack the rim in a straight line and won’t force anything into the teeth of the defense. Doesn’t turn the ball over much, but isn’t a good foul shooter for a wing. Not much of a passer, feel for the game in general appears to be limited. Purely a role player, but needs to become a much more consistent 3-point shooter to carve out a role for himself in the NBA.

Defense: A quality defender who displays a high effort level and outstanding physical tools. Does his best to contest shots and uses his length to get a hand up on shooters. Displays active hands when defending the ball. A solid one-on-one defender who goes out and competes. Loses his man from time to time when defending the weakside, getting turned around when not defending the ball. Often defends players with superior physical tools, but is able to competently defend a few positions and makes up for that deficit with constant hustle. Doesn’t create many turnovers, but plays a solid brand of defense.

Feedback for this article may be sent to matt@draftexpress.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Scouting Reports: Filling in the Blanks- Small Forwards (Part One)

by: Matt Kamalsky - Director of Operations

November 9, 2009

Feedback for this article may be sent to matt@draftexpress.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Scouting Reports: Filling in the Blanks- the Point Guards

by: Matt Kamalsky - Director of Operations

October 9, 2009

In these reports, we take a look at the point guards moving into their fourth year in the NBA. As we found when we identified which players from the 2005 draft were still in the League, the trajectory of a player's career is often unpredictable, which is why we opted to wait until this group was transitioning out of their rookie contracts to gauge their progress.

Sergio Rodriguez
Overview: Spanish point guard whose creativity and passing ability allows him to standout. Possesses nice size for a point guard, but lacks bulk, length and ideal athleticism, which shows up primarily on the defensive end. Fairly fluid and agile, but lacks a degree of explosiveness that hurts him around the rim and makes it difficult for him to create his own shot against more physical defenders. Able to get to the rim by using changes of speed and impressive ball-handling ability, but typically looks to dish off rather than try and score himself. One of the most entertaining passers around. Still needs to develop his outside shot to make up for his lack of athleticism. Wasn’t the most efficient player for Estudiantes in the ACB or Euroleague, but proved to be an exciting prospect due to his masterful court vision. Saw solid minutes on the highest levels of European basketball at a young age. Played some meaningful minutes as a rookie, but saw his playing time fluctuate throughout Portland’s rapid rebuilding process. Traded to Sacramento in a salary dump. Faces a similar situation with two players in front of him. Could easily solidify his spot on the depth chart by improving his consistency from deep and becoming at least an average defender.

Offense: Not an efficient scorer, shooting under 40% from the field the past two years, but is as pure a point guard as you’ll find. Gets nearly half of his offensive opportunities running the pick and roll, with spot ups, isolations, and fast breaks accounting for the rest of his touches. Biggest weakness lies in his lack of a consistent outside shot. Displays passable form, but his consistency is still a work in progress due to somewhat questionable follow through. Leaves a lot of shots short and tends to fade away a bit. Not a great shooter off the dribble. Has improved his ability to catch and shoot from the outside, but still has a ways to go. Not a great finisher at the rim due to a lack of explosiveness. Makes his living as a passer. Always ranks in the top ten of nearly every per-40 minute passing metric. Not the quickest player, but handles the ball extremely well, and gets in the lane using subtle changes of speed and direction. Very deceptive with his first step. Has always had an excellent feel for getting his defender off balance, making a move, and then finding a teammate. Is not going to score a lot around the rim, and doesn’t get to the free throw line much to compensate. Not as flashy as he used to be, allowing him to cut down on his turnovers, though he remains extremely turnover prone on a per-minute basis. Always looking to create an easy look for his teammates, and does a great job putting getting his teammates the ball where they are comfortable on the pick and roll and in drive and dish situations. Most of his turnovers come on drives when he gets deep in the line and isn’t able to locate an outlet. Has half the equation figured out, but needs to dramatically improve his efficiency from the field and be more consistent from the foul line to take his game to the next level. Doesn’t need to score in bunches, just needs to take better advantage of the possessions he already uses.

Defense: Mediocre defender due to his lack of lateral quickness. length and strength. Really lacks the physical tools to not get taken advantage of by the quicker, stronger and more physical point guards of the league. Shows a good stance and moves his feet well when he’s pressuring the ball, knowing what matchups he can play up on and which he can’t. Doesn’t have too much trouble getting through screens despite his lack of strength, but will struggle when teams look to isolate him. Will freelance from time to time looking for a steal, and shows quick hands recovering loose balls and stripping opposing players. Pursues long-rebounds, sometimes putting himself out of position Doesn’t show the great fundamentals closing out shooters, and is often a step late recovering. Size doesn’t help him when contesting shots either. Has made strides under Nate McMillan, but still has a ways to go in order to justify bigger minutes.

Jordan Farmar

Overview: Solid back-up point guard who has issues with efficiency, but brings some things to the table in limited minutes. Possesses nice size, but possesses a slim build and average wingspan for a point guard. Tested out extremely well athletically in the pre-draft process, but doesn’t jump out as a freak athlete on the court, outside of the occasional big dunk. Doesn’t display great lateral explosiveness. Struggles to post efficient numbers due to a lack of consistency around the basket. Decision-making has been an issue at times. Developing into a solid defender. Used to be a much more dynamic offensive player. Former McDonald’s All-American spent only two seasons at UCLA where he posted eerily similar numbers in his only two years on campus. Won the PAC-10 Freshman of the Year Award in 2005. Snuck into the late first round. Has been the Lakers’ back-up point guard ever since, but has seen his playing time fluctuate. Needs to prove that he can maintain his efficiency from season to season.

Offense: An inconsistent offensive player whose efficiency has been problematic since entering the League. Gets about a quarter of his offense from spot-ups, fast breaks, and pick and rolls in the triangle offense. A threat to hit shots from the outside. Doesn’t shoot or make as many threes as he did as a rookie, but displays good form and has decent consistency in catch and shoot situations. Not shy when he is given space, or feels he has an angle. Will fade away a bit when defended, and doesn’t always get consistent elevation, which coupled with his lack of great lateral quickness, limits him off the dribble. Plays with pace, but isn’t explosive enough to create separation without a pick or prove very effective at the rim, unless he has a clear path. Doesn’t go to his floater as often as he did during his time at UCLA. Won’t back down if he has a head of steam, but lacks the strength and leaping ability to finish at the basket with ideal consistency. Doesn’t draw contact at a high rate, and shoots a rather questionable percentage from the line. Displays very good court vision when he’s looking to distribute, but could be more selective with when he shoots and when he passes off the dribble. Runs the pick and roll pretty well, but often appears to be looking to shoot rather than pass. Not terribly turnover prone, since he tends to force midrange jumpers more often than drive into traffic. Likes to push the ball in transition, where his craftiness makes him an effective player. Has his moments operating in the triangle, but his lack of finishing ability hurts his efficiency within that framework, making his inconsistent perimeter repertoire that much more representative in his shooting percentages.

Defense: Lacking great quickness, length, and strength, Farmar is far from an ideal defensive player physically, but possesses a knack for creating turnovers. Actively tries to anticipate passes, allowing him to come up with quite a few steals by virtue of his good awareness and timing. Struggles to get around screens when defending the pick and roll, though he does his best to stay in position. Shows solid, but not great fundamentals, getting caught watching the ball from time to time. Doesn’t always close out under control either, taking himself out of the play in spot up situations. Decent one-on-one defender, moving his feet well and knowing when to give space and when to apply pressure. Won’t match up well with quicker players. Rebounds the ball at a solid rate for a guard nonetheless. Not a high level defender, but is capable.

Kyle Lowry

Overview: A short, but exceptionally athletic point guard who creates all kinds of problems with his excellent speed and quickness. Built and moves like an NFL running back. Extremely quick to take the corner off the dribble. Capable of playing above the rim, which is quite an accomplishment for a player his height. Very good at drawing defenders with his driving ability. Can cause all sorts of problems for his matchup by using his physical tools defensively. Not the most efficient perimeter scorer, which has limited him early in his NBA career. Has become a more efficient player on the whole since entering the League. Spent only two seasons at Villanova, one of which was shortened by an ACL injury. Physical tools and toughness made him a first round pick. Brings some things to the table as a back-up, but still has a ways to go as an all-around player.

Offense: A capable offensive point guard who is held back by some notable weaknesses. Gets about half of his touches as a primary ball handler in pick and roll and transition situations. Sees another quarter in spot up or one-on-one situations. Speed and quickness make him seem like an attractive player to handle the ball in many situations, he doesn’t complement his ability to create for others with a consistent jump shot. Has adequate form on his jumper, though he’ll fadeaway a bit when contested, doesn’t get consistent elevation, and doesn’t appear to have the best touch from three point range. Not a consistent threat from three point range. Doesn’t prove too efficient when he pulls up either due to his lack of size and elevation. Quickness compensates for that somewhat, as he is often able to get into the teeth of the defense or all the way to the rim. Extremely quick initial burst and low center of gravity allow him to turn the corner against most defenders. Gets to the rim at a good rate, and goes to the line with excellent frequency for a point guard. Not the best finisher since he often has to get creative to compensate for his lack of height. Capable of finishing acrobatically, and looks more comfortable when he can shake his man and create a seam than when he has a full head of steam heading to the rim. Could improve his finishing opportunities by forcing defenders to respect his floater or outside shot. Has blossomed as a playmaker. Has moments of absolute brilliance in both half-court and transition settings. Displays excellent vision, and though he will at times attempt some jumpers that may not be the most efficient option, he gets his teammates involved at a high rate. Ability to draw additional defenders is a huge plus, though most of his turnovers come when he turns the corner and finds himself trapped. Isn’t big enough to dish the ball out of traffic when he can’t create a seam. Could cut down on his turnovers by developing a more effective pull up jumper so that he doesn’t have to look to penetrate into traffic. Not a terribly flashy ball handler, proving able to get to where he wants to go with the ball with his physical tools alone. Forces opposing defenders to stay on their toes, and is a consistent jumper away from presenting a dynamic matchup problem for many backup point guards.

Defense: A staunch defensive point guard who is limited by his size, but makes up for that with pure grit and determination. Displays very good lateral explosiveness, gets down in a decent stance, and uses his strength relatively well on the pick and roll. Displays excellent recovery speed, but is susceptible to players who change direction quickly off the bounce, taller players that can hit midrange shots, and effective screens. Lack of size hurts him when defending virtually all catch and shoot situations. Leaping ability helps him a bit, but doesn’t completely compensate for his weaknesses. Could stand to improve his fundamentals, as he gets caught out of position by overcommitting when he decides to help off his man. Makes an impact when he’s focused on pressuring the ball. Comes up with quite a few steals for a player his height. Very quick to the ball when he sees a chance to get a steal. Quality rebounder for his size as well. Always looking for a chance to take possession of the ball and push. Has a tendency to reach in once he’s beat. Not a great defender due to his limitations, but offers some obvious value off the bench thanks to his speed and toughness.

Chris Quinn

Overview: Steady, but unspectacular back-up point guard who sees minutes due to his ability to play low-mistake basketball. Posseses average size and questionable athleticism for an NBA point guard. Lacks great physical tools, but proves to be a very heady, fundamentally sound player, with a microscopic turnover rate. Plays like a veteran, and has since the middle of his rookie year. Very capable outside shooter who doubles as an efficient distributor. Lacks ideal defensive tools. Developed into quite a player during his time at Notre Dame. Really showed off his point guard skills as a senior. Picture perfect shooting mechanics have always been an asset for him. Didn’t wow anyone with what he brought to the table and ultimately went undrafted. Found himself in a perfect situation in Miami. Saw minutes as a rookie and was a key backup in his second year pro. Fits the third point guard mold perfectly with his smart play.

Offense: A consistent playmaker who is smart with the ball, can hit the three, but lacks the versatility and athleticism to be a high level offensive player, particularly inside the arc. Gets about a quarter of his touches as the ball handler in pick and roll situations and roughly forty-percent of his touches in spot-up situations. Very capable jump shooter with excellent form, nice elevation, and great range. Shoots nearly half of his shots from beyond the arc. Doesn’t force too many contested jumpers, and doesn’t change his form at all when he does. Capable of hitting shots moving in either direction coming off of screens. Great catch and shoot threat who isn’t too bad off the dribble either. Doesn’t create enough separation to do much damage around the basket or with his pull up game. Limited by his size, strength, and leaping ability. Won’t go one-on-one unless he knows he’s not at a disadvantage. Improving his floater. An extremely capable point guard who has improved subtly since entering the League. Had a tendency to hold the ball for too long before giving it up in half court sets, but is considerably more decisive now. Has played with the poise of a much older player since his rookie year. Won’t make the tough pass very often, but will almost always make a smart one. Not a flashy ball handler, or one who will dribble himself into trouble. Plays the point guard spot in a low-risk, low reward manner that makes him a nice fit for teams with firepower at other positions. Catch and shoot ability is a nice bonus, since it compensates for what he lacks as a shot-creator.

Defense: Smart defender who whose lack of lateral quickness and size makes him a liability at times. Gets beaten off the dribble frequently, putting pressure on his teammates to help him. Doesn’t get in a great stance, but will give himself a cushion if he knows he’s at a disadvantage. Not going to tip many passes with his length, but will come up with an occasional loose ball due to his ability to anticipate. Shows more effort when his man catches the ball in the midrange, but lacks the length to effectively contest shots and the recovery speed to prevent his man from getting an open lane by running off of screens. Rebounds the ball at a decent rate for a player his size, but doesn’t do any one thing well enough defensively to compensate for the penetration he concedes.

Feedback for this article may be sent to matt@draftexpress.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Scouting Reports: Filling in the Blanks- the Shooting Guards

by: Matt Kamalsky - Director of Operations

September 13, 2009

In these reports, we take a look at the shooting guards moving into their fourth year in the NBA. As we found when we identified which players from the 2005 draft were still in the NBA, the trajectory of a player's career is often unpredictable, which is why we opted to wait until this group was transitioning out of their rookie contracts to gauge their progress.

J.J. Redick
Overview: One of the purest shooters in the history of the college game who is slowly carving out a niche in the NBA. Has been knocked for his lack of athleticism since his college days. Not very big or physical for his position either. Elite shooter. Has improved in other areas, but remains limited due to his lack of prototypical physical tools. Former McDonald’s All-American. Had a simply tremendous four year career at Duke. Was a high level scorer from day one, but reached outstanding heights as a junior and really solidified his draft stock as a senior. Named the ACC Player of the Year in each of his final two seasons, winning most consensus national player of the year awards in his last season under Mike Krzyzewski. Set the NCAA record for career three-pointers made, showing an unparalleled level of confidence, consistency, and shooting touch. Garnered a selection in the lottery despite questions about his ability to translate his game to the next level. Hasn’t proven to be the lights out NBA shooter than many had hoped he would become. Lack of efficiency inside the arc hurts him. Still a threat to spread the floor and has improved in small ways over his first few years.

Offense:Capable shooting specialist at this point, but not at the level that he once was. Gets almost half of his touches in catch and shoot situations, with jump shots accounting for virtually all of his offense. Very capable shooter when left open from the perimeter, but only a bit worse with a hand in his face. Always moving around the arc looking for daylight. Form still looks flawless. Not as dynamic on the move as he once was, having some issues hitting shots off balance against more athletic defenders. Inability to create ideal separation hurts him when he opts to pull up off the dribble too. Not a threat to do too much damage when he puts the ball on the floor, but has improved his ability to score around the rim since entering the League, though it doesn’t always show in his stats. Awesome foul shooter, though he doesn’t get to the line too often. Takes advantage of easy opportunities at the rim, having learned not to force things. Doesn’t display the most impressive ball handling ability or passing, but isn’t turnover prone either.

Defense: Had his moments in the 2009 playoffs by playing extremely active, but will remain a potentially exploitable match up since he has to play all-out to be effective. Lacks ideal lateral quickness and strength. Shows very good fundamentals and displays nice awareness off the ball. Doesn’t possess the explosiveness or length to force many turnovers, but will get a hand up on shooters. Struggles in one-on-one situations, but works hard to fight through screens to stay with his man on the pick and roll. Will look to secure long rebounds. Not an ideal defensive option, though his effort level will help compensate for all of his shortcomings on a game-to-game basis.

Shannon Brown
Overview: Powerfully built shooting guard. A bit undersized, but blessed with outstanding strength, a big wingspan, and explosive leaping ability. Not a great offensive talent, but has improved his efficiency and decision-making considerably. Plays tough defense. Was a highly touted prep player, playing in the McDonald’s All-American Game and being named Illinois Mr. Basketball while at Proviso East (IL). Didn’t make a big splash in the NCAA right away, but became a very solid overall player by his junior year. Landed in the late first round and struggled mightily early in his NBA career. Showed a glaring lack of efficiency in his first two seasons in the NBA, but turned things around in 2009 with the Lakers, playing a role in their Championship run. Made a sizeable impression, appearing to find his niche down the stretch.

Offense: Surprisingly efficient offensive player for the Lakers after struggling for so long. Gets about a third of his offense in spot-up situations, with another sizeable portion coming from fast breaks, cuts to the basket, and one-on-one opportunities. Never known as a great jump shooter, but showed marked improvements down the stretch. Has decent form highlighted by excellent elevation and a compact release. Doesn’t rush his jumper as much as he did early in his NBA career, helping him quite a bit. Pretty solid catch and shoot player when given time and space. Not nearly as consistent with a hand in his face or when he’s forced to pull up off the dribble. Triangle caters to his shooting ability and allows him to use his explosiveness at the rim as well. Extremely quick first step and attacks the rim like a cannonball. Not going to show a lot of shifty ball handling in the lane, but handles the ball intelligently, making one move and attacking. Very capable finisher due to his excellent leaping ability. Moves well off the ball, taking advantage of opportunities to go back door. Not a natural playmaker, but not horribly turnover prone either. Seems to have really worked on the things that will help him in the triangle.

Defense: Really solid defensive guard. Long, aggressive, active, quick, and strong. Gets down in a stance and shows solid lateral explosiveness, though he doesn’t respond well when he has to change directions on a dime. Doesn’t get blow by very often, preferring to give a foul than an easy basket. Shows solid defensive fundamentals when closing out shooters, not leaving his feet for anything short of a very aggressive shot fake. Displays very active hands, allowing him to strip the ball away in some situations. Lack of ideal lateral agility hurt him against some elite guards, though he’s able to compensate with other tools, and does a very nice job against shooting guards as well.

Daniel Gibson
Overview:Essentially a shooting specialist who is capable of spending time at both guard spots, but is naturally better as a scorer. Has solid size for a point guard, but remains undersized for a shooting guard. Not a great athlete, but passable. Doesn’t play the point much at this juncture. Was a dominant high school player, winning a state championship with Jones HS (TX) and playing in the McDonald’s All-American game. Proved to be a capable scorer during his two seasons at Texas. Won the Big 12 Freshman of the Year Award. Took a step back in some areas as a sophomore, and ultimately fell into the second round. Garnered a selection in the second round, but received a guaranteed deal and played a major role in Cleveland’s playoff success as a rookie. Had an outstanding season shooting the ball in 2008. Appeared to be a legitimate steal considering where he was drafted. Was knocked out of the 2008 playoffs with a separated shoulder, which coupled with an offseason ankle surgery and a toe injury, prevented him from rebounding with a strong regular season. Playing under a highly affordable deal.

Offense: A quality spot up shooter who fell into a bit of slump when he wasn’t healthy. Gets almost half of all of his shots up from catch and shoot situations from three. Deadly accurate from three point range for stretches early in his career. Gets good elevation on his shot and is not a liability with a hand in his face. Capable of making shots with consistency off the dribble when healthy, but proves inconsistent for stretches. Will make and take some off balance jumpers when he gets hot. Prefers to pull up when driving left and tends to attack the basket when driving right. Does very little damage at the rim due to his lack of physical strength. Size and frame hurt him in one-on-one situations as well. Displays a decent floater, but needs to improve its consistency. Looks solid handling the ball, but will struggle against full court pressure, and simply doesn’t offer the playmaking ability you look for from a point guard. Not very turnover prone, which helps make up for his lack of creativity and passing. Looks for his own shot when running the pick and roll. Has had his moments as a scorer in the past. Really an asset when he’s healthy and shooting up to his potential, regardless of his ability to play the point.

Defense:Not an ideal option defensively. Lacks the lateral quickness to keep up with the elite point guards in the NBA and the physical strength to effectively defend bigger guards. Shows a willingness to get down in a stance and move his feet, but struggles with screens and allows quite a bit of penetration. Will get a little too aggressive when closing out shooters, but gets a hand up when he can. Doesn’t force many turnovers out on the perimeter, but has a real knack for stripping the ball when he digs into the post. Quick hands and smarts allow him to make an occasional play, but that doesn’t compensate for his other shortcomings.

Feedback for this article may be sent to matt@draftexpress.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Scouting Reports: Filling in the Blanks- Power Forwards (Part 2)

by: Matt Kamalsky - Director of Operations

September 4, 2009

NBA Scouting Reports: Filling in the Blanks- Power Forwards (Part One)

LaMarcus Aldridge

Overview: One of the NBA’s most gifted young big men. A near 7-footer with a near 7-5 wingspan. Not just tall, but relatively well built too. Has added some bulk to his frame since appearing on the NBA radar. Shows good mobility, but is more smooth than explosive as an athlete. Long strides make him a factor in transition. Matches his athleticism with an outstanding skill set. Could have been a high draft pick after his freshman season at Texas, but opted to return to school. Had breakout years as a sophomore in both the NCAA and the NBA. Named Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year before being selected 2nd overall and subsequently traded to Portland. Has become one of the better players at his position in just three seasons. Posting better numbers now than he did in college. Likely bound for an All-Star game in the not too distant future. Should be locked up into a contract extension soon. Lacks a certain degree of toughness, which manifests itself on the defensive end primarily at times.

Offense: Exceptionally talented big man who maintains an outstanding level of efficiency across the board. Gets almost half of his possessions in one-on-one situations, whether they come in the high or low-post. Also sees a significant number of touches in spot situations, off of pick and rolls, and working without the ball. Exceptionally balanced for a post player his age. Has all sorts of offensive tools. Does an average job acquiring position on the block, often receiving the ball in the mid-post when well defended. Shows better strength and significantly more tenacity once he has the ball. Displays all kinds of offensive moves, but prefers to use a turnaround jumper over his right shoulder that allows him to use his exceptionally high release point to get a decent look almost any time he wants it. Gets the majority of his touches on the left block so he can make his move towards to base line. Not ineffective going over his left shoulder. Likes to simply try and turn the corner and go to the rim using his long strides when he turns that way. Shows a turnaround going right, but shoots it with a slow release, almost double clutching the ball on the way up. Displays a nice hook with his right hand as well. Will often use a dribble to back his man down and then take whatever his defender gives him. Will only be over-aggressive in the post if he feels he has a major size and quickness advantage. Displays a good face-up game, tending to take a dribble to the middle and then spin to a turnaround jumper when the defense responds or just shoot the ball immediately. Extremely smooth in virtually everything he does. Still developing his catch and shoot jumper. Not quite as effective when he has time and space from outside of 17-feet as he is with his turnaround when well-defended in the post. Displays decent form, but seems a little hurried at times in catch and shoot situations. Still a definite threat, but would be a nightmare to defend if he improved that part of his game and became merely a respectable threat from three point range. Just as efficient with a hand in his face as he is wide open from the perimeter, and more efficient after a dribble than he is from a stand still –a testament to his shot-making ability. Very capable ball handler for a near 7-footer. Almost never turns the ball over in relation to most players near his high usage level. Doesn’t get to the line at a very high rate for his skill level, since he makes most of his moves going away from his defender. Still proves to be a very good finisher, using his length and leaping ability to finish his offensive rebounds, cuts to the basket, and transition opportunities with a dunk whenever possible. Runs the court well and uses his mobility very well on the pick and pop. Seldom rolls to the basket after setting a screen, which has more to do with Portland’s centers than Aldridge himself. Extremely high level offensive rebounder due to his wingspan, timing, and athleticism. Versatile, skilled, and careful with the ball, Aldridge has room to improve his efficiency, but has became an awesome offensive weapon in just a year and a half.

Defense: Capable defender who gives an effort if nothing else. Displays the anticipation to use his length to come up with some steals and block some shots. Not a standout in either area, but is a threat to make some plays. Blocks most of his shots on the ball, though one of his biggest weaknesses revolves around his lack of tenacity when defending the ball one-on-one around the basket. Will let himself get beaten with aggressive drop steps and allows himself to get pushed around more than he should. Doesn’t use leverage terribly well. Not a bad defender, but his lack of great energy coupled with some issues with his fundamentals limit him. Has some problems committing to hedging screens, not showing a great sense of urgency recovering to his man and giving up some open looks that he’s often still able to get a hand up on by using his length. Does a decent job defending penetration in that he takes away the lane, but tends to be content with defending his matchup from the side when they look to attack the rim, instead of beating him to the spot. Size makes his lack of great lateral explosiveness understandable. Doesn’t prove to be a very good defensive rebounder, some of which has to do with the players Portland deploys around him, but is also caused by a lack of aggressiveness when boxing out. Overall, Aldridge plays a position based brand of defense that doesn’t sell out his teammates, but he’s capable of being more active in the midrange and tougher on the block.

Tyrus Thomas

Overview: Breathtaking athletic specimen who is still trying to come into his own as a player. A bit undersized for a power forward, but makes up for that with a 7-3 wingspan and some of the quickest and most explosive leaping ability in the NBA. Not carrying around a lot of weight, which limits him in some regards. Doesn’t show an outstanding feel for the game, but looks a bit better than he did early in his career. Burst onto the scene as a second-year freshman at LSU. Used his athleticism, defensive, and emotional play to propel LSU to an SEC Championship and win the SEC Newcomer of the year award. Has gotten better in each of his seasons in the NBA, but hasn’t reached his ceiling as quickly as the Bulls may have hoped, although his defense and energy level is surely a huge plus. Still improving his efficiency and decision-making. Intense court-demeanor is representative of his personality. Still maturing off the court. The next two seasons, coupled with the end of his rookie deal, will play a big role in whether he is considered a legitimate option for Chicago or merely a highly gifted role-player.

Offense: Isn’t afforded the opportunity to play to his offensive strengths, nor does he possess the ideal offensive tools to be a highly productive offensive player at this point. Still averages in double figures despite systematic issues. Gets almost one-third of his offensive opportunities in spot up situations with hustle plays, pick and rolls, and isolations comprising most of the rest of his touches. Splits his overall field goal attempts pretty evenly between jump shots and finishing opportunities at the rim. Doesn’t do too much in the post. Displays an inconsistent jumper that looks good for stretches and highly questionable in others. Lacks consistency with his mechanics at times, elevating so well that he often changes his form from one shot to the next. Nonetheless, has improved that part of his game since entering the League, which has manifested itself in his markedly improved free throw shooting. Used to be considerably less confident from the perimeter. Still a ways away in terms of being a consistent threat to score from the midrange, especially in any efficient way. Very raw from the perimeter in general. Can create separation with his athleticism and get to the rim, preferring to drive with his left hand, but lacks consistent form on his pull up jumpers and struggles to finish with his left hand at times, presenting an obvious problem. Lacks advanced ball-handling ability, but is so quick that he can create an angle easily when his defender is caught off guard. Will usually be given a considerable amount of space, giving his defender a big enough cushion to take away from his quickness advantage. Still able to score despite those deficiencies due to his outstanding physical tools and aggressive mentality at the rim. Moves with purpose off the ball, gets up the floor as fast as any player at his position in the NBA, and tries to dunk anything and everything around the rim, making him an effective finisher and earning him a good amount of trips to the line. Solid offensive rebounder who doesn’t offer much as a playmaker. Offers so much physically, and will show flashes of outstanding promise, but doesn’t have a natural feel for how he wants to score. [/b]

Defense: Gifted defensive player who is one of the top shot blockers his height in the NBA. Ridiculous wingspan, quick leaping ability, and intensity make him quite a shot blocker, especially coming over from the weakside. Will block an occasional jumper, but has some issues defending the block against stronger players, as his lack of physical strength can get exposed. Still does a nice job getting a hand up, but can be taken out of the play by a bulky power forward with a good drop step. Takes some risks rotating over from the weakside, but displays very good quickness and a nose for the ball when coming over to help. Length makes him a factor in the passing lanes, and his lateral quickness makes him more than capable of denying penetration against matchups at both forward positions and most players he switches onto when hedging the pick and roll. Will play himself out of position at times by being too keen on defending the rim or being too aggressive with his rotations. Isn’t a great rebounder for his level of athleticism. Still a very high quality defender due to his ability to stay in front of his man, contest jumpers, and help clean up the mistakes of the players around him.

Renaldo Balkman
Overview: Undersized power forward whose hustle, defense, and scrappy play offensively allows him to effectively fill both forward positions. On the short side, only measuring in a shade over 6-5 without shoes, but boasts a 7-1 wingspan. Not the strongest player around either, but is a solid athlete and plays with an energy that helps him compensate for his size. Not a highly recruited player after attending a number of different high profile basketball academies, took time to mature and grow into the player he is now. Was a rather unheralded prospect coming out of South Carolina too, using back to back NIT titles and a NIT Most Valuable Player Award to earn a surprise selection in the first round. Was tabbed by then Knicks decision-maker Isaiah Thomas after his performances in Madison Square Garden and the Orlando Pre-Draft Camp. Has proven to be the type of defensive-minded roleplayer that he was billed as coming out of college. Rebounds the ball well and has become an efficient scorer, despite his lack of ideal jump shooting ability. Appears to understand his role and fill the defensive specialist role pretty well. Needs to take a page from Trevor Ariza and Mickael Pietrus and improve his shooting and polish some other aspects of his game to diversify what he brings to the table.

Offense: Functions almost exclusively as a hustle player. Able to add some value with his relentless pursuit of the ball. Gets about half of his offense off of cuts to the basket and offensive rebounds, with another quarter coming in transition. Not asked to create essentially any offense for himself. Doesn’t possess much in the way of perimeter scoring ability due to a lack of catch and shoot ability, a highly unreliable pull up jumper, and mediocre ball handling ability. Displays adequate form, though he needs to get more elevation on his jumper and develop better touch to expand his range. Lack of touch shows in his poor free throw percentage. Effort level won’t come into question. Constant motion and ability to get out in transition allows him to earn himself some open shots right at the rim. Competent finisher who is the beneficiary of a lot of good passes. Doesn’t have to deal with a lot of contact when he is looking to score at the basket, allowing him to be relatively efficient. Not an ideal option in half court sets due to his lack of polish, but doesn’t turn the ball over at a high rate. Strictly a fifth option almost any time he’s on the floor at this juncture.

Defense: Good defensive player whose hustle helps him make a much bigger impact on that end. Uses his length to effectively contest shots out on the perimeter, doing a decent job getting a hand in his man’s face when he can rotate to the shooter fast enough. Has some weaknesses that detract from his ability to be a good team defender. Tends to watch the ball when defending the weakside, leading to some open jumpers when he’s late getting back to his man. Often sells out to try and block the shot when closing out the perimeter, forcing his teammates to play 4 on 5 for the rebound. Has even more trouble with screens, getting taken out of the play too easily. Does not show great intensity or urgency with the way he moves defensively, but is considerably more aggressive and focused when his man looks to take him off the dribble. Shows good lateral quickness and appears to take a lot of pride when defending one-on-one. Won’t back down from a challenge, being very aggressive in isolation situations, but knowing that he isn’t big enough to defend back to the basket players and giving smart fouls. Long enough to block some shots, pull down some rebounds, and force some turnovers. Needs to improve his team defense to be a more complete defender.

Ian Mahinmi

Overview: A gifted, young, and athletic power forward who lacks the experience and polish to see significant minutes. Possesses good size and length for his position, and has packed on some muscle to his still somewhat skinny frame since entering the NBA. Displays good mobility and gets off the floor well. Nice athleticism for his size despite injury history. Intriguing physical tools along with rebounding and shot blocking instincts made him a prospect coming out of France. Spent two additional seasons in France after being drafted late in the first round by the Spurs. Showed some signs of improvement, a trend that has continued in his time playing with the Spurs’ NBADL affiliate, the Austin Toros. Still could develop into a nice roleplayer, but needs to stay healthy. Missed almost all of the 2008-2009 season with a bad ankle. Needs to get the development of his offensive game back on track and play minutes wherever he can in San Antonio’s organization.

Offense: Developing offensive player who shows flashes of potential. Gets most of his touches in the post or as a hustle player. Used to show extremely good lateral quickness that allowed him to create easy opportunities for himself on the inside and out. Time on the sidelines has hurt his explosiveness to a small degree and has generally slowed his development. Still able to use his speed to do some things in the post. Lacks the strength to consistently establish deep position, but shows a nice running hook over his left shoulder as well as developing turnaround and face up jumper. Displays very nice touch with his right hand around the rim across the board. Length makes his hook extremely difficult to block. Jumper is still a work in progress, looks capable when he has time and space, but lacks the mechanics to get good touch on every shot. Capable finisher around the basket who is able to do some damage on the offensive glass with his length. Gets to the line at a very good rate. Will go up strong when he has a lane to the rim. Needs to continue working on his post repertoire and left hand to take full advantage of the attempts he gets around the rim. Can put the ball on the floor with his back to the basket to get in better position to score, but is still a bit turnover prone. Will have to continue polishing his game from the midrange in to cut down on mistakes. Not much of a passer, but displays better vision than he did in his younger days. Has some obvious tools and potential, but definitely a work in progress on the offensive end.

Defense: Has very nice defensive tools, but still lacks the fundamentals to stay on the floor for extended minutes in an NBA setting. Length and athleticism allow him to effectively defend the midrange and contest shots, though his lack of physical strength hurts his ability to defend the paint against more experienced back to the basket scorers. Gets quite a few of his blocks defending the ball one-on-one. Needs to do a better job going straight up when he’s rotating over from the weak-side. Still prone to hacking shooters, leading to foul trouble. Got a free pass during his time in the NBADL, but will need to continue improving his discipline to help himself translate to the NBA level. Quick hands and feet for a big man, could stand to add weight to become a more complete package defensively and improve his ability to box out and battle for position on the block.

Feedback for this article may be sent to matt@draftexpress.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Scouting Reports: Filling in the Blanks- Power Forwards (Part 1)

by: Jonathan Givony - President, Matt Kamalsky - Director of Operations

August 25, 2009

With these scouting reports, we take a look at players moving into their fourth year in the NBA as well as some others that gained experience elsewhere before coming to the NBA. As we found when we identified which players from the 2005 draft were still in the NBA, the trajectory of a players career is often unpredictable, which is why we opted to wait until these players were transitioning out of their rookie contracts to gauge their progress.

Paul Millsap

Overview Steadily improving young big man who had a breakout season in 08-09, establishing himself as a legit cornerstone of the Utah Jazz. Extremely undersized for a power forward at just 6-6 without shoes, but has a nice 7-1 wingspan and a strong frame which helps compensate. Incredibly tough, aggressive player who finds a way to be productive. A crowd favorite thanks to the tenacity with which he plays. A complementary offensive player who understands his role extremely well and is very efficient. Made a name for himself first and foremost thanks to his rebounding skills, leading the NCAA in that category for three straight seasons. Not all that heralded coming out of high school, but still could have played for a high-major school should he have chose to. Decided to stay close to home at Louisiana Tech, thanks in large part to a family connection on the coaching staff. Left school a year early, but somehow slipped to the middle of the second round due to concerns about his size and potential weight issues. Immediately looked like a huge steal for the Jazz, leading them to lock him up on a three year rookie contract. Dedicated himself to maximizing his conditioning-level and improved his athleticism considerably. Had a breakout season on the last year of his deal, but was unable to secure a market-value contract due to his restricted free agent status. Signed an incredibly affordable deal with the Portland Trailblazers, which was matched without hesitation by the Jazz. Will be asked to transition into a bigger role once Carlos Boozer is traded or leaves in free agency next summer.

Offense: A role-player who doesn’t need plays called for him, and still manages to be extremely productive. Gets most of his offense by moving off the ball, crashing the offensive glass, and running the floor in transition. Shoots a very high percentage from the field, as he appears to understand his role extremely well and plays to his strengths in a major way. Sets terrific screens and then aggressively dives to the rim, often being rewarded for his efforts by his unselfish teammates, particularly Deron Williams, who he has great chemistry with. Has excellent hands and finishes extremely well around the basket due to his smarts, terrific touch, body control, and ability to use both hands effectively. Runs the floor harder than anyone, often beating opponents down the court through sheer effort. Gets to the free throw line at a very good rate, and converts nearly 70% of his attempts once there. Not a masterful ball-handler, but a rapidly improving one. Shows flashes of potential with the ball from time to time, leading you to believe that he could become a very effective option to isolation facing the basket. Has a very quick first step and likes to spin and pivot sharply on his way to the rim. Will post on the block occasionally, but not isn't quite as effective in this area. Doesn’t possess a tremendous skill-level at this point, and tends to get blocked more than you might hope at the rim. Not a high-flyer, gets by more-so with his smarts and aggressiveness. Beginning to expand the range of his jump-shot. Can make a 17-foot jumper every now and again, but still needs to continue to work on this part of his game. Rushes his shot, doesn’t always set his feet, and appears to just fling the ball at the basket. Unselfish player who has improved his feel for how to operate in a half-court offense under Jerry Sloan’s tutelage. Posts a positive assist to turnover ratio, and has gradually made strides in this area year by year. Tremendous offensive rebounder.

Defense: Very aggressive defender who puts a lot of effort in and takes pride in his play. Defends both the 4 and the 5 spots in Utah, which can lead to some mismatches. Not afraid to stick his nose in and take a charge. Has good lateral quickness and is effective stepping out and hedging screens. Could still stand to improve his perimeter defense. Will get caught flat-footed at times against quicker face-up power forwards. Struggles at times when being posted up by bigger power forwards or traditional centers, doesn’t always have the size or the girth to push them off the block and contest their shots. Not going to give in without a fight though. Seems to lose his focus from time to time and get lost within his team’s defensive scheme. Will come up with the occasional steal and block, but isn’t a real stat-stuffer in either category. Very good defensive rebounder, though. Traditionally very foul prone because of how hard he competes, but has learned to cut down on the amount of fouls he commits recently. Has room to continue to improve on this end of the floor.

Craig Smith

Overview: An undersized bruiser who has proven to be a capable role-player already. Stands only 6-5 1/2 without shoes with a solid 6-9 1/2 wingspan. Not terribly fast or agile, but will surprise with his speed once he gets a head of steam. Compensates with outstanding physical strength. Came into the NBA carrying around quite a lot of additional weight, but has packed on muscle to the point that his physique is very impressive. Throws his weight around in the paint on both ends. Very productive, efficient offensive player on a per-minute basis. Was every bit the bruiser he is now during his high school and college days. Was one of the best players in the Big East as soon as he stepped on the floor for Boston College. Built on a dominant freshman season with three comparably impressive campaigns that saw his numbers waver around roughly the same marks across the board. Wasn’t drafted in the first round due to his size and the perception that he may have peaked early and reached his potential. Also suffered a hand injury during the pre-draft process that hampered him from changing his fate in private workouts. Stepped into an ideal situation with the rebuilding Timberwolves and played significant minutes immediately. Transformed his body to compensate for his size and handle the rigors of interior play on the NBA level. A steal considering where he was drafted and how much he has contributed early on. Not a high potential player, but a solid third big man.

Offense: More diverse offensively than one would expect a bruiser of his size, and extremely efficient. Doesn’t get an especially large amount of his offense from any one particular area. Capable of scoring off of cuts, spot-ups, isolations, pick and rolls, post-ups, and offensive rebounds alike. Especially effective around the rim, but not incapable from the perimeter either. Capable of scoring off of a number of moves in the post. Likes to face-up on the left block. Gives a hard jab when he swings through to the right and aggressively tries to beat his man to the middle of the floor. Likes to lean in a bit on his drives, especially against good shot blockers, to push them out of position. A bit more diverse on the right side, showing the ability to beat his man to the basket with drop steps, some deceptive counter moves, and the ability to finish plays with both hands. Prefers to go up with his right, showing excellent touch from the short range, often getting the roll on some ambitious shots in close. Uses his low center of gravity to punish his defender and give himself adequate space to get his shot off. Extremely comfortable scoring when he’s defended, though some players are able to keep him far enough away from the rim that he can’t get a good shot up. Very capable finisher despite his average athleticism, due to his strength and touch. Not a very good offensive rebounder, lack of leaping ability and length hurts his productivity in that regard. Physical aggressiveness helps him get to the line at a great rate. Surprisingly good ball handler for his size. Shows enough quickness to get an adequate angle to the rim to effectively use his strength to bowl his defender out of the way. Not a great shooter when he opts to get open shots from the outside, showing a flat release that yields average results. Not a total liability though. Could stand to improve his free throw percentages, as well as his decision-making as a passer. Efficient in many situations, making him attractive off the bench in most systems.

Defense: Capable defender who does some things well, but lacks the sheer physical profile to be as solid as his defensive ability would allow. Shows solid fundamentals defending the ball down low, and will surprise players on the perimeter with his lateral quickness. Gets in a good stance and does his best to stay in front, but is a bit too heavy capably defend some of the more perimeter oriented bigs in the NBA today. A little too aggressive when he closes out smaller players, often struggling in mismatches. Struggles against forwards that have the ball handling ability to change directions after a hard initial move. Has no trouble holding position down low, though his lack of size hurts his ability to get in the passing lanes and contest shots. Physique makes him more suitable to defend centers, but his height negates that. Poor rebounder, well below average from a productivity standpoint for his position. A bit foul prone, showing a tendency to reach when his man makes a quick crossover when he’s backpedaling. Gets points for effort, but doesn’t have the tools to be a good defensive asset.

Shelden Williams

Overview:Undersized for either post spot, but blessed with a 7-4.25 wingspan and excellent physical strength, especially in his upper body. Proves to be pretty mobile, but isn’t terribly explosive or terribly smooth. Has had all kinds of problems staying on the court during his NBA career, but has proven to be a capable rebounder. Improved statistically during each of his seasons at Duke, primarily by cutting down on his fouls, but was the same bruising forward back in his days at Midwest City HS (OK). Two time ACC and NCAA Defensive Player of the Year. First Team All-American as a senior. Despite being considered more of a finished product and having a lower ceiling than other prospects, he was tabbed by the Hawks as the fifth overall pick in 2006. No one needed hindsight at the time to realize that Atlanta reached badly for him, which likely ultimately cost Billy Knight his job. Has appeared on four rosters in three seasons, limiting the continuity around him and making it harder for him to translate his game to the NBA. A cautionary tale of how productivity on the highest levels of college hoops don’t always translate to the NBA. Hasn’t been terribly lucky in terms of the situations he’s been placed in either. Clearly will not be able to live up to his draft position, and needs to use his audition with the Celtics to solidify himself as a legit NBA player. Faces an uphill battle with a dearth of bigmen ahead of his on the depth chart and only a one-year deal. Married to WNBA superstar Candace Williams.

Offense: Not an ideal scoring threat due to a lack of efficiency. No longer gets even a quarter of the shots he did while playing at Duke. Has had a hard time transitioning his game to a significantly smaller role. Still bring some tools to the table. Offensive rebounding ability earns him some easy shots at the rim, as does his off-ball movement and low-post scoring ability. Has not finished at the rim with very good consistency, having a hard time dealing with more athletic defenders. Often winds up adjusting his short range shots, leading to misses. Shows some solid moves in the post, which isn’t surprising considering what he did at Duke. Not able to bully his way into ideal position to score, making it hard for him to score, even when he’s gotten himself open with a series of shot-fakes and drop steps. Draws contact at a good rate, earning himself some trips to the line. Not a bad catch and shoot option, showing nice rhythm and consistent form on his midrange jumper. Doesn’t get too many chances to take shots from the outside. Has a flat release and doesn’t elevate much, which is an issue for him at times. Often a liability when he puts the ball on the floor, not showing the quickness to beat his man to the rim and often dribbling into traffic. Has had a rough go of transitioning his power based offensive game to the NBA where more athletic shot blockers are able to stay in the play well enough to put him out of his comfort zone. Aggressive mentality helps him at times, but his lack of post efficiency is a major concern, as his conversion rate detracts from what he offers in other areas.

Defense: Strong defender with good length whose tendency to aggressively defend short range shots and dribble drives make him extremely foul prone. Extremely good at holding position in the post due to his willingness to bang bodies on every play. Won’t get tossed around by the average big man. Will get a little too aggressive fighting for space on the block. Will get beaten to the rim on occasion, and will have his share of issues with the more explosive athletes at his position. Shows nice defensive awareness when defending the perimeter, knowing his limitations in terms of lateral quickness, using his length to contest shots and give himself a cushion, and showing a good stance. Willing to get on the floor and fight for the ball. Quite a shot blocker for his height, showing good timing, but lacks the size and spring to consistently reject shots. Boxes out well and aggressively pursues rebounds. Shows solid hands when looking to come up with steals or when cleaning the glass.

Oleksiy Pecherov

Overview: Big Ukrainian post player who can double as a center, but has an offensive game more suitable for a power forward. Decent athlete with good size and some bulk. Not as skinny as he was early in his career. More of a finesse player who uses his mobility and shooting to score from the outside and his size around the basket. Billed as a draft prospect during his time with BC Kyiv and Paris-Levallois Basket. Spent a year in the Ukraine before joining the Wizards after they tabbed him in the middle of the first round in 2006. More of an end of the bench type at this point who hasn’t been efficient in the limited opportunities he’s received. May be on his way back to Europe sooner rather than later.

Offense: Power forward who is capable of doing some damage from the inside and out. Gets about one-third of his touches as a spot up shooter, with other significant parts of his offense coming from a mix of post-ups, offensive rebounds, cuts to the rim, and pick and rolls. Shows NBA range on his jumper, though his form is a bit erratic, stemming from a lack of elevation and odd mechanics. Still a threat to hit the three, albeit on poor percentages thus far in his career. Looks pretty comfortable hitting shots on the move from the midrange, but really struggles when he’s forced off balance. Uses his jumper in the post as well, showing a decent turnaround jumper over his right shoulder. Extremely predictable down low, getting almost all of his touches on the left block, and either wanting to use his turnaround jumper of go to a running hook over his left. Doesn’t make many aggressive moves to the rim. Definitely more of a finesse player, though he attempts to back his man down low. Lack of strength hurts his impact on the interior. Not a good finisher at the rim, though he’ll occasionally surprise with his leaping ability with a putback jam. Could stand to be more aggressive to better utilize his solid free throw shooting ability. Capable rebounder who uses his length relatively well. Not much of a passer, nor a terribly aggressive player off the bounce. Needs to improve in one area of the game to be more efficient. An inside-outside threat who doesn’t do either with ideal consistency. An extremely poor passer who doesn’t appear to have a very good feel for the game.

Defense: Not a good defender at all due to his lack of athleticism, strength and physical toughness. Will get pushed around on occasion, though he’s much more prone to fighting for position than he once was. Shows nice fundamentals on the block staying in front of his man pretty well and not being too aggressive. Doesn’t have the lateral quickness to defend the perimeter all that well, but does his best to stay in position. Lack of quickness and leaping ability limit his ability to use his length as a shot blocker. Does a nice job boxing out when shots go up, making him a decent rebounder, and shows a similar level of hustle when hedging the pick and roll. Doesn’t close out well or show explosiveness when contesting shots, but keeps his feet moving and tries to work within the team concept if nothing else.

Feedback for this article may be sent to jonathan@draftexpress.com matt@draftexpress.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Scouting Reports: Filling in the Blanks- the Centers

by: Matt Kamalsky - Director of Operations

August 20, 2009

With these scouting reports, we take a look at players moving into their fourth year in the NBA as well as some others that gained experience elsewhere before coming to the NBA. As we found when we identified which players from the 2005 draft were still in the NBA, the trajectory of a players career is often unpredictable, which is why we opted to wait until these players were transitioning out of their rookie contracts to gauge their progress.

Marcin Gortat

Overview: Quietly emerged from Dwight Howard’s shadow during Orlando’s 2009 playoff run. Has a rather impressive physical profile. Complements his 7-0 size (in shoes) with a 7-3.5 wingspan and a sturdy 255 pound frame. Shows excellent straight line speed for a player his height, and is a very quick leaper as well. Has the strength to establish position on the block against many matchups. Not the most coordinated, agile, or graceful player, but is quite a physical specimen. Will bobble some passes, but doesn’t have bad hands. Originally drafted by the Phoenix Suns in 2005, but traded for cash on draft night. Developed considerably during his time with RheinEnergie Cologne of the German Bundesliga after learning the game in his native Poland. Saw little playing time in his first season in Orlando, and spent some time in the NBADL. Improved year after year, largely thanks to his outstanding work ethic. Played only 12.6 minutes per game this season, but offered great energy on defense and showed some major improvements, especially in his offensive arsenal. Ranked among the league-leaders in rebounds per-minute, and in the top-20 for blocked shots per-minute and field goal percentage. Signed an offer sheet for five years at the MLE with the Mavericks in July 2009, which the Magic subsequently matched. Locked in as Dwight Howard’s backup for the foreseeable future, which will limit his playing time, but hasn’t stunted his growth as a player thus far.

Offense: Not the most productive player in the world, but displays a predictable repertoire that lets him exploit some matchups with his athleticism and offer nice efficiency. Uses his foot speed and size well. Gets a lot of touches by being active without the ball and working hard, but also gets some touches one-on-one in the post. Creates very few of his offensive looks on his own. Can really give players fits with his dedication to getting up the floor after the ball is secured. Runs hard from baseline to baseline and looks to establish position immediately. Is rewarded for his effort occasionally, though he doesn’t show ideal coordination finishing on the run. Proves to be a capable finisher around the basket, and makes an effort to dunk the ball when he has space. Offers a big target when rolling to the rim or ducking in down low, but is especially good at establishing a low base and utilizing leverage to seal his man on the block. Has four moves that he likes to use on the block that aren’t very smooth, but are clearly the result of endless hours in the gym. Can operate over either shoulder, but prefers his right. Uses a show and go move to get off some baby-hooks with his left hand that he makes with good consistency. Will make a quick spin and attack the basket for a runner or a reverse-layup if his man falls asleep. Displays an aggressive drop step when working over his left shoulder in an attempt to create space for a running scoop. Is able to counter that move with his hook, though sometimes forces his way too deep in the lane to do so. Has also developed a very quick release on his face up jumper and can make running hooks with either hand. Appears extremely mechanical when he makes a move or looks to shoot. Can hit a spot up jumper from time to time, but is inconsistent with his shooting motion, leading to erratic percentages. Doesn’t often find success when he goes away from the reliable moves in his repertoire, nor does he get to the line at a high rate since most of his moves allow him to get his shots off over defenders. Does not shoot a good percentage from the free throw line. Terrific offensive rebounder, who offers little as a passer, but helps his teammates score by setting solid screens out on the perimeter. Will get called for quite a few moving screens though.

Defense: Uses his mobility effectively on the defensive end as well. Never lets his man beat him down the floor. Has developed solid fundamentals. Makes an effort to get in a stance and stay with his man regardless of the situation. Is prone to playing behind his man in the post, but always looks to avoid giving up position. Gets extremely low when trying not to get backed down, making it tough for him to contest turnaround jumpers at times. Tends to stay at home on the pick and roll rather than hedging in an effort to protect the rim. Gets a bit antsy when closing players out on the perimeter, though he gets a hand up and attempts to contest every shot the same way he does in the paint. Very competent shot blocker who remains a bit foul prone because of the aggressiveness in which he plays with. Gets quite a few blocks right at the rim by quickly jumping into position and getting his hands up. Gets called for some cheap fouls since he doesn’t always go straight up. That doesn’t present a major issue due to his limited playing time, but is something he needs to work on. Does a nice job rotating over from the weakside, but doesn’t block as many shots that way. Cleans the glass well and offers a consistently high energy level.

Ryan Hollins

Overview: A young center trying to solidify himself as a legitimate backup. Incredibly long and athletic for a 7-footer. Skinny build reflects the time he spent as a collegiate high jumper. Will play well above the rim when he can get his feet set, but struggles with contact and is easily pushed off balance. Primarily functions as a hustle player and lacks polish both offensively and defensively. Bring some things to the table as a shot blocker due to his wingspan and leaping ability. Doesn’t display a great feel for the game, which often limits his ability to use his physical tools. Had a fairly marginal career at UCLA, playing the same complementary role that he does now. Showed some promise during a short stint in the D-League, but remains a very raw player –even with a few seasons in the NBA under his belt. Compensates for his unrefined skill set with a nice energy level. Plays with passion. Hoping to earn more minutes with a rebuilding Timberwolves franchise.

Offense: Gets essentially all of his offense by working without the ball. Does a decent job cutting the rim when the opportunity presents itself, but is mostly a pressure release for driving teammates. Presents a large target and has decent hands. A nice alley-oop option if nothing else. Decent finisher around the rim when he has space, likes to try and dunk the ball over defenders when the opportunities presents itself. Finishes at the rim at a respectable rate, but has some issues getting and maintaining position to do so. Lack of bulk allows opposing centers to knock him off balance easily, but when he isn’t pushed out of position, he draws a lot of contact on his shots. Gets to the free throw line at an outstanding rate on a per-minute basis. Will take an occasional jumper, showing mediocre touch and mechanics from the midrange. This lack of form is reflected in his poor free throw percentage. Won’t get touches in the post unless they come during garbage time, and has little back-to-the-basket ability. Gets most of his points by virtue of his mobility. Runs the floor well, rolls quickly to the basket after setting screens, and is able to crash the glass aggressively from the high post. Poor passer who seldom puts the ball on the floor and lacks ideal decision making ability. Will never be known for his ball skills, but has improved his ability to make an impact offensively slightly since his rookie season.

Defense: Decent defender overall, who shows a high activity level, but is limited by some of the same things that hurt him offensively. Can use his length and leaping ability to block shots –denying quite a few attempts just by going straight up and occasionally providing highlight reel-caliber rejections when he can get himself in position. Very aggressive with his hands when his man tries to back him down, leading to fouling. Has a lot less trouble when his opponent looks to use a finesse move. Often the target of isolations in the post. Has the lateral quickness to defend the midrange against most centers, but seldom gets the chance to do so. Hedges the pick and roll well and is capable of switching off to defend many players. Has some issues boxing out due to his lack of lower body strength and ideal rebounding instincts, but manages to clean the glass at a respectable level due to his athleticism. Extremely foul prone, which often limits his playing time. Seems to lose focus at times, but will have some nice possessions when he shows a sense of urgency.

Josh Boone

Overview: Hustle player with the tools to make an impact off the bench from the center position. Big wingspan makes up for the fact that he is slightly undersized. Possesses good mobility, leaping ability, and overall physical strength. Had a solid college career at UConn, although he was deemed somewhat of an underachiever by the time he left. Was a freshman when the Huskies won the NCAA Championship in 2004. Named Big East Conference Defensive Player of the Year as a sophomore, and then regressed a bit as a junior. Still landed in the first round when he declared. Stepped in and saw minutes immediately for the Nets. Offers good energy, rebounding, and athleticism, but hasn’t developed the skills to be more than a roleplayer. Seems to lack some passion for the game. Has shown some improvements in his fundamentals and defense, which have helped him function more effectively as a backup. Not going to post consistent offensive numbers due to his role and limited skill-set. Saw his minutes nearly cut in half between his second and third year due to roster movement around him.

Offense: Offers catch and finish ability, which makes him efficient as he’s learned not to try and do too much. Uses his mobility and athleticism to earn most of his shot opportunities. Gets most of his touches off of cuts, offensive boards, and rolling to the basket. Moves well without the ball and has learned how to fill the lane very effectively both in transition and in half court settings. Gets essentially no opportunities to create his own shot, allowing him to do what he does best. Doesn’t show any polish in the post or the ability to hit a jumper with any range. Most of his mental errors occur when he’s wide open from the midrange and he pulls the trigger, since his sub-50% free throw percentage is an accurate representation of his jump shooting on the whole. Excellent offensive rebounder who plays his part in the offense. Takes advantage of his touches at the rim by using his explosiveness and strength to finish or get to the line. Shows questionable touch when he is forced to take shots when off balance.

Defense: Decent defensive player who isn’t able to make as big of an impact as he did on the college level. Doesn’t show a lot of intensity guarding the perimeter –not getting in much of a stance or using his quickness well at all. A little more aggressive on the interior, showing a bit more focus when defending the post or coming over to help a beaten teammate. Shows nice explosiveness when defending short range shots going away from the rim, which he attempt by staunchly defending penetration directly to the rim. Will get beaten off the dribble when he has to keep up with two or three dribbles when closing out on the perimeter. Doesn’t look terribly comfortable when he has to move away from the basket, though he gets a hand in the face of shooters when he can. Able to contest shots, but doesn’t often go straight up on the shot. Uses his muscle to fight for rebounds, but could stand to show a more consistent energy level on the defensive end to better use his quickness.

Hilton Armstrong

Overview: An athletic forward-center who is a legitimate backup at this point. Not very tall for a center, but compensates with a 7-4 wingspan. Extremely well built, and has added some bulk since his college days. Could stand to continue adding weight. Not a late bloomer physically, but is the definition of the tag from a basketball perspective. Averaged roughly 10 minutes per game in his first three seasons at UConn. Blew up as a senior, primarily on the defensive end. Named Big East Conference Defensive Player of the Year in 2006. Showed enough promise offensive to propel himself into the lottery. Hasn’t been a major impact player in the NBA, and needs to have a similar spike in production to avoid being labeled an underachiever. Turnovers, an aversion to rebounding and his inability to stay out of foul trouble have all been major issues for him thus far. Will need to work hard to earn his minutes behind former UConn teammate Emeka Okafor and faced competition from Ike Diogu. Consistency and focus will be the name of the game for him moving forward. Question marks abound regarding his physical and mental toughness.

Offense: Has covered a huge amount of ground on the offensive end in the past few seasons. Much more skilled than he was early in his career. Has all kinds of potential on this end, but rarely is able to show it on a consistent basis. Gets about a quarter of his offense in the post, with the rest coming from hustle plays and an occasional spot up jumpers. Shows a solid turnaround jumper from over his right shoulder when operating down low, as well as a developing hook with his left hand. Appears comfortable making hook shots with both hands, but isn’t as consistent when he takes one on the move. Shows a drop step to the baseline and an up-and-under move every now and against as well. Will often just turn into his man over his left shoulder and shoot over him. Has a high release point on his jumper, which helps him taken advantage of his quick leaping ability and not get his shot blocked under defensive pressure. Strong enough to take contact at the rim and still get the ball up. Excellent finisher on the whole. Not a great foul shooter though, which hurts his efficiency. Shows adequate form on his jumper, but lacks consistency. Doesn’t have a fluid release, which hurts him. Would be well served to take the time to refine his midrange game, as it would help his face up game immensely. Has all kinds of issues when he puts the ball on the floor against pressure, but isn’t a bad ball handler in space. Wants to go left or come back to his left hand with a spin move if he does put the ball on the floor. Has some issues catching bullet passes in the lane. Struggles badly with turnovers, coughing up about 30% of his possessions over the last two years. Often looks lost in his team’s half-court sets. Decent offensive rebounder who uses his mobility well on the glass and in transition. Shows signs, but seldom strings together good performances. Needs to continue working hard to polish his skills, and especially become tougher and more aggressive on this end of the floor.

Defense: Average defensive player who could definitely be better. Not aggressive defensively and doesn’t seem to have a great deal of fight in him. Uses leverage to compete for position down low, but doesn’t always keep his man from catching the ball on the block. Lack of ideal bulk hurts him when defending the center position. Susceptible to fakes as well, which takes away from his quickness and lets his man score with counter moves. Has improved his weakside defense to an extent, but only to the point that he attempts to contest shots, often still arriving a step late. Will block most of his shots coming from behind, or surprising his man with his wingpan and leaping ability at the rim. Uses his length well out on the perimeter too when contesting shots, but needs to be more aggressive and work harder when defending the midrange. Extremely poor rebounder on the defensive end, has the tools, but just doesn’t pursue the ball hard enough. Needs to give his all defensively in an effort to compensate for his still developing offensive game. Doesn’t look bad when he’s giving a good effort and throwing his body around, but that unfortunately does not happen enough.

Patrick O’Bryant

Overview: Big center who didn’t live up to lofty expectations, and likely never will at this point. Has great height and an enormous wingspan. Blessed with impressive physical tools aside from a slight lack of strength. Extremely mobile big man who can cover a lot of ground in a hurry. Classic late bloomer who didn’t emerge as a player until his second year at Bradley. Showed his merit as a shot blocker and displayed enough potential to warrant a spot in the top-10 after just two seasons in college, largely on the heels of a terrific NCAA tournament performance. Named Missouri Valley Conference Defensive Player of the Year in 2006. Was never overly productive on the offensive end, but showed some signs. Looked out of place and disinterested at times early in his NBA career. Really struggled in Golden State’s system, taking a lot of jumpers and essentially being exactly what the team didn’t need. Physical profile garnered him a second chance, and will likely earn him additional opportunities down the road. Never really shows much passion on the floor, but has played with a greater energy level since leaving the Warriors. Audition for the Raptors late in 2009 had him playing the best basketball of his career. Still hasn’t played 80 games in his three year NBA career. Toughness will always be questioned, both mentally and physically, as will his work ethic and feel for the game. Has a lot to prove still.

Offense: Puts up an inordinately high number of jumpers for a player his height. Has made his biggest strides on the offense end. Though his skills haven’t improved enough to show on the stat sheet, he no longer looks as entirely out of place and completely uncomfortable. Gets his offense from a blend of post ups, spot ups, and catch and finish opportunities. Not assertive enough to take advantage of any one situation particularly well. Will be aggressive with his jumper from the perimeter, taking spot up shots with range out to 20-feet. Capable catch and shoot player when given lots of time and space. Extremely inconsistent when he has to deal with a hand in his face or isn’t perfectly in rhythm. Falls in love with his perimeter game far too easily. Not at all polished with his back to the basket. Will get off hook shots with ease, but is often way off target. Rarely shows flashes of good things in post up situations, often looking tentative and overly methodical with his moves. Has his turnaround jumper blocked sometimes, a testament to how slowly he will operate on some occasions. Size and length allow him to earn some easy baskets around the rim. Lacks ideal hands, but isn’t a total liability catching the ball. Pretty turnover prone when he catches the ball in traffic. Doesn’t always like taking contact, which forces him to rely on his questionable touch from the short range when he doesn’t have a dunk or layup. Not a good shooter from the line. Able to use his mobility and length to pull down some offensive rebounds and provide a big target cutting to the rim. Doesn’t excel at doing either though. Not a terribly attractive option due to his propensity to pull the trigger from the outside, though his efficiency at the rim adjusts for that tendency in his shooting numbers.

Defense: Offers obvious utility on the defensive end. Enormous wingspan and ability to move around the paint allows him to effectively contest shots, if nothing else. Lack of strength is an issue for him when opponents try to back him down. Will use leverage in the post and attempt to fight for position, but lacks the core strength to compete for position with many centers –especially when fighting for rebounds. Uses his length to force some tough shots, but doesn’t go straight up and often hacks shooters when they look to score. Extremely high rate of fouling hurts his ability to impact the game positively on this end since he sends opponents to the line, while taking what shotblocking presence he does provide off the floor. Doesn’t show very good lateral quickness when defending ball handlers, though he moves fast enough to contest some shots rotating over from the weakside and when closing out shooters. Won’t wow anyone with fundamentals, effort or awareness, but has too big of wingspan not to change some shots and pull down some rebounds.

Solomon Jones

Overview: Young center who is trying to solidify himself as a backup. Isn’t terribly tall for a center, but has an enormous wingspan. Shows nice athleticism, but remains skinny for a post player despite adding a lot of weight throughout his college career. The definition of a late bloomer. Didn’t emerge as a serious draft prospect until his senior season. Played two seasons at Daytona Beach Community College before moving on to South Florida. Had some nice games as a senior and provided a nice defensive presence, but really emerged during the draft process. Has improved in each of his seasons in the NBA. Now has some of the skills to match his solid basketball instincts. Brings some things to the table on the defensive end. Will be asked to make an impact off the bench for the Pacers.

Offense: Has seen his role shift considerably as his skill set has developed. Did most of his damage finishing around the rim as a rookie, when he posted a solid shooting percentage before taking almost exclusively jump shots in a limited role in his second season. Came back strong in his third year, showing a vastly improved shooting stroke and regaining many of the touches he didn’t get down low as a sophomore. Has improved his jumper dramatically over time. Now capable of knocking down midrange jumpers with surprising consistency. Has a super high release, allowing him to hit many shots with a hand in his face. Not a bad catch and shoot threat for a player that didn’t develop a jumper until reaching the NBA. Still does most of his damage around the rim. Long and athletic enough to finish down low. Doesn’t show a refined post game, meaning he gets most of his touches by moving without the ball and pulling down offensive rebounds. Shows a face up jumper as well as a turnaround, but lacks the consistent hook shot to be a threat to make a move going at his opponent. Outstanding finisher when he doesn’t have to put the ball up moving away from the rim. Length and quick leaping ability are great tools for him, as he often beats his man into the air and is the first player above the rim. Gets to the line at a solid rate and shoots a decent percentage. Not a glamorous scorer by any stretch of the imagination, but his finishing and midrange shooting make him very efficient with what touches he does use.

Defense: Foul prone shot blocker who is big on tools and small on fundamentals. Has more than enough lateral quickness, length, and leaping ability to make an impact on the defensive end. Very good weakside shot blocker who is good at anticipating shots and helping his teammates moving from block. Lack of bulk hurts him against some players. Tends to have issues with fouling due to his aggressive shot blocking mentality and struggles with holding position. Will diligently protect the rim, making him an attractive player in limited minutes. Needs to cut back on his fouling to get more playing time.

Feedback for this article may be sent to matt@draftexpress.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Team Needs: Northwest Division

by: Kyle Nelson

June 22, 2009

An in-depth look at the roster situations of the Denver Nuggets, Portland Trailblazers, Utah Jazz, Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder--what they have, where they are going and who are the players that may be targeted in this upcoming draft.

NBA Team Needs: Southwest Division
NBA Team Needs: Southeastern Division
NBA Team Needs: Atlantic Division
NBA Team Needs: Central Division
NBA Team Needs: Pacific Division

Denver Nuggets 54-28
Draft Pick #34

Draft History:
2008- SG/SF- Sonny Weems (#39)
2007- None
2006- None

Depth Chart:

PG: Chauncy Billups/ Anthony Carter*/ Jason Hart*
SG: Dahntay Jones*/ J.R. Smith
SF: Carmelo Anthony/ Linas Kleiza*/ Sonny Weems
PF: Kenyon Martin/ Renaldo Balkman
C: Nene Hilario/ Chris Andersen*/ Johan Petro*/ Steven Hunter

This season was one of the Nuggets’ most successful in quite some time, culminating with an appearance in the Western Conference Finals. The Allen Iverson for Chauncey Billups deal worked splendidly, as Billups was a leader on both ends of the floor and in the lockerroom and inspired this team to follow George Karl’s coaching scheme.

Similarly, what looked like an average off-season seemed very smart in May when Dahntay Jones and Chris Andersen emerged as unsung post-season heroes. Trading Marcus Camby to the Clippers looks brilliant in hindsight, since that’s what gave the Nuggets the financial flexibility to trade Iverson’s expiring contract for Billups’ long-term deal. Mark Warkentien was named Executive of the Year for a good reason it seems.

Despite the successful season, however, there is plenty of room to improve. After all, the Nuggets never found an answer for the Lakers’ star players, and looked tired towards the end of the series. This is a team with some significant decisions to make during this off-season, beginning with whether or not to re-sign Jones and Andersen, both of whom will likely command significantly more than the minimum. A similar decision will have to be made about Linas Kleiza.

With that in mind, the Nuggets are in need of some additional depth, a concern that could potentially be addressed in the draft. Their bench is shallow in the frontcourt and on the perimeter and could use a back up point guard, more depth at the shooting guard position, or a post player able to play either power forward or center. With the 34th pick in the draft, the Nuggets have a chance of filling some of these needs, particularly a back up shooting guard, who can put quick points on the board.

Second Round Candidates: Wayne Ellington, Marcus Thornton, Jermaine Taylor

Portland Trailblazers 54-28
Draft Picks #24, #33, #38, #55, and #56

Draft History:
2008- PG/SG- Jerryd Bayless (#11), SG/SF- Nicolas Batum (#25)
2007- C- Greg Oden (#1), SG/SF- Rudy Fernandez (#24), PG- Petteri Koponen (#30), PF - Josh McRoberts (#37), PG - Taurean Green (#52)
2006- PF/C- LaMarcus Aldridge (#2), SG - Brandon Roy (#6), PG- Sergio Rodriguez (#27), C- Joel Freeland (#30)

Depth Chart:

PG: Steve Blake/ Sergio Rodriguez/ Jerryd Bayless
SG: Brandon Roy/ Nicolas Batum
SF: Martell Webster/ Rudy Fernandez/ Travis Outlaw
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge/ Channing Frye*/ Shavlik Randolph*
C: Greg Oden/ Joel Przybilla/ Michael Ruffin*

Portland overcame the obstacles of youth, injury, and inexperience and won 54 games, making it to the playoffs for the first time since 2003. The Blazers are still a young team, but behind their core of Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge and solid contributions from rookies Greg Oden, Rudy Fernandez, and Nicolas Batum, there is a lot to like and quite a bit of potential yet to achieve before this team is at its peak.

There are some question marks, however, most notably in terms of their perimeter depth, as they lack a set rotation at the point guard and small forward positions, and could still stand to get tougher in the post. Brandon Roy desperately needs some help on the perimeter, as he is the focal point of the Blazers offense and was exposed at times by opposing defenses who took advantage of how heavy a role he’s forced to shoulder in one on one situations at the end of games.

Despite these weaknesses, this team has a bright future and will only get better in subsequent years as its young talent gets better. Portland also has a decent amount of cap space which should allow them to sign one of the better free agents that falls between the cracks.

Kevin Pritchard has been one of the most active General Managers in the NBA and has engineered some of the most ambitious draft coups in recent memories. This year, the Blazers have five draft picks, even though they lack optimal draft positioning. Therefore, expect Pritchard to be active as usual, pursuing depth at the point guard and power forward positions, likely through trades. The team has been very vocal about the fact that they do not need to get any younger, so they may not use any of the picks on players for next year’s roster. This is not a strong draft, but there will be plenty of maneuvering to be done to help shuffle around their assets and make the team even more of a contender going into next season.

First Round Candidates: DeJuan Blair, Tyler Hansbrough, Nick Calathes

Utah Jazz 48-24
Draft Picks #20 and #50

Draft History:
2008- PF/C- Kosta Koufos (#25), C- Ante Tomic (#44), PF- Tadija Dragicevic (#53)
2007- SG/SF- Morris Almond (#25), C- Kyrylo Fesenko (#38), PF- Herbert Hill (#55)
2006- SG/SF- Ronnie Brewer (#14), PG- Dee Brown (#46), PF- Paul Millsap (#47)

Depth Chart:

PG: Deron Williams/ Ronnie Price*/ Brevin Knight*
SG: Ronnie Brewer/ Kyle Korver*/ Morris Almond*
SF: C.J. Miles/ Andrei Kirilenko/ Matt Harpring
PF: Carlos Boozer*/ Paul Millsap*
C: Mehmet Okur*/ Kosta Koufos/ Jarron Collins*/ Kyrylo Fesenko

The Utah Jazz is another NBA franchise at a significant crossroads. With a new (yet familiar) owner at the helm, an aging coach, and a roster that might look very different after free agency, this is a team that could be in line for some changes. The Jazz has the potential to be a very good basketball team, with Deron Williams, Carlos Boozer, and Mehmet Okur. They also have some nice young talent, headlined by wing Ronnie Brewer and big men Paul Millsap and Kosta Koufos. Unfortunately, Boozer, Okur, and Millsap will be sought after players in free agency and if they choose to bolt elsewhere, the Jazz will lack the depth to contend in the future. Ownership’s willingness to pay the luxury tax in order to keep the frontcourt core together will likely be the deciding factor in how this team looks next season.

With just two picks in this year’s draft, the Jazz neither will be able to address all of their needs nor will they be able to prepare for a worst-case scenario in the future. Their most glaring needs are in the post, where they may need to start grooming a gritty power forward to take either Carlos Boozer or Paul Millsap’s minutes. They could also use a point guard to back up Deron Williams assuming Ronnie Price and Brevin Knight do not return. The team still hasn’t found a real go-to guy on the wing to take ball-handling pressure off Williams either. They might not find all the answers in this draft, but there should be some quality rotation players available if they play their cards right. The Jazz needs to have a productive summer in addition to the draft, however, if they want to remain in the playoff picture and sustain their success in the future.

First Round Candidates: Tyler Hansbrough, James Johnson, Sam Young

Minnesota Timberwolves 24-48
Draft Picks #6, #18, #28, #45, and #47

Draft History:
2008- PF/C- Kevin Love (#5), PF/C- Nikola Pekovic (#31)
2007- SG/SF- Corey Brewer (#7), PF/C- Chris Richard (#41)
2006- PG/SG- Randy Foye (#7), PF- Craig Smith (#36), C- Loukas Mavrokefalidis (#57)

Depth Chart:

PG: Randy Foye/ Sebastian Telfair/ Bobby Brown/ Kevin Ollie*
SG: Mike Miller/ Rodney Carney*
SF: Ryan Gomes/ Corey Brewer
PF: Kevin Love / Craig Smith/Brian Cardinal/ Shelden Williams*
C: Al Jefferson / Jason Collins*/ Mark Madsen

The Minnesota Timberwolves struggled through injuries last season, and despite winning a meager 24 games, there were more moments of optimism than expected. There is a great deal of young talent on this team, most importantly, Al Jefferson, though recent draft picks Randy Foye and Kevin Love showed potential of heading a solid supporting cast throughout the season. Many questions remain surrounding this team that needs to be settled before next season begins. They still do not have a coach or a team culture, and many of the players on the roster are not seasoned winners. There are also questions surrounding whether or not Randy Foye is a long-term solution at the point guard spot. If last week’s massive point guard workout was any indication, he is not, and the Timberwolves are looking for a long-term option in the draft, which is clearly the right direction to head in. New General Manager David Kahn has brought a great deal of energy to the team’s front office, and it seems like the T’Wolves will be very proactive in trying to make moves.

With two first round picks and five draft picks in total, the Timberwolves have the chance to infuse their roster with young talent and add depth in a few key areas. It seems as though they are set on drafting a point guard with the sixth overall pick, although there is a possibility they try to move up to improve their options. With their other picks and considering that much of their underachieving bench is approaching free agency, there are a number of different directions that they can pursue. While their bench is a bit thin across the board in terms of talent, they could use the most help in the post, where they lack depth at the center position. Adding another talented swingman who can create his own shot probably wouldn’t hurt either. The Timberwolves could get better immediately if they make the right decisions and definitely are a team to watch on draft night.

First Round Candidates: Ricky Rubio, Tyreke Evans, Stephen Curry

Oklahoma City Thunder 23-59
Draft Picks #3 and #25

Draft History:
2008- PG- Russell Westbrook (#4), SF/PF- Serge Ibaka (#24), PF- D.J. White (#29), PF/C- DeVon Hardin (#50), PF/C- Sasha Kaun (#56)
2007- SG/SF- Kevin Durant (#2), SF/PF- Jeff Green (#5)
2006- None

Depth Chart:

PG: Russell Westbrook/ Earl Watson/ Shaun Livingston*/ Chucky Atkins
SG: Thabo Sefolosha/ Kyle Weaver/ Damien Wilkins
SF: Kevin Durant/ Jeff Green/ Desmond Mason*
PF: Nick Collison/ Malik Rose*/ D.J. White
C: Nenad Kristic/ Robert Swift*

The Thunder’s first year in Oklahoma City was a mixed bag, but certainly left fans excited about the team’s future. Kevin Durant emerged as a legitimate NBA star, showing his critics that he could score efficiently, get his teammates involved in the offense, and contribute even without the ball in his hands. Durant’s supporting cast got better, as well. Combo-forward Jeff Green played more efficient basketball and Russell Westbrook not only emerged as a starter, but also looks to be the franchise’s point guard.

Add the acquisition of Nenad Kristic to the equation and the Thunder has a roster filled with rapidly improving young talent. In addition, the team is in about as enviable a situation as any franchise in the NBA in terms of their financial flexibility and long-term assets. Playing behind a coach that they trust and respect, the team has a chance to take a big step forward next season. This summer, though, is essential, as this team needs to find more veteran leadership in free agency and has two first round draft picks at their disposal.

The Thunder’s most significant need lies in the post, where the previous regime drafted unsuccessfully in the past. They are due for an upgrade at either the power forward or center positions. With the third pick in the draft, they can take their pick of this year’s top, draft-eligible big men, particularly a more defensively oriented player. They may opt to shore up their backcourt somewhat, though, adding another playmaker and perimeter shooter who is willing to play unselfishly within the team’s existing pieces. With their late first round pick, they can find another solid player to bring off of their bench and deepen their frontcourt rotation.

First Round Candidates: Hasheem Thabeet, James Harden, Ricky Rubio

Feedback for this article may be sent to kyle.robert.nelson@gmail.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Team Needs: Pacific Division

by: Kyle Nelson

June 17, 2009

An in-depth look at the roster situations of the Los Angeles Lakers, Phoenix Suns, Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Clippers and Sacramento Kings--what they have, where they are going and who are the players that may be targeted in this upcoming draft.

NBA Team Needs: Southwest Division
NBA Team Needs: Southeastern Division
NBA Team Needs: Atlantic Division
NBA Team Needs: Central Division

Los Angeles Lakers 65-17
Draft Picks #29, #42, and #59

Draft History:
2008- SG- Joe Crawford (#58)
2007- PG/SG- Javaris Crittenton (#19), Sun Yue (#40), Marc Gasol (#48)
2006- PG- Jordan Farmar (#26), SG/SF- J.R. Pinnock (#58)

Depth Chart:

PG: Derek Fisher/ Jordan Farmar
SG: Kobe Bryant*/ Sasha Vujacic/ Shannon Brown
SF: Trevor Ariza*/ Luke Walton/ Adam Morrison/ Sun Yue*
PF: Pau Gasol/ Lamar Odom*/ Josh Powell*
C: Andrew Bynum/ D.J. Mbenga*

The Lakers put together one of their most dominant seasons in history, capping off 65 wins with an NBA championship, won in convincing fashion over the Orlando Magic. While superstar shooting guard Kobe Bryant certainly deserves a tremendous amount of credit, coach Phil Jackson and GM Mitch Kupchak were integral to this team’s success. Jackson crafted a rotation that continued to expand and diversify even as the season drew to a close. He devised a game plan that was balanced from the inside on out, between Bryant’s perimeter scoring to Pau Gasol’s inside presence.

Mitch Kupchak engineered this roster, acquiring Gasol and Trevor Ariza, drafting and then refusing to trade Andrew Bynum, and as late as this season, trading for Shannon Brown, a player who contributed minutes in the playoffs. The off-season revolves around whether or not Lamar Odom and Trevor Ariza, both integral parts of this roster, are resigned. Regardless of what happens, though, this team still seems capable of contending next season and seems to have a solid core for the future.

In terms of the draft, the Lakers could stand to improve their bench, but lack ideal positioning to really make a big splash. They still could use some more consistency and depth on the perimeter behind Kobe Bryant and Derek Fisher, at both point guard and shooting guard positions, but will need to find a player who is smart enough to pick up the nuances of the triangle.

Despite possessing a low first round pick, there should be a few solid guards still available and, if not, there will definitely be a shooting guard. With their two second round picks, the Lakers should address their need for depth at the power forward spot, especially if they are unable to retain Lamar Odom this summer. With Josh Powell and D.J. Mbenga probably not being long term solutions, the Lakers should consider one of the undersized, yet underrated big men that often end up occupying the beginning and middle of the second round.

First Round Candidates: Wayne Ellington, Jonas Jerebko, DaJuan Summers, Darren Collison

Phoenix Suns 46-36
Draft Picks #14, #48, and #57

Draft History:
2008- PF/C- Robin Lopez (#15), PG- Goran Dragic (#45)
2007- SG/SF- Alando Tucker (#29), SG/SF- D.J. Strawberry (#59)
2006- None

Depth Chart:

PG: Steve Nash*/ Leandro Barbosa/ Goran Dragic
SG: [url=/profile/Jason-Rich-5461/]Jason Richardson[/url]/Alando Tucker
SF: Grant Hill*/ Matt Barnes*/ Jared Dudley
PF: Amare Stoudemire/ Louis Amundson*
C: Shaquille O’Neal/ Robin Lopez/ Stromile Swift*

The Phoenix Suns are at a seminal point in franchise history. The team is anchored by three aging veterans and lacks the depth, chemistry, and talent to contend. Shaquille O’Neal’s massive contract still guarantees him $20 million dollars a year, which alongside Steve Nash’s free agency and Amare Stoudemire’s annual inclusion into trade rumors, leaves this Suns team as one of the true enigmas of this off-season. There are a multitude of directions this team could go in, but literally all are contingent on major front office decisions. The moves made this summer will likely determine whether or not the Suns can contend for a playoff spot or be relegated back to the bottom half of the Western Conference and the lottery for the second straight year. This summer, it is essential that the Suns establish an identity around whatever players they decide to resign, and find some solid young talent to move along the inevitable process of rebuilding.

The Suns have actually drafted good players in the past few years. The problem, however, has been that they have sold or traded away pretty much all of them, including Luol Deng, Rajon Rondo and Rudy Fernandez. This season, with the 14th, 48th, and 57th pick, the Suns have a chance to add a rotation player or two to reinvigorate their roster, but also address some of their most pressing roster holes. Their most significant need lies on the wing, where they have some good role players and solid veterans, but lack a real standout starter. Finding a combo forward, who could play productive minutes behind Amare Stoudemire would not hurt either, as versatility is a premium in Alvin Gentry’s up tempo offense. Since Steve Nash won’t be around forever, picking the best available point guard that drops to them could be an option as well.

With their second round picks, the Suns could eye a shooter to pick up minutes at the end of the bench and provide some depth behind Richardson and Tucker, or take a flyer on a European player to stash overseas.

First Round Candidates: Earl Clark, James Johnson, Austin Daye

Golden State Warriors 29-53
Draft Pick #7

Draft History:
2008- SF/PF- Anthony Randolph (#14), PF/C- Richard Hendrix (#49)
2007- PF/C- Brandan Wright (#8), PG/SG- Marco Bellineli (#18), Jermareo Davidson (#36), Stephane Lasme (#46),
2006- C- Patrick O’Bryant (#9), C- Kosta Perovic (#38)

Depth Chart:

PG: Monta Ellis/ CJ Watson*
SG: Jamal Crawford*/ Anthony Morrow*/ Marco Belinelli
SF: Stephen Jackson/ Corey Maggette/ Kelenna Azubuike
PF: Brandan Wright/ Anthony Randolph/ Rob Kurz*
C: Andris Biedrins/ Ronny Turiaf/ Jermareo Davidson*

Despite their 29-53 record and the general sense of chaos that surrounded the season, the Warriors are not in as bad of a place as it seems. They do still have a glut of multi-purpose wing players and rail-thin big men, but at various points during the season, especially once Monta Ellis returned from injury, they actually looked and played like a team. Or, as close to a team as coach Don Nelson’s group has looked since their last playoff run. Next year, with health, improvement, and experience on their side, the Warriors look like they have a chance to compete for a playoff spot. As in most years, though, the Warriors’s success has a lot to do with Nelson’s handle over his team. They must find a consistent rotation early on, as well as assemble a group of players that satisfy Nelson as well as the front office. They have the personnel to execute a successful up tempo system and with a good summer and a bit of luck on their side, things are looking in the Bay Area.

During this draft, there is one need that can and likely will be addressed: finding a point guard. Monta Ellis showed potential to be the starting point guard and Jamal Crawford and C.J. Watson did a decent job during their minutes at the position, but this team needs a solid back up with potential to play on or off of the ball if necessary. There are all sorts of point guards available and, with the seventh pick, there will likely be a number of good options that fit well in Don Nelson’s system. The Warriors should jump at the opportunity to fill a need and add another good young player, hopefully a player who can help take this team to the next level.

First Round Candidates:

Los Angeles Clippers 19-63
Draft Pick #1

Draft History:
2008- SG- Eric Gordon (#7), C- DeAndre Jordan (#35), PG/SG- Mike Taylor (#55)
2007- SF- Al Thornton (#14), PG- Jared Jordan (#45),
2006- PF/C- Paul Davis (#34), PG/SG- Guillermo Diaz (#52)

Depth Chart:

PG: Baron Davis/ Mardy Collins/ Mike Taylor
SG: Eric Gordon/ Fred Jones*/ Alex Acker*
SF: Al Thornton/ Ricky Davis*/ Steve Novak*
PF: Zach Randolph/ Brian Skinner*
C: Chris Kaman/ Marcus Camby/ DeAndre Jordan

The Los Angeles Clippers were one of the most hapless teams in the NBA once again, groaning to a 19-63 record and missing the playoffs for the third straight season. There are few faultless Clippers, from the coaching staff on down. The Clippers refused to stray from their deliberate, half-court style, despite the fact that their core group of players, particularly Baron Davis, Zach Randolph, and Marcus Camby, thrive in up-tempo offenses. This clash of style, personnel and chemistry resulted in a disastrous season, in which a tremendous amount of talent and potential was squandered. One bright spot, however, was the emergence of rookie Eric Gordon, who showed that he can score with the best of them and has the potential to develop into a special player down the road. The Clippers also won the draft lottery, which provides additional optimism, but likely will not help this franchise out of the NBA’s doghouse unless it is accompanied by significant other changes from top to bottom.

The Clippers’ draft night desires are no mystery, as they have publicly stated that they will take power forward Blake Griffin with the top overall pick. Though their frontcourt is stacked, Griffin is the clear-cut best player in the draft and he could help out immediately in terms of size, athleticism, toughness and intangibles. It would be unfortunate to pass on such a talent just because of positional concerns, and the rotational logjam can easily be remedied through trades. A player like Griffin can team up alongside of Eric Gordon and Al Thornton and create a youthful core that has the potential to turn this team around on and off of the court.

First Round Candidates: Blake Griffin

Sacramento Kings 17-65
Draft Picks #4, #23, and #31

Draft History:
2008- PF- Jason Thompson (#12), PG- Sean Singletary (#42), SF/PF- Patrick Ewing Jr. (#43)
2007- PF/C- Spencer Hawes (#10),
2006- PG/SG- Quincy Douby (#19)

Depth Chart:

PG: Beno Udrih/ Bobby Jackson*
SG: Kevin Martin/ Rashad McCants*
SF: Andres Nocioni/ Francisco Garcia/ Donte Greene
PF: Jason Thompson/ Ike Diogu*/ Kenny Thomas
C: Spencer Hawes/ Cedric Simmons*/ Calvin Booth*

The Kings had their most disastrous seasons in recent memory. They had a good draft, but overpaying for Beno Udrih and Francisco Garcia marred an otherwise successful summer. Just when the team looked like it could at least be respectable in the Western Conference, Kevin Martin suffered an ankle injury that he never recovered from and played hurt for most of the season. The players clearly resorted to looking for their own stats, and the plummeting attendance of outdated Arco Arena further damaged their owners’ already hurting bank accounts. In addition, the season was divided by a coaching change that altered very little, and ultimately the Kings missed out on the opportunity to sign their top two coaching candidates before settling for Paul Westphal, in large part due to financial considerations. The draft lottery only brought more bad news to Sacramento when the Clippers claimed the top overall pick and the Kings shockingly were relegated to picking fourth. Now, it is time for this franchise to lick their wounds and start over. There is a new coach, developing young talent, and while the word “potential” is thrown around frequently, this team has a lot of work to do before returning to the playoff form they showed just a few short seasons ago.

With the fourth, 23rd, and 31st pick in the draft, the Kings can make strides towards becoming more competitive in the Western Conference. Their primary need is at the point guard position, as Beno Udrih has severely underperformed on both ends of the court and there is are glaring holes behind and clearly in front of him. The Kings will have their choice of any point guard in the draft, which should allow them to add a floor leader who can step in and contribute from day one, and possibly also help them in the ticket sales department. Later in the draft, they should look to address their lack of frontcourt depth with a solid post prospect at the bottom of the first round and at the beginning of the second, a player who can provide solid back-up minutes while allowing Spencer Hawes, Jason Thompson, and perhaps Ike Diogu to improve. This draft won’t be what turns around Sacramento’s fortunes overnight, but it is a chance to make a substantial step forward.

First Round Candidates: Ricky Rubio, Tyreke Evans, Jrue Holiday

Feedback for this article may be sent to kyle.robert.nelson@gmail.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us

NBA Team Needs: Southwest Division

by: Kyle Nelson

June 12, 2009

An in-depth look at the roster situations of the San Antonio Spurs, Houston Rockets, Dallas Mavericks, New Orleans Hornets and Memphis Grizzlies--what they have, where they are going and who are the players that may be targeted in this upcoming draft.

NBA Team Needs: Southeastern Division
NBA Team Needs: Atlantic Division
NBA Team Needs: Central Division

San Antonio Spurs 54-28
Draft Picks #37, #51, and #53

Draft History:
2008- PG/SG- George Hill (#26), SF- Malik Hairston (#48), PF- James Gist (#57)
2007- PF/C- Tiago Splitter (#28), SG/SF- Marcus Williams (#33)
2006- None

Depth Chart:

PG: Tony Parker/ George Hill/ Jacque Vaughn*
SG: Roger Mason Jr./ Manu Ginobili/ Marcus Williams*
SF: Michael Finley*/ Bruce Bowen/ Ime Udoka*
PF: Tim Duncan/ Kurt Thomas/ Ian Mahinmi*
C: Matt Bonner/ Fabricio Oberto/ Drew Gooden*

Despite playing all season with an aging and injury depleted roster, and the second half of the season without the services of star swingman and sixth man Manu Ginobili, the San Antonio Spurs demonstrated that chemistry, great coaching, and experience can make an average team great. Unfortunately for the Spurs, this combination could only take them so far, and ultimately; they failed to make their mark on the playoffs. Now, it looks to be the end of an era in San Antonio, as this team is only getting older. Similarly, with Manu Ginobili entering a contract year, next season may be the last time that the Spurs’ legendary core suits up together. After making a number of trades to shore up their playoff hopes over the past few seasons, and unluckily missing out on signing Tiago Splitter, this team lacks young talent and significant assets, which puts pressure on GM R.C. Buford to make something happen during this off-season.

If any NBA team could turn three second round picks into a solid draft, it would be the Spurs. Adding talent through this draft is essential, and the Spurs front office has shown the foresight in the past to find underrated domestic and international role-players who could inject life into their team. While the second round is anything but certain, and this draft class is weaker than in past years, there could be a few prospects worthy of a look should the Spurs choose to use their draft picks. They are rumored to be angling to move up, possibly into the end of the first round, where there is a bit more talent than in the very shallow second round.

The Spurs need upgrades at almost every single position, but their most urgent needs lie in the post, to find a starting center or a back up for Tim Duncan, and on the wing. They’ve been looking to find a successor for Bruce Bowen for some time now on the wing, and will have to find a way to make an upgrade at the small forward position sooner rather than later. Considering how well they’ve scouted internationally over the past few years, it’s not out of the question that one or more picks comes from Europe. Regardless of what direction they choose to pursue, the Spurs need to have a very productive off-season if they want to continue their winning ways, and maximizing their assets in the draft wouldn’t be a bad way to start.

First Round Candidates: No first rounder

Houston Rockets 53-29
No Draft Picks

Draft History:
2008- PF/C- Joey Dorsey (#33), PF/C- Maarty Leunen (#54)
2007- PG/SG- Aaron Brooks (#26), PF/C- Carl Landry (#31)
2006- SF/PF- Steve Novak (#32), SF/PF- Lior Eliyahu (#44)

Depth Chart:

PG: Aaron Brooks/ Kyle Lowry
SG: Tracy McGrady/ Von Wafer*
SF: Ron Artest*/ Brent Barry/ James White*
PF: Shane Battier/ Carl Landry / Chuck Hayes/ Brian Cook*
C: Yao Ming/ Luis Scola / Dikembe Mutombo*/ Joey Dorsey

The Houston Rockets were a surprise this season, winning a playoff series without Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady while showing the world that their young talent and role players were not too far away from contending. This off-season, though, they will be back at the drawing board, trying to make moves that allow them to keep pace in the ultra-competitive Western conference. Ron Artest and Von Wafer are free agents with major long-term question marks, McGrady and Ming will be returning from serious injuries, and Dikembe Mutombo is finally retiring. Regardless of what the Rockets choose to do with Ron Artest, this team is at a crossroads. 2/3rds of their cap is committed to two superstars who have proven to be among the least dependable and durable in the NBA, and they won’t have much wiggle room underneath the luxury tax to make big moves if they resign Artest. Luckily Houston has been able to surround their top options with championship caliber role players such as Shane Battier, Luis Scola, Aaron Brooks and Carl Landry, shrewdly doing so on the cheap, no less.

Without a draft pick, improving the roster to the necessary extent may prove to be quite difficult, especially without a tremendous amount of cap flexibility. The free agent class this summer, however, should offer some nice alternatives and this front office will definitely put the leg-work in to uncover players who will be undervalued and underrated. That might start on draft-night already, where Houston appears to be willing to buy their way into the late first round. The Rockets are a unique blend of potential and star power, and if they can find a way to stay healthy next season, they’ll be right in the mix amongst the top teams in the West.

First Round Candidates: None.

Dallas Mavericks 50-32
Draft Pick #22

Draft History:
2008- SG- Shan Foster (#51)
2007- PF- Nick Fazekas (#34), SF- Reyshawn Terry (#44), SG/SF- Renaldas Seibutis (#50), SG/SF- Brad Newley (#54)
2006- SG/SF- Maurice Ager (#28)

Depth Chart:

PG: Jason Kidd*/ Jason Terry/ Jose Juan Barea
SG: Antoine Wright/ Jerry Stackhouse/ Matt Carroll
SF: Josh Howard/ Devean George*/ Gerald Green*/ Shawne Williams
PF: Dirk Nowitzki/ Brandon Bass*/ James Singleton*
C: Erick Dampier/ Ryan Hollins*

The Mavericks were on the verge of a disappointing season, but a late season run and an inspired playoff performance both salvaged the season and provided optimism for the future. While Jason Kidd’s free agency is a major issue, the Mavericks proved that when Dirk Nowitzki and Josh Howard are healthy, this team has the potential to be very good. On the other hand, the Mavericks are not getting any younger and may lack depth, particularly in the post, which compounds the off-season further if Jason Kidd walks. Brandon Bass will surely be targeted by other playoff contenders as well, and will likely demand a big raise. The fear is that the window may be closing on this roster and that the only direction left is to rebuild. Thankfully for the Mavs, they’ve been pretty smart about managing their cap situation, and should be in a position to retool fairly quickly.

While free agency will likely be the priority in order to reinvigorate this roster, the 22nd pick in the draft certainly has the potential to aid this process. Looking at the Mavericks, three positions are in immediate need of help: point guard, shooting guard, and center. If Jason Kidd leaves, then there is a gaping hole in the point guard rotation, creating room for a pass first point guard. At the shooting guard position, Antoine Wright has certainly gotten better over the years, but he is not an NBA caliber starter. Neither is an aging Jerry Stackhouse, who is likely to be bought out and has a very attractive non-guaranteed contract that could fetch an excellent asset from a team that is struggling financially. Similarly, Erick Dampier and Ryan Hollins comprise a fairly uninspiring center rotation, and may not complement Nowitzki in the most optimal way.

Being at the top of the standings and extremely active on the trade market, the Mavericks haven’t had many opportunities to get better through the draft. With the picks they had, they have not drafted incredibly well. Addressing any of their primary needs would signal a successful draft for the Mavericks, but things might first need to get a lot worse in the next season or two before they are able to get much better.

First Round Candidates: Jeff Teague, Tyler Hansbrough, Darren Collison, Nick Calathes

New Orleans Hornets 49-33
Draft Pick #21

Draft History:
2008- None
2007- SG/SF- Julian Wright (#13), SG/SF- Adam Haluska (#43)
2006- PF/C- Hilton Armstrong (#12), PF/C- Cedric Simmons (#15), SF/PF- Marcus Vicinius (#43)

Depth Chart:

PG: Chris Paul/ Antonio Daniels
SG: Rasual Butler/ Morris Peterson/ Devin Brown*
SF: Peja Stojakovic/ James Posey/ Julian Wright
PF: David West/ Sean Marks*/ Ryan Bowen*
C: Tyson Chandler/ Hilton Armstrong/ Melvin Ely*

After a solid start, the Hornets collapsed as the season wound down and skidded to a seventh seed in the playoffs, before making an embarrassing first round exit. There were many reasons for this collapse, from exhaustion and injuries to a lack of confidence in the coaching staff and a complete lack of depth and talent outside of Chris Paul. The Hornets second unit was among the worst, if not the worst, in the NBA, which was exposed in the post-season. Their stars were asked to play far too many minutes and this resulted in fatigue, injury, and a lack of chemistry. Ultimately, despite possessing the best point guard in the league and coming off an exciting post-season run just one year ago, the Hornets regressed and are once again on the playoff bubble. This off-season presents an opportunity to change that and return the Hornets back on their track to contention. The question is—will ownership be willing to spend in order to make that happen?

Depth is their biggest concern, and with just one draft pick and the team in cost-cutting mode, this summer might not yield the types of personnel changes that the Hornets require if they want to contend once more.

Their most pressing roster need is in terms of bench depth at the center position. Tyson Chandler’s future with the team is unknown, as is his ability to stay healthy, and any team that plays Hilton Armstrong and Sean Marks for significant stretches is not going to win a championship. The Hornets need another big man who can defend, rebound and finish on the pick and roll off Chris Paul’s assists, but these players aren’t exactly growing on trees, and they surely aren’t cheap.

Having another scoring guard to take pressure off Chris Paul would be very beneficial as well—bringing back Jannero Pargo certainly would make sense. If Peja Stojakovic’s back is unable to hold up, then more firepower on the wing will be needed too.

This off-season is crucial for the Hornets, as they are in a precarious position, and desperately need to get healthy and find a way to get back the swagger they had in 2008 if they are to keep their superstar point guard happy.

First Round Candidates: Tyler Hansbrough, Jeff Teague, Eric Maynor, Sam Young

Memphis Grizzlies 24-58
Draft Picks: #2, #27, and #36

Draft History:
2008- PG/SG- O.J. Mayo (#3), PF/C- Darrell Arthur (#28)
2007- PG- Mike Conley Jr. (#4)
2006- SF- Rudy Gay (#8), PG- Kyle Lowry (#24), PF/C- Alexander Johnson (#45)

Depth Chart:

PG: Mike Conley Jr./ Mike Wilks*
SG: O.J. Mayo/ Marko Jaric/ Greg Buckner
SF: Rudy Gay/ Quinton Ross*/ Darius Miles*
PF: Darrell Arthur/ Hakim Warrick*
C: Marc Gasol/ Darko Milicic/ Chris Mihm*/ Hamed Haddadi

Memphis made a lot of moves last summer that injected their roster with some much-needed talent. That said, their 24 win season indicates that there is a lot of work left to do, as there are gaping holes throughout the rotation, and very little in the ways of veteran leadership. Despite the plethora of talented young players on this roster, it is still to be determined whether or not O.J. Mayo and Rudy Gay are capable of leading this franchise to the next level. The two players did not always have the greatest chemistry at times—seemingly looking more interested in their own stats than winning games, and it will be interesting to see if they can play better alongside one another next season, with a stable coaching situation and a more mature Mike Conley Jr. at the helm.

With two first round picks and a high second round pick, the Grizzlies have a very good chance of improving their roster through this draft. Their most immediate need is for a guard to play alongside O.J. Mayo, who can provide scoring and distributing when needed. This is a draft filled with solid options at the point or combo guard positions, and the likes of James Harden and Tyreke Evans will be getting long looks. Another direction that the Grizzlies could pursue is at the power forward spot, where they have a plethora of young and raw big men, big on potential and short on experience. Finding an active, athletic, rebounder who can run the floor and complements Marc Gasol would be a major coup for this team.

The Grizzlies are in an enviable position as far as roster flexibility is concerned, as they are under the cap, have very few bad contracts on their books, and have stockpiled a number of attractive assets over the last few years, including this year’s #2 overall pick. With that said, it’s not quite clear what Memphis’ window to compete looks like at the moment, as there is plenty of uncertainty regarding the ownership’s willingness to spend on building a competitive bench and coaching staff that can compete with the top franchises in the NBA. That's one of the reasons why arguably the second most talented player in this draft, Ricky Rubio, is doing everything he can to avoid playing here.

The Grizzlies can pursue any number of options in this draft, and though the playoffs might not be in their immediate future, the team has a tremendous opportunity to turn things around in the coming years.

First Round Candidates: James Harden, Hasheem Thabeet, Ricky Rubio, Tyreke Evans

Feedback for this article may be sent to kyle.robert.nelson@gmail.com

[Permalink]

del.icio.us