Anthony Brown Updated NBA Draft Scouting Report June 19, 2015 Josh Riddell
Anthony Brown has had an eventful collegiate career at Stanford, coming into to the program as the #60 RSCI recruit in 2010. Brown was not a major offensive player in either of his first two seasons, before sitting out the 2012-13 season following surgery on a congenital hip issue. After his redshirt year, Brown returned to the team as a lights out shooter and quickly turned into an important role player for the 2014-15 NIT champions.
His production level in college wasn't off the charts, as he averaged only 16.2 points per 40 minutes pace adjusted, one of the lowest marks among our top 100 players. He was criticized at times for being somewhat passive, and not particularly reliable or consistent from game to game.
After shooting a combined 35.1% in his first two seasons with the Cardinal, he ended his college career shooting 45.3% and 44.1% in his junior and senior season. Demonstrating good fundamentals on his jump shot, Brown was able to show his junior campaign was not a fluke and that he has turned into a very consistent outside shooter, as he finished second among small forwards in our top 100 in 3-point percentage.
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Measured at a shade under 6'7”, with a terrific 6'11.5” wingspan, Brown has prototypical size and length to play the wing position for a NBA team. He's a smooth and fluid, but not incredibly explosive athlete, with none of his physical skills being overly impressive, so he will need to prove he can match the NBA level of athleticism to create separation and get shots off at the next level. His speed in the open court is his best attribute, moving well in transition, and he can handle the ball at top speeds to get to the rim with long and fluid strides, often to finish with either hand.
Brown will need to make his living at the next level as a shooter, especially in catch and shoot situations, where he shot 45.1% in all such situations according to Synergy Sports Technology. His 1.31 points per possession with his feet set is the second best mark in this draft, and is a valuable skill when paired with his size, which allows him to get his shot off effectively against other players his height. He's also effective shooting off screens, as he prepares himself nicely for jumpers, gathering himself, catching and firing away in one smooth and fluid motion. He has excellent footwork and balance, squaring his shoulders nicely with strong fundamentals. He is improving at shooting off the dribble, best when he takes one or two dribbles to step past a defender closing out, instead of trying to get to the rim himself.
He has become more comfortable putting the ball on the floor and has shown the potential to utilize a quick first step and long strides to straight line drive to the rim attacking unbalanced defenses in closeout situations or coming off screens. He's also an unselfish player who finds the open man with a solid feel for the game. A decent amount of his offense even came in pick and roll or isolation situations this season, even if he saw mixed results in this area. His ball-handling skills have a lot of room for improvement, as he sports a very high and loose dribble that makes it difficult for him to change speeds or directions effectively.
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More concerning is how poor of a finisher he was this season, as he converted just 43% of his attempts inside the paint this year in the half-court, as he lacks a degree of toughness and explosiveness and isn't a particularly crafty finisher. He tends to avoid contact at times, and needs to continue to get stronger and more physical around the rim. His 2-point percentage (42%) ranks 98th among DX Top-100 prospects, and very few players with that mark have been drafted in the last 15 years.
Brown does help his cause in his journey to the NBA by being a solid defensive player, although he has some room to improve to realize his full potential based on his physical attributes. At 6-7, with a 6-11 wingspan and a solid frame, he has the tools to guard either wing position, and even saw some time on point guards at times this past season. He pressures the ball well on the wing and has the lateral quickness to contain his man, the length to contest shots from distance, and a strong basketball IQ.
With that said, Brown was not always consistent defensively either, as his lack of toughness and strength could get taken advantage of, and he had a tendency to get pushed around at times despite being a fifth year senior. He hasn't made much of a defensive impact in the box score, generating the third fewest steals (0.8) and least amount of blocks (0.2) per 40 minutes pace adjusted among small forwards in our top 100, which is surprising considering his wingspan, even though it's likely partially due to the amount of zone defense Stanford played. With just seven blocks on the season, only a handful of players his size have blocked so few shots before being drafted, including Doug McDermott, Ryan Gomes and Jason Kapono, among others—which is a red flag statistically that different analytic-based NBA Draft models have picked at.
To help teams find a role for Brown, he'll need to focus on improving his defensive toughness and focus level on that side of the court. He can let his guard down while defending the ball and can lose concentration off the ball as well, causing him to miss a rotation.
With his size and ability to knock down 3-pointers with great accuracy, Brown fits the mold of what NBA scouts are looking for from the “3 and D” position, and will get plenty of opportunities to play his way into a NBA roster. Already being a role-player in college, there won't be that big of a transition for Brown to make in the NBA, as he'll have to make very few adjustments in his style of play. Being an unselfish, team-oriented player with strong intangibles helps his cause, and despite redshirting a year, Brown is the same age as many other seniors at 22, turning 23 in October. In the right situation, Brown could easily find himself in a NBA rotation as he is exactly the type of player many teams are looking for right now. [Read Full Article] Stanley Johnson vs Anthony Brown Head to Head Matchup Video Analysis January 23, 2015
Anthony Brown was a highly regarded recruit out of high school, but spent most of his first two seasons as a solid, but unspectacular role player for the Stanford Cardinal. To make matters worse, his junior season was derailed due to a congenital hip condition that required surgery and forced him to sit out for the entire year. He was all but an afterthought by the time he suited up as a redshirt junior in 2013-2014.
What happened next took everybody by surprise. Brown emerged as a 46% 3-point shooter and was an essential component to Stanford's Sweet 16 run on his way to being named the Pac-12's Most Improved Player. No longer a surprise and finally playing up to his high school potential, scouts will want to see whether Brown's breakout season was something he can build off towards showing he's worthy of a NBA roster spot as a senior.
Physically speaking, Brown possesses ideal size for a NBA wing, standing around 6'7 with a 6'9.5 wingspan and a wiry 215 pound frame. He is a solid athlete, as well, though he is smoother than he is explosive and his first step is just average.
On the offensive end of the floor, Brown averaged a relatively unimposing 14.6 points per 40 minutes pace adjusted, but he emerged as one of the best perimeter shooters in college basketball. A career 35% 3-point shooter as an underclassman, he connected on an outstanding 45.6% of his 3s as a junior–ranking third among all wing prospects in our database– while showing the ability to knock down shots in a variety of different capacities, as he connected on 45% of his catch-and-shoot jumpers, and 43% of his jump shots off the dribble.
On film, he sports a quick release with fluid mechanics and a very high release point, while doing a good job of moving into space. He also looked less hesitant to make plays with the ball in his hands, particularly taking a dribble or two before pulling up from mid-range.
For as good of a shooter as Brown has become, however, he is also a fairly one-dimensional player. 70.8% of his overall shots were jump shots and his shooting efficiency declined significantly in other aspects of his game. For instance, he converted on a mere 45% of his attempts around the basket and less than 49% of his overall 2-pointers. He is neither a particularly creative nor efficient finisher at this stage in his career and struggles to finish through contact, despite doing a much better job of getting to the basket than in the past. His basic ball handling ability, in particular, significantly limits him to little outside of straight line drives to the basket.
Perhaps most intriguing about Brown, however, is that he is a competent defender, capable of guarding both wing positions at the collegiate level. While his lateral quickness is above average at best, Brown does a good job of staying involved and using his length to distract players, even if they have beaten him off the dribble. He also does a good job of closing out on shooters thanks to his long strides and length. That being said, he can get a little bit passive on this end of the floor, similarly to what happens on offense. He doesn't get in the passing lanes all that frequently, and has trouble fighting through screens at times, not only due to his lack of strength, but also because of a relative lack of toughness: too often, he simply gives up once he has run into a screen. Playing with the same type of effort and intensity throughout the game, every game, is something scouts will want to see Brown do as a senior.
Against all odds, however, Brown has come back from hip surgery a far better NBA prospect than he was before and with a clear-cut NBA skill to complement his intriguing physical profile. The fact that he projects as a shooting specialist with above average defensive fundamentals certainly helps, as well. The real concern that scouts should monitor during his senior season, however, is his inconsistency. After all, his breakthrough junior season came in spurts: he averaged 16.1 and 16.6 points per game in November and February and a paltry 9.6 and 8.0 in December and March. Put differently and despite making some important plays throughout, he was too often passive during Stanford's most important stretches of the season. That being said, if he can prove to scouts that he is the Anthony Brown of November and February, then expect his stock to rise significantly during his senior season. [Read Full Article] Top NBA Draft Prospects in the Pac-12, Part Three (#11-15) October 10, 2011
Anthony Brown worked his way into the Stanford starting lineup down the stretch, averaging 10.8 points and 4.7 rebounds per game over the struggling Cardinal's last twelve games of the season.
Brown has good size and long arms for his position. He has a slender frame and must fill out more to effectively defend some bigger wing players, but does look to have added some weight since graduating high school.
Offensively, Brown operates primarily as a set shooter at this stage in his development, with over 80% of his half-court shot attempts coming from jumpers. He has a high, effortless release and does a good job of getting his feet set on catch and shoot opportunities. The results are somewhat inconsistent, but with enough repetition it should be a staple of his game going forward.
Brown runs the floor well, and gets out in transition both as a finisher and trailing the play. He's neither a high flyer nor going to lead the break with regularity, but does a good job of filling the lanes and finishing.
The rest of his offensive game is a work in progress. Despite his length, he hasn't shown a post game, and his lack of bulk may still be a factor in this. He does very little off the bounce, and shot only 31.3% in a small sample size of isolation sets. He very rarely gets to the free throw line, as his 3.1 free throw attempts per 40 minutes pace adjusted is near the bottom of our list in terms of wing players. He has only an average first step and isn't a great leaper, although his long strides may help him gain separation if he becomes more comfortable creating off the dribble.
Brown does look comfortable shooting off the pick and roll. The amount of times he was placed in this situation was relatively small, but he could see his time in these sets increased as Stanford's staff looks to get him more involved in their half-court offense.
Defensively, Brown has average lateral mobility, but combats this with good length and good defensive technique. He needs to work on fighting through pick and rolls, as he tends to get cleared out too easily.
Brown has good size for his position and plays a fundamentally sound game. He was effective as a spot-up shooter down the stretch for Stanford, but with the loss of the Cardinals leading scorer in Jeremy Green and their point guard Jarrett Mann, there are going to be more opportunities for Brown to create on his own this year. Whether or not Brown can diversify his offensive game and create more, both for himself and for others, off the bounce will be key in both Stanford's success and his development as a prospect. [Read Full Article]