Trending Prospects: Brandon Davies

Trending Prospects: Brandon Davies
Jun 14, 2013, 06:23 am
Brandon Davies was one of the top scoring big man in college basketball this season, showing an impressive skill-set and feel for the game. How will his limitations as a defender and rebounder hold his back on draft night?

Brandon Davies, 6'10, Power Forward/Center, Brigham Young, Senior

Brandon Davies]

Kyle Nelson

Brandon Davies toiled in relative obscurity alongside collegiate superstar Jimmer Fredette during his first two years at Brigham Young, being better known for committing an honor code violation (reportedly for engaging in pre-marital sex) than for his rapidly improving post game.

He came from his suspension back even better, returning to a breakout junior season as the Cougars' leading rebounder and second leading scorer. He was named to the All-West Coast Conference Team as a senior and led the Cougars to the NIT Semifinals.

Davies followed up his regular season and postseason success by impressing scouts at the Portsmouth Invitational Tournament, where he was named Most Valuable Player, ending his college career with his stock at an all-time high. He now has a solid chance of hearing his name called on draft night.

On first glance, it's easy to see why. Standing 6'10 in shoes with a 7'2 wingspan, Davies possesses the size to play either big man position in the NBA, along with a standing reach similar to taller NBA players such as Anthony Davis and Greg Monroe. That being said, he is just an average athlete, neither particularly explosive nor quick, which, when coupled with his frame, sometimes makes it difficult for him to finish over and through NBA-caliber post players.

While his physical profile is a mixed bag, he made significant strides on the offensive end, situating himself as one of the most prolific scoring big men in the draft. Davies averaged 17.7 points per game and 22.4 points per 40 minutes pace adjusted while seeing a career high 23.2% of BYU's possession, much of it with his back to the basket. According to Synergy, he found over 55.5% of his overall possessions in post-up situations, making 51% of his field goal attempts, which ranks second best in this draft class.

In the post, Davies is particularly adept at executing spin moves and drop steps on the block with solid shooting touch and body control. He also shows the versatility to finish with either his left or right hand, sometimes with an impressive running jump hook shot. His overall footwork has improved considerably since the last time we wrote about him in 2011, but it should be said that he still looks most comfortable executing fairly rudimentary moves in the paint without much in the way of either countermoves or advanced foot work. He also has the ability to defer to his jumper with his back to the basket, showing a turnaround and fade away jump shot.

Not the toughest big man around, Davies struggles to finish through contact against better competition, and his lack of strength contributes to his reputation as a fairly soft player at this point in time. Worth noting, however, is the fact that despite his need to get stronger, he gets to the line at an outstanding rate, drawing fouls on the block, at the rim, and amidst his shooting motion. His 9.0 free throw attempts per 40 minutes pace adjusted ranks an outstanding second among all prospects in our top-100.

An intriguing aspect of Davies' developing skill-set is his face-up game, particularly his jump shot. He started to expand this part of his game this season, even if he made just 34.1% of his jump shot attempts.

That being said, his mechanics actually look decent when he has the time to set his feet and the space to get his shot off unguarded. More often, though, he tends shoots the ball after the peak of his jump, on the way down, and with a hitch, resulting in a tendency to overshoot the ball. Improving the fluidity of his shooting mechanics, in particular, would greatly elevate his stock among scouts as big men who can stretch the floor are coveted at the next level.

In addition to his potential as a post scorer, Davies also shows solid instincts on the offensive end of the floor, particularly as a passer. His 3.1 assists per 40 minutes pace adjusted rank him as the second best passer among both power forwards and centers in our top-100, and he shows the ability to pass out of the post, both high and low.

Despite his large role to Brigham Young's offense, he is willing to make the extra pass, finding teammates cutting to the basket and open on the perimeter. For as solid of a passer as he has proven to be, he is also quite turnover prone, ranking fourth among big men and to the tune of 3.3 turnovers per 40 minutes pace adjusted.

Arguably the biggest question surrounding Davies's potential at the next level surrounds his defense. On tape, there is certainly cause for concern, as his lateral quickness is below average in the NCAA, let alone the NBA. This hinders his ability to guard the pick-and-roll, as well as perimeter oriented big men, even though he does a solid job of closing out on shooters due to his length.

Inside, he looks more focused than in previous years, but he nevertheless struggles to hold his position in the post due to his lack of strength. When he is not bodied off of the block, he uses his length well to contest shots around the basket, even if his 1.2 blocks per 40 minutes pace adjusted is unimpressive among prospects in our top-100.

Ultimately, however, despite the fact that he is an above average defender at the collegiate level, his physical and athletic limitations may prove to be more telling as to his professional prospects. His defense against the likes of Kelly Olynyk, Jack Cooley, and Isaiah Austin, if anything, showed that he has a long way to go before he is capable of guarding NBA-caliber big men, even if there is no reason why he can't continue to improve in this area down the road.

After being relatively mediocre in this area for the first three years of his career, he did a solid job on the defensive glass this season, grabbing a respectable 7.5 defensive rebounds per 40 minutes pace adjusted. On the offensive glass he was fairly poor, though, with his 2.6 offensive rebounds per-40 ranking last among top-100 prospect centers.

At the end of the day, Davies's performance at Portsmouth elevated his stock from an afterthought to potentially being a second round pick. In addition to possessing the size and an intriguing offensive skill set for an NBA rotation big man, he impressed scouts with his character amidst his sophomore suspension, and with the way that he handled himself throughout his collegiate career.

As the draft nears, Davies will have every opportunity to prove to scouts that he has the ability to play at the next level. In a draft that lacks great depth at the power forward position, he has to be considered attractive since he's still only 21 years old and surely has plenty of room to continue to improve.

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