H: 7' 0"|
W: 240 lbs
(28 Years Old)
|Agent: Jason Ranne ||
High School: Oakhill
Hometown: Sydney, Australia
Coming off a promising freshman season and a non-descript sophomore season, Andrew Ogilvy is once again drifting along at Vanderbilt, being essentially the same player that walked onto campus three seasons ago. Ogilvyís production and efficiency have both actually dropped slightly in each of the past two seasons, as his playing time continues to go down each year for reasons that are difficult to explain when looking at his gaudy per-minute production.
Looking at his game, thereís really not much new to say about Ogilvy, as his strengths and weaknesses from an NBA perspective are largely still the same as they have been the past two seasons. He has a large arsenal of moves in the post and can operate off either shoulder and finish with either hand, making him a very tough matchup at the college level when you consider his size and level of coordination. Heís also a fairly crafty player when he has the ball in the paint, showing no problem initiating contact to get to the free throw line, something he does incredibly well.
Projecting to the next level, however, itís doubtful the bigger, stronger, more athletic opponents he matches up with at the center position in the NBA will be so inclined to foul him as much. His arsenal of finesse moves in the post are prone to being blocked at the college level as well, where he doesnít get outstanding separation, so itís very questionable how it will translate to the pro level. He also lacks a significant degree of toughness, which is perhaps the most concerning aspect of projecting him to the NBA.
While Ogilvy has shown his mid-to-long range jumper to be a somewhat respectable weapon over the years at Vanderbilt, he hasnít done anything to adjust his troubling motion, which has a slot and low release point, making it hard for him to get it off in situations other than him being wide open. A player with his size and shooting ability could be a very potent weapon in the NBA in pick-and-pop situations, but with his awkward release, itíll be hard to get off clean looks. Ogilvy has only made 7 of the 20 jump-shots heís attempted according to Synergy Sports Technology, which is not what you want to see considering how important this part of his game will be at the NBA level.
The one thing Ogilvy has seemed to improve on each season is his face-up game, as heís looking more and more comfortable putting the ball on the floor in dribble drives, being capable of dribbling in straight lines with both hands and finishing at the rim with both hands, but his speed is still underwhelming, and with his lack of lift around the rim, heís going to have a lot of trouble finishing against weakside defenders.
Aside from scoring, Ogilvy has cut down on his turnovers a bit this season, but still shows some issues forcing various aspects of his game, be it either his face-up or post-up game. He likewise doesnít look to pass very often, despite sporting a high basketball IQ, looking for his shot in most situations, even after double teams come.
Ogilvy does a decent job on the offensive glass, showing good awareness and timing on the offensive end in general, but heís a very poor rebounder on the defensive end. He doesnít seem willing to sacrifice his body in order to come up with loose balls, not doing much to shed the ďsoftĒ label that has preceded him from his previous two years at Vanderbilt.
Defensively, Ogilvy still has mostly the same issues, looking like a fish out of water on the perimeter, not having great fundamentals or lateral foot speed, while struggling to keep his center of gravity down. To be fair, heís often matched up with players who would profile as 4ís in the NBA, and should be less exposed going against true 5ís in the NBA, but this is still an area that is a considerable weakness. In the post, he gets pushed around quite a bit and doesnít seem to be the type who is all that interested in fighting back, getting out-hustled and out-muscled on a regular basis when going up against physically superior big men.
Looking forward, Ogilvy is still going to be firmly in draft discussions due to his size and back-to-the-basket game, things that arenít that easy to come by at the college level, but with each passing season without major adjustments to his game, talent evaluators must be starting to come to the conclusion that you probably shouldnít expect much more from him down the road.
Ogilvy could still help himself considerably by putting in some work with an athletic trainer to develop his lower body strength and explosiveness in general, while also developing a bit more of a power game in the post, and he could likewise help himself by adjusting the issues with his spot-up jumper. That said, due to his defensive issues, underwhelming rebounding, lack of toughness and overall stagnant development in his three seasons in college, heís probably looking at being drafted in the second round should he declare, unless he really puts in some strong work in the pre-draft process and surprises teams with something in workouts.
After making some noise with a very strong freshman season on a highly ranked Vanderbilt squad, Andrew Ogilvy flew under the radar as a sophomore, as Vanderbilt finished a pedestrian 8-8 in conference play and Ogilvy failed to improve on his freshman stat line. Thatís not to say Ogilvyís game hasnít developed, however, as if you look beyond the stats, there were a few interesting things to note about his 2009 campaign.
Ogilvyís freshman season was highlighted by his dominant play with his back to the basket, and his sophomore season was no different, as he continued to punish opposing defenses inside. Ogilvyís footwork, awareness, and understanding of how to use fakes in combination with every move in his arsenal are nothing short of outstanding, and he uses these things very well in combination with his imposing stature. On the downside, however, Ogilvy didnít alleviate many of the concerns from a year ago in regards to his post game, not showing much ability as a power finisher and lacking the lower body explosiveness that would help his game translate more seemlessly to the next level. Also, while he has great fundamentals and can methodically beat almost any college defender on an island, he does show some problems dealing with double teams, not always showing the quickness to finish before they collapse on him, leading to his high turnover rate for a big man.
While Ogilvyís post game was mostly par for the course this season, there were some strong signs for his developing face-up game, something he showed little of as a freshman. While he still doesnít look quite comfortable operating off the dribble, Ogilvy made steady use of straight-line dribble drives this season, translating his great footwork to his perimeter game and doing a good job of finishing around the rim due to his excellent size and ability to shoot over opponents. Ogilvyís first step and top speed are both below average, however, and this could become a serious problem if he doesnít improve on his poor outside shooting.
In regards to Ogilvyís jump shot, he didnít do anything to change his concerning mechanics this past season, still using the awkward push shot from his chest, which has a low trajectory and poor touch, leading to some bad misses, especially when rushed or contested. Ogilvy needs to work on getting his shot on more of a vertical plane, which would allow him to use more legs than arms, likely improving his touch and giving him a better trajectory and less blockable shot. Doing so would make his transition to the NBA much easier, as it would open up his face-up game and make him a threat in the pick-and-pop, something that virtually always translates to the NBA.
Defensively, Ogilvy still has many of the same problems, giving up position too easily in the post and not having the lateral quickness required to stay in front of his man on the perimeter. Ogilvyís poor lateral mobility is also concerning defending the pick-and-roll, where he struggles to quickly recover to his man off hedges and struggles even more when switched to small guards. To his credit, Ogilvy did cut down on his fouls slightly this season, which is never a bad thing for a center.
Looking forward, Ogilvy is clearly a very skilled player with great size, both of which bode well for his future success. However, due to some of his athletic limitations, there are questions about how some aspects of his game will translate to the next level, which is why itís so important that he works on some of his weaker areas, namely his mid-range jumper and lower body explosiveness, both of which could definitely help his game notably. Regardless, whether he comes out this season or next, Ogilvy should be in first round discussions, as players with his size, skill level, and feel for the game donít grow on trees.
Statistically speaking, Andrew Ogilvy was clearly one of the most impressive freshman in the country last season. The Australian import ranked in the top-25 of 16 different statistical categories in our database, two of those being negative (related to fouls), and has the distinction of being the 6th best returning scorer in the NCAA per-40 minutes pace adjusted. Not only does Ogilvy stand 6-11, he is a true center who does the majority of his damage inside the paint (as evidenced by the 59% he shot from the field), which makes a unique prospect at the NCAA level any way you slice it.
A mobile big man who probably canít be described as being anything more than just a Ďfairí athlete by NBA standards, its Ogilvyís incredibly high skill level which really separates him from the pack. He wants and knows how to establish position deep in the paint, and shows outstanding hands to go along with the ability to knock down jump-hooks with either and terrific touch.
Ogilvy has a great feel for operating inside, always looking in command of where he is and how he wants to attack his matchup. He looks extremely impressive finishing his moves smoothly and elegantly with terrific extension around the rim. His relatively quick feet make him difficult to match up with inside, and heís capable of scoring in a couple of different ways, including a turnaround jumper, drop-step and up and under moves.
The downside appears to be that Ogilvy isnít always athletic enough to just rise up and finish over his opponents in traffic, looking more likely to score with a layup or finesse move rather than a dunk, and thus seeing his shot blocked a decent amount. He needs to add at least 10-15 pounds of upper body strength to more comfortably operate against NBA-level big men, but there is very little doubt that his post game should translate to the next level and could be a very valuable asset in the right system.
Ogilvy also gets to the free throw line at a superb rate, being amongst the best in the NCAA in that category last season, and he comes with the added bonus of shooting a very nice percentage from the line, at 76%.
Despite obviously possessing very nice touch and a generally high skill level, Ogilvy didnít show an incredibly advanced face-up game as a freshman last season. The release point on his shot looks a bit low (coming from just above his chest) but he clearly has the ability to knock down 16-18 foot jump-shots, and he may show more of that this upcoming season, which would be an intriguing development. Likewise, he didnít put the ball on the floor a great deal either, but seems to have the potential to do so, with either hand even. Weíll see if he feels more comfortable showing off a wider variety of perimeter skills this year, something that would clearly add to his resume.
One of the big issues that prevented Ogilvy from making a bigger splash last season was his consistent struggles with foul problems, which held his minutes in check at just 26 per game. He is clearly nothing more than an average defender at best, as he often gives up position deep in the post to opposing big men, gets backed down incessantly around the rim, struggles to move his feet rotating inside the paint, and displays questionable lateral quickness trying to defend the perimeter with his flat-footed upright stance.
Itís pretty clear that he had never faced the type of athletic big men that the likes of Tennessee, Florida, Arkansas and Mississippi State were able to throw at him, but considering his youth, timing and nice feel for the game (which helped him block nearly a shot and a half per game, mostly coming on the ball), he should be able to adjust better this season. Getting stronger will help, but heíll need to get tougher and more aggressive as well, particularly on the glass, where he appears to get outhustled at times going after rebounds.
Regardless, there is a lot to like about what Ogilvy brought to the table as a freshman, and with so many underclassmen centers opting to jump ship for the NBA last June, heís clearly one of the best remaining big men prospects in college basketballóand possibly the most skilled.
The brilliant play that Ogilvy put on display at this summerís U-19 World Championships has carried over to his college play, where he has been outstanding for Vanderbilt. He has stepped in and immediately established himself as the Commodores go to player, one capable of demanding double teams and making opposing squads pay if they make the mistake giving him single coverage in the post. DraftExpress had the chance to observe Ogilvy in person with his matchup versus Toledo, in which he posted 20 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 blocks.
The big Aussie is more of a traditional center, in that he excels playing near the basket as opposed to out on the perimeter. He showed off excellent footwork in the low post, softly pivoting off of either foot en route to his scoring attempts. Able to finish with either hand, ďA.J.Ē is unpredictable in guarding due to the fact that he finishes equally well going to his left and right shoulders respectively. He catches virtually everything that is thrown his way and is able to convert when placed in scoring situations, as shown by his 70% field goal percentage.
Ogilvy exhibits toughness similar to that of most Australian players who have hit the college ranks, being absolutely fearless in terms of drawing physical contact. He is extremely tough on both ends of the floor, fighting mercilessly for post position offensively and defensively. The gritty style of play that Andrew owns has not made him the rebounding force that he was over the summer however, snagging an undistinguished 6.7 rebounds per game thus far.
Although Ogilvy owns legitimate size and length for a center prospect, his athleticism is below average for NBA standards. He struggles when guarding players facing the basket, where his subpar lateral quickness is put on center state. The seven footer has also had problems defending the pick and roll, not rotating quick enough to help out in a reasonable matter. While he possesses outstanding timing in terms of shot blocking, Ogilvy is not an exceptional leaper by any stretch of the definition and occasionally is baited into cheap fouls when trying to swat shots.
Kosta Koufos and Roy Hibbert aside, Ogilvy has the capability to leapfrog everyone else and establish himself as the third best center prospect that the 2008 draft has to offer with a strong season. The package of size, scoring ability, and toughness that he boasts is uncommon for most freshman centers. It is clear that Vanderbilt will do everything in their power to get him the rock in scoring positions and that he will be the focal point of their offense, so in all likelihood the NBA will be a viable option for Ogilvy to consider once his freshman season in Nashville comes to an end, although we feel he would be best suited to spend another year at the college ranks.
The centerpiece of the Australian squad, very few players (if anybody) had a bigger influence on his own teamís offensive game. A great chunk of the Aussie offensive flow ran though him, usually with excellent results, as Ogilvy emerged as one of the best performers in the tournament.
Not the most athletic guy around, heís one of those extremely fundamentally sound big men that come as a blessing for any teamís game. Skilled, smart, aggressive--he just made things happen. Although Ogilvy enjoys solid shooting touch from mid-range, he basically made a living in the paint, consistently looking for the surroundings of the rim, either facing or with his back to the basket. Very solid from the low post, he doesnít enjoy fancy moves, but heís pretty effective with simple spins, aggressiveness looking for contact (heís a strong guy who easily plays off contact) and a nice ability to finish with either hand, even if he might eventually force the use of his good hand, the right one. Still itís perhaps more usual to see him facing the basket to attack his match-up off the dribble.
He doesnít need that much space to operate, showing nice ball-handling skills and a solid first step, being very difficult to contest for big-men opponents. He sometimes tries too hard, ignoring whether thereís too much traffic and eventually committing an offensive foul or turnover, but nothing really serious as its more of a sign of his aggressiveness on the offensive end. A very solid passer from both the high and low posts, heís just a smart kid with a very good understanding of the game.
Defensively, we find lights and shadows. He was exposed against the very first quality inside player he faced, Paulao Prestes from Brazil, in the quarterfinals. Ogilvy seems to be tougher on the offensive end than on defense. Heís not a very physical guy when it comes to his opponents, and a strong banger as Paulao did significant damage.
Still, he emerged as an excellent shot-blocker, making the most out of his athleticism by showcasing terrific timing and court awareness, always evaluating when to attack his rival and usually avoiding fakes, while being able to reject shots with both hands, actually a very useful skill to contest shots. However, he's not what you would call a great intimidator that consistently scares away opponents from the paint, as his activity on team defense shouldn't be labeled as outstanding, which is probably due to his limited athleticism. He did display solid lateral quickness for a guy his size, though, and the ability to use his long arms to eventually reach the ball when an opponent tried to attack him off the dribble.
All in all, Ogilvy might not be the most intriguing guy around given his limited athleticism, but you don't find guys with his size and abilities every day .
The Australian Institute of Sport (AIS) has produced a long line of collegiate and professional players over the past decade, including current NCAA players Ben Allen, Aleks Maric, and Aaron Bruce. They have also had former #1 overall draft pick Andrew Bogut as a student/athlete, as well as NBA prospects Brad Newley and Joe Ingles. AIS boasts more promising alumni this year, including incoming Vanderbilt freshman Andrew Ogilvy.
Standing 6í11, it is not hard to realize why American colleges paid attention to Ogilvy to start with. However, it was not until this yearís Douai Tournament in France that the Aussie big man began to hear his name muttered amongst NBA scouts. In France, Ogilvy established himself as the top center prospect that the event had to offer, averaging nearly 20 points per game and leading Australia to a 5-1 record. Things only got better for the big man as the summer went on, however.
The FIBA Under-19 World Championships boasted well-known prospects such as Victor Claver, Nicolas Batum, Michael Beasley, and DeAndre Jordan. While these four have been on the NBA radar for years now, it was Ogilvy who completely dominated the competition, averaging 22.3 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 2.4 blocks per game, shooting a sizzling 68.6% from the field. He was the most productive big man in Novi Sad along with Brazilian Paulo Prestes, being one of handful players considered for MVP of the event, although the award eventually ended up going to Milan Macvan.
Offensively, ďA.J.Ē brings quite a bit to the table. He combines excellent footwork on the low blocks with the ability to play in the high post, making him a nightmare for opposing defenders at the junior levels. His ability to pass the ball, both out of the high and low post, really sets him apart from your normal center prospect. The 14 assists that he totaled throughout his 9 games at U-19 do not accurately depict the future Commodore's ability to share the basketball.
Four years ago, the eventual #1 draft pick Andrew Bogut led Australia to the U-19 World Championship title, earning MVP honours in the process. It wouldnít be fair to expect Ogilvy to take the Oceanic country so far this time, but the name Andrew is not the only thing both share. Regardless the fact that both are skilled and fundamentally sound big men who opted for the college route (Ogilvy is committed to Vanderbilt), the Aussie should probably be considered the provisional MVP in this edition of the championship.
Still, we feel cheated: we had seen Ogilvy a month ago in the first two days of the Douai Tournament, and although he looked nice, it was nothing compared to what he's showcasing here. He's the centerpiece of the Australian game, a very skilled 6-11 player who makes the most out of his limited athleticism. He usually looks for the surroundings of the basket, either with his low post game or attacking his match-ups off the dribble from the mid or high post. Actually, he sometimes overdoes himself looking for the way to the rim, but it basically shows how aggressive he is. Down low, he enjoys nice footwork, loves contact (he's a very strong guy at this level) and can finish with both hands around the rim showing a nice touch, even getting up pretty fast for the dunk. Not a bad shooter from the mid-range area, he's not particularly active there.
Another big-man jewel coming from Australia. He has a bigger frame than Bogutís, indeed too much weight, and heís shorter and a bit slow, but heís all intelligence. Heís a very skilled post player who excels with his back to the basket, enjoys a nice soft touch, works extremely well without the ball, holds his position very well and is an exceptional passer. He struggles on defense as he lacks some toughness and intimidation. When he wasnít on the court Australia suffered a lot. I donít think he will play in the NBA with his physical conditions, but he will be an important player in Europe.[Read Full Article]