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NCAA Tournament: NBA Draft Stock Watch (Sweet Sixteen, Friday games)
by: Jonathan Givony - President, Mike Schmidt - D-League, NCAA Scout
March 25, 2006
A look at the prospects who helped and hurt themselves the most in the sixth day of action in the NCAA tournament.

Marcus Williams establishes himself as the frontrunner for MVP of the NCAA tournament with yet another fantastic scoring and passing display. Joakim Noah shows off his half-court skills this time in a physical grind it out setting. Randy Foye carries his team to victory and shows why he might be the most talented shot-creating guard in the country at the moment. Rudy Gay and Allan Ray come up flat when their teams need them him the most. Those and much more in our sixth installment of the NCAA Tournament stock watch.

Sweet 16, Thursday Games, Stock Up, Down and Neutral prospects

Round of 32, Sunday Games, Stock Up, Down and Neutral prospects

Round of 32, Saturday Games, Stock Up prospects

Round of 32, Saturday Games, Stock Down and Neutral prospects

Round of 64, Thursday Games, Stock Up, Down and Neutral prospects

Round of 64, Friday Games, Stock Up, Down and Neutral prospects


Stock Up

Marcus Williams, 6-3, Point Guard, Sophomore, UCONN, Stock Up

26 points, 8 assists, 4 rebounds, 7 turnovers, 6-13 FG, 11-11 FT




Mike Schmidt

Marcus Williams, a player who’s performed as well as just about anyone throughout the tournament so far had his best game yet against Washington and was largely responsible for Connecticut coming away with the victory.

Right from the beginning, Williams displayed his passing abilities, throwing the ball the length of the court to Josh Boone for an easy dunk. He continued by hitting a couple three pointers, and used his strength and craftiness to get to the free throw line. On offense, Marcus showed just about everything, including some great passes, nice layups, and long range jump shots. In addition, Williams made some amazingly clutch baskets late in the second half and in overtime. After hurting his ankle in the extra session, he walked it off on the sidelines for a couple minutes before coming back to make a tough layup, a key pass, a huge steal and two free throws in the final minute to ice the UCONN victory. If there was any weakness for Williams against Washington, it was the 7 turnovers that were the result of some forced passes, and a few out of control drives to the basket that can be credited to the fact that he was trying to step up as his team’s go-to guy. Many of these turnovers happened during the beginning of the second half, when UCONN was out of sync and the whole team was playing sloppily. Williams was able to calm the team down, and lead them back for the victory.

Marcus Williams has displayed every skill necessary for him to improve his draft stock throughout the NCAA Tournament, continuing to show why he’s considered the top point guard in the country, but also showing more shooting and scoring ability than we’ve ever seen from him. He is definitely on the watch list of the numerous playmaking deprived teams in the lottery right now due to his passing, scoring, and clutch abilities. With this performance he’s become the frontrunner for the NCAA tournament MVP award, especially if he can lead the Huskies to a national championship.




Joakim Noah, 6-11, Sophomore, PF/C, Florida

15 points, 10 rebounds, 5 blocks, 0 assists, 3 turnovers, 6-13 FG, 3-4 FT




Jonathan Givony

Noah’s performance tonight against Georgetown wasn’t as pleasing to the eye as the poundings Florida put on South Alabama and Wisconsin Milwaukee, but the end result was just as effective. It also showed off a very important part to his game that we hadn’t seen so much in this tournament so far—his willingness and ability to grind it out in a half-court game.

Noah’s heartbeat was on full display for every second he was out on the floor; running the floor like a madman, blocking shots, taking the ball relentlessly to the basket and crashing the glass with every drop of energy he had in his frail frame.

He struggled at times to finish around the hoop because of his undeveloped strength, especially early on, but looked outstanding in other instances using his length, athleticism and smarts to will balls into the basket while never ceasing to attack his man. We didn’t see as much of his ball-handling and passing skills in the open floor because of the style of play we saw here and the tempo the game was played at (the 57-54 end result tells the story), but Noah made his presence felt in every other way imaginable for his team, and on both ends of the floor too.

Next up for Noah and the Gators are #1 seed Villanova and a potential chess match where he might be forced to defend 6-3 or 6-4 guards on the perimeter for certain stretches. His ability to make his presence felt offensively and defensively as he did in so many key sequences tonight will probably be the difference between a Final Four berth or a trip back home to ponder his NBA draft future.




Randy Foye, 6-4, Senior, Shooting Guard, Villanova

29 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, 10-25 FG, 7-8 FT




Mike Schmidt

]Without Randy Foye, it is safe to say that Villanova would have had no shot whatsoever at beating Boston College. As he’s had the tendency to do with his overall streakiness throughout the year, Foye started off the game cold, and didn’t get his first field goal until there was less than 5 minutes remaining in the first half. Most of his early shot attempts were outside shots that just weren’t falling, and Foye appeared to be playing passive. With the half winding down, he decided to start driving to the hoop, and became much more aggressive. From there, Foye took the game over, at one point scoring 16 points in a row for Villanova over a 14 minute span. Late in the second half with the game on the line, he continued to carry the load for his team. Foye scored the last 6 points in regulation, as well as 5 more in overtime to capture the victory.

Against BC Foye displayed why he is such a valuable commodity, and the most important of Villanova’s guards. His combination of shooting and slashing is very rare for a player who plays such good defense to boot. Foye proved today that he could score taking the ball all the way to the hoop as well from outside the three point line, but the majority of his points were scored with an advanced mid-range game which included a number of floaters and jumpers over taller players. He also used his penetration ability to get open looks for his teammates when he was able to draw extra defenders his way.

In the NBA, Foye projects as a combo guard, and it would help him if he could show at least somewhat of an ability to run an offense like a point guard would. His shooting and mid-range game will translate to the pros immediately, however, and the team that drafts him will be getting a guy who can contribute right away. Randy Foye has at least one game remaining to continue to show scouts what an outstanding competitor he is, and if he can play again like he did against BC, his value will continue to rise.





Brandon Roy, 6-6, Senior, Shooting Guard, Washington

20 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 5 fouls, 7-18 FG


Mike Schmidt

In the final game of his college career Roy displayed the variety of skills he used all season long to lead his team to the Sweet 16.

He displayed his awesome slashing ability early in the game, getting the ball in the hoop over the much taller front court players of UConn. Roy also showed his very impressive passing ability and court vision on his drives to the hoop. His knack for finding the open man will certainly help him at the next level. Though he was solid on defense, especially defending Rudy Gay, Roy found himself in foul trouble in the second half after a verbal confrontation between him and Gay lead to a double technical foul. In college, a technical foul also counts as a personal foul, so Roy found himself relinquished to the bench with 13:39 to go in the game.

His value to Washington was never more evident than the time he spent on the bench during the second half. When Roy exited the game, his team had a comfortable 53-45 lead. In the minutes that followed, Connecticut went on a 10-2 run and tied the game at 55. Roy returned with 6 minutes in the game, and made some key free throws in the final minute of the game. He couldn’t do enough in overtime, however, and fouled out of his final collegiate game after being forced to send Marcus Williams to the free throw line with under 30 seconds remaining to stop him from getting a breakaway layup and icing the game for the Huskies. What was most disappointing about his exit was the fact that Roy and the Huskies were clearly robbed of a perfectly legal field goal in a clutch moment in overtime that almost certainly would have changed the outcome of the game, without even going into the conspicuous disparity between the two teams at the free throw line and the questionable technical foul for his altercation with Rudy Gay. A beautiful tear-drop by Roy was blatantly blocked on its way down by Hilton Armstrong in a clear goaltending violation that was obvious to every person watching the game except the oblivious men in stripes.

Brandon Roy proved tonight regardless why he is one of the best players in the nation, and why he will hear his name called out early from the green room on draft night. He has great ability to get to the hoop in combination with a smooth shooting stroke. Roy is also a very good defender, and has a great understanding of the game. He might be the player closest to a sure thing on draft night, and though he lacks the upside that some other players may have, Roy will be ready to contribute in the NBA from day one.




Rashad Anderson, 6-5, Senior, Shooting Guard, UCONN

19 points, 2 rebounds, 6-12 FG, 5-10 3 point FG


Mike Schmidt

Anderson came up in a huge way for UCONN down the stretch, using his shooting stroke, fearlessness and clutch abilities to miraculously keep his team in the game in impossible situations and come away with the win. He only had 3 points in the first half, but came back strong in the second half when his team made their big run to get back into the game. With his team down by 6, Anderson knocked down a pair of back to back threes, immediately energizing his team, and bringing them back into a game they hadn’t led since early in the first half. Down by 5 with 25 seconds left, Rashad hit another three, before capping off his incredible performance by hitting yet another beautiful off-balance three-pointer with 8 seconds left to send the game into overtime. Anderson’s 3 point shooting almost single-handedly put the Huskies in the Elite 8, in a game that won’t soon be forgotten.

Though he only possesses average athleticism, Rashad Anderson has constantly displayed awesome outside shooting this season, a skill always sought by NBA teams. It will also help him that most of his shots come in a very timely manner, as he shows no fear of pulling the trigger at any times as he has the utmost confidence in his abilities as a player. It is highly doubtful that Anderson moves himself into the first round of the draft, but some team drafting in the second round could be looking at landing themselves a fantastic shooter to add to their rotation.




Stock Neutral

Roy Hibbert, 7-2, Sophomore, Center, Georgetown

10 points, 7 rebounds, 3 blocks, 5-9 FG, 4 fouls, 28 minutes




Mike Schmidt

A bit of a quiet night for Georgetown’s 7-2 monster center Roy Hibbert. He clearly struggled with the athleticism of Florida’s frontcourt, and looked physically drained down the stretch having to chase them up and down the floor.

Hibbert did show off sparks of why many consider him to be a potential future starter for an NBA franchise, using his size and strength to establish position deep in Florida’s paint on occasion and showing nice touch finishing off the glass with his jump-hook, and even putting the ball on the floor once from the free throw line before spinning beautifully into a soft layup. Defensively he struggled to get out and establish his presence when his man would stray more than a few feet away from the basket, and clearly faded a bit down the stretch when his team needed him the most.

If anyone would have told Coach John Thompson III two years ago that he would have gotten 10 points, 7 rebounds and 3 blocks out of his goofy looking high school senior when he committed to the Hoyas he likely would have been ecstatic, though, as no one can take anything away from the massive improvement Hibbert has shown since the second he stepped on Georgetown’s campus. Hibbert has his work cut out for him this summer to continue to add polish to his all-around game and improve his conditioning, athleticism and coordination before being able to think about making the jump to the NBA, but from everything we’ve seen he has the work ethic, intelligence and physical characteristics to eventually make it there, potentially as early as next summer.




Bobby Jones, 6-6, G/F, Senior, Washington, stock neutral

9 points, 5 rebounds, 5 fouls, 4-8 FG


Mike Schmidt

Bobby Jones once again showed why he is considered one of the premier defenders in all of college basketball with the way he disrupted Rudy Gay in the first half. Unable to get the ball in good position, Gay took some bad shots as a result of Jones’ tough defense, and was taken out of the game early. Though he found himself in foul trouble, and eventually fouled out late in the game, Jones was able to also add 9 points by using his length to finish very smoothly near the basket. He lacks the consistent outside shot you like to see from a player at the next level, but Bobby Jones’ defense will definitely get him invited to workouts against top prospects. If he can improve his offensive game to the point that he’s not considered a liability on the floor and have a solid showing at Portsmouth, Jones has a shot of being making and sticking with an NBA team looking for a defensive stopper.




Al Horford, 6-9, Sophomore, PF/C, Florida

12 points, 6 rebounds, 2 blocks, 1 steal, 4-8 FG, 4-6 FT


Jonathan Givony

This was a fairly quiet night for Horford on the stat-sheet, but he did everything his team needed him to do for them and more, while continuing to show sparks of what gets NBA types so excited about his upside as a draft prospect.

His defense on 7-2 Roy Hibbert was a huge factor in his team coming out on top in the end, as the way he managed to take it to him on both ends of the floor had the talented big man bent over holding his shorts after all the energy he was forced to expend.

Horford rebounded with purpose, coming up with some massive boards on the offensive end especially, and did what his team needed to do in their half-court sets by scoring with a jump hook with his back to the basket, knocking down another mid-range jump-shot, putting the ball on the floor with his quickness before elevating and dunking emphatically, and knocking down a couple of clutch free throws that sealed the win for his team.

There wasn’t anything all that pretty in the way Horford played tonight, but everything he did was effective and efficient and played a huge role in the final score that will send his team to the Elite Eight on Sunday.




Sean Williams, 6-10, Sophomore, Center, Boston College

7 points, 7 rebounds, 3 blocks, 2-2 FG, 3-6 FT


Williams play a huge role for Boston College down the stretch of a game for the second time in the NCAA Tournament, and though it didn’t lead to a win, he showed the natural tools and raw skills that make him an attractive draft prospect in the long run. He used his awesome athleticism to get three blocks, including one on Kyle Lowry’s three point attempt at the end of regulation. Williams also had another near block with his left hand on Dante Cunningham that turned into a very questionable foul call. Sean Williams has an incredible amount of athleticism and a well-built body that on their own would make him a draft prospect. Though he started to show flashes of what he can become throughout the NCAA Tournament, Williams will need to return to school, continue to stay out of trouble and take on a much bigger role for Boston College next season.




Stock Down

Rudy Gay, 6-9, Sophomore, Small Forward, UCONN

14 Points, 5-9 FG, 4-5 FT, 2 rebounds, 5 turnovers




Mike Schmidt

For any average player this might seem like a decent stat-line, but the standard has to be higher when discussing a possible top 5 pick. Against Washington, Gay’s effectiveness was limited throughout much of the game, and his teammates were the ones making the big plays that led to the comeback win. In the first half, Rudy struggled to get the ball in a position to make a move thanks to the fantastic defense effort of Bobby Jones. On one occasion, Gay passed up an open three point look to take two dribbles to the right and throw up a tough fall-away jumper from the free throw line that barely grazed the front of the rim. He finished the first half with only 1 point on 0-3 from the field.

Rudy Gay played better in the second half, but still didn’t look at the level of a top 5 pick, especially down the stretch. Jones continued to defend him hard without the ball, but Gay started to work for better positioning, which led to a nice move under the basket, and a few attempts from the free throw line. On defense, Gay started to concentrate on denying Brandon Roy position, and forced him into some difficult shots. At one point, Roy fouled Rudy which led to some heated words between the two players and a double technical foul. Gay is known for having a passive on-court demeanor a lot of the time, and it was nice to see some fire out of him for once. Though he had a better half, he still drove into the lane on a few occasions with no place to go, which led to some turnovers. On the defensive side, Gay missed a few help assignments as well, which allowed Washington to score on open layups right at the basket. Though he improved throughout the game, Rudy Gay’s performance left a lot to be desired from somebody considered such a great prospect.

After his last game where Gay was right in the middle of a UCONN victory and had the stat-line to back it up, many people though he would break out in the remaining games of the NCAA tournament. His performance against Washington showed that Rudy isn’t yet ready to be the go-to player for his team, and that his draft stock is very much up in the air at this point depending on what NBA teams see in him. Gay has at least one more game to try and bounce back, but inconsistency is never a good thing even when we’re talking about someone this young.




Allan Ray, 6-2, Senior, Shooting Guard, Villanova

9 points, 3 rebounds, 0 assists, 1 turnover, 3-15 FG, 2-9 3P, 1-2 FT


Jonathan Givony

The only redeeming part of Allan Ray’s Sweet 16 performance against Boston College was the fact that his team came away with the win, although it’s hard to say that he had too much to do with it.

As we’ve seen happen at times this season, Ray was ice cold all game long, starting off 0-5 from the 3-point line in the first 10 minutes of the game and only got his first field goal of the game with 5 minutes to go in the half. Ray was dribbling into double teams almost every single time he put the ball on the floor, clearly forcing the issue and going nowhere in the process and in one sequence handing the ball off to his point guard Kyle Lowry with 3 seconds on the shot-clock near mid-court to force him to throw up a 40 foot desperation shot that obviously came nowhere close. Ray did not let his cold streak deter him from continuing to heave up shots, missing a few that he would normally hit with his eyes closed until it seemed like Coach Jay Wright reeled him in and asked him to settle down a bit. Luckily for Ray his fellow shooting guard Randy Foye was incredible for the last 30 minutes of the game and his point guard Kyle Lowry made some huge defensive plays. The only real thing that can be taken away from this game, considering the fact that we already knew that Ray is as streaky a shooter as can be, is the fact that when his shot isn’t falling there doesn’t seem to be anything he can do to really help his team out on the floor. If Villanova had any kind of depth coming off the bench he probably would have been asked to take a seat, but to his credit Ray didn’t hurt his team much at the end by forcing up shots and instead let Randy Foye run the show since he had the hot hand.
 


Feedback for this article may be sent to jonathan@draftexpress.com mike.schmidt@draftexpress.com .

 

Marcus Williams
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 205 lbs.
Birthday: 11/18/1986
27 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Roosevelt
Previous Team: Shanxi , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #3 in 2007 Draft
by the Spurs
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
28.9 Pts, 5.3 Rebs, 3.7 Asts


Joakim Noah
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 7' 0"
Weight: 223 lbs.
Birthday: 02/25/1985
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Lawrenceville Prep
Previous Team: Florida , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #9 in 2007 Draft
by the Bulls
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF/C,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
12.6 Pts, 11.3 Rebs, 5.4 Asts


Randy Foye
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 212 lbs.
Birthday: 09/24/1983
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Newark East Side
Previous Team: Villanova , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #7 in 2006 Draft
by the Trailblazers
Positions:
Current: SG,
NBA: PG/SG,
Possible: SG
Quick Stats:
13.2 Pts, 2.9 Rebs, 3.6 Asts


Rudy Gay
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 8"
Weight: 222 lbs.
Birthday: 08/17/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Spalding
Previous Team: Connecticut , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #8 in 2006 Draft
by the Rockets
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF/PF
Quick Stats:
6.0 Pts, 3.7 Rebs, 1.4 Asts


Allan Ray
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 2"
Weight: 204 lbs.
Birthday: 06/18/1984
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School: St. Raymond
Previous Team: Villanova , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: SG,
NBA: PG/SG,
Possible: SG
Quick Stats:
7.7 Pts, 2.5 Rebs, 2.9 Asts


Josh Boone
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 10"
Weight: 237 lbs.
Birthday: 11/21/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: West Nottingham Academy
Previous Team: Connecticut , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #23 in 2006 Draft
by the Nets
Positions:
Current: C,
NBA: C,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
5.8 Pts, 4.2 Rebs, 0.2 Asts


Hilton Armstrong
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 10"
Weight: 240 lbs.
Birthday: 11/25/1984
29 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Peekskill
Previous Team: Panathinaikos , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #12 in 2006 Draft
by the Hornets
Positions:
Current: PF/C,
NBA: PF/C,
Possible: PF
Quick Stats:
1.3 Pts, 2.4 Rebs, 0.3 Asts


Brandon Roy
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 207 lbs.
Birthday: 07/23/1984
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Garfield
Previous Team: Washington , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #6 in 2006 Draft
by the Timberwolves
Positions:
Current: SG,
NBA: SG,
Possible: PG/SG
Quick Stats:
5.8 Pts, 2.8 Rebs, 4.6 Asts


Rashad Anderson
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 224 lbs.
Birthday: 11/10/1983
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Kathleen
Previous Team: Connecticut , PRO
Drafted: Undrafted in Draft
Positions:
Current: SG,
NBA: SG,
Possible: SG/SF
Quick Stats:
13.0 Pts, 2.7 Rebs, 1.0 Asts


Roy Hibbert
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 7' 2"
Weight: 272 lbs.
Birthday: 12/11/1986
27 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Georgetown
Previous Team: Georgetown , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #17 in 2008 Draft
by the Raptors
Positions:
Current: C,
NBA: C,
Possible: C
Quick Stats:
10.8 Pts, 6.6 Rebs, 1.1 Asts


John Thompson
Full Profile
Physicals
Height: 6' 10"
Weight: 225 lbs.
Birthday: 09/02/1941
73 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Adelphi Academy
Previous Team: South Carolina , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 3, Pick #9 in 1964 Draft
by the Celtics
Positions:
Current: F,
NBA: F,
Possible: F


Bobby Jones
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 7"
Weight: 211 lbs.
Birthday: 01/09/1984
30 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Long Beach Poly
Previous Team: Teramo , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 2, Pick #7 in 2006 Draft
by the Timberwolves
Positions:
Current: SF,
NBA: SF,
Possible: SF
Quick Stats:
11.2 Pts, 4.5 Rebs, 1.2 Asts


Kyle Lowry
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 1"
Weight: 175 lbs.
Birthday: 03/25/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Cardinal Dougherty
Previous Team: Villanova , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #24 in 2006 Draft
by the Grizzlies
Positions:
Current: PG,
NBA: PG,
Possible: PG
Quick Stats:
15.0 Pts, 7.0 Rebs, 4.0 Asts


Sean Williams
Full Profile | Player Stats
Physicals
Height: 6' 10"
Weight: 230 lbs.
Birthday: 09/15/1986
28 Years Old
Teams:
High School: Mansfield
Previous Team: Boston College , PRO
Drafted: Rnd 1, Pick #17 in 2007 Draft
by the Nets
Positions:
Current: C,
NBA: PF/C,
Possible: PF/C
Quick Stats:
10.9 Pts, 7.7 Rebs, 1.7 Asts


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